Danubio vs Atlético Progreso

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Danubio average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Danubio have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Atlético Progreso have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Danubio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Atlético Progreso in 30% away. Danubio average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.8 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Danubio at 40% in home games (4/10), Atlético Progreso at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Danubio see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Danubio (th) and Atlético Progreso (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 16 10 2 4 27:17 +10 32
3 Peñarol 16 9 3 4 25:17 +8 30
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 16 8 3 5 25:23 +2 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Defensor Sporting 16 5 6 5 14:13 +1 21
9 Wanderers 16 6 3 7 16:21 -5 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio H 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 16 2 4 10 9:28 -19 10
16 Atlético Progreso A 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Atlético Progreso have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Danubio have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Danubio have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Danubio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 06:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Blacktown City U20 vs Sydney Olympic U20 04:00 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Blacktown City U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    93% combined
  • Launceston City vs Devonport City 05:30 BST | Npl Tasmania, Australia Launceston City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Devonport City have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Jagiellonia U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Jagiellonia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/14 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.87
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Danubio vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Atlético Progreso on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Danubio have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Danubio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

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James T. (London, UK)

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