Grêmio vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Grêmio average 1.5 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Corinthians average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Grêmio have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Corinthians side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Grêmio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Corinthians in 30% away. Grêmio average 1.5 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Corinthians 0.9 and 1.1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Corinthians regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Grêmio are lower at home (20%, 2/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Grêmio see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Corinthians in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Corinthians in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Grêmio (th) and Corinthians (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 São Paulo 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 21:17 +4 24
6 Bahia 15 6 5 4 21:19 +2 23
7 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 19:18 +1 23
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 21:19 +2 23
9 Vitória 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
10 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
11 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 21:22 -1 21
12 Grêmio H 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
13 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
14 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 21:26 -5 20
15 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 22:25 -3 20
16 Corinthians A 16 4 6 6 14:18 -4 18
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 16 3 6 7 19:27 -8 15
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 16:30 -14 9

Team Form

Grêmio have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Corinthians's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Corinthians regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Grêmio are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Corinthians (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Corinthians in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Corinthians are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Corinthians have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Corinthians (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Corinthians across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.2
Draw 3.25
Corinthians 3.3

Half Time Result

Grêmio 3
Draw 2.05
Corinthians 3.75

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.34
Grêmio or Corinthians 1.34
Draw or Corinthians 1.61

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.28
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 2.9
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.19

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 2.9

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.66
Over 11.5 2.05

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.5

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 06:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Blacktown City U20 vs Sydney Olympic U20 04:00 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Blacktown City U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    93% combined
  • Launceston City vs Devonport City 05:30 BST | Npl Tasmania, Australia Launceston City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Devonport City have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Jagiellonia U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Jagiellonia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/14 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    86% combined

Grêmio vs Corinthians Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Corinthians?

Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Corinthians in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Corinthians?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Corinthians have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Corinthians?

Mixed — Grêmio have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Corinthians in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Corinthians?

Unlikely — Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Corinthians (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie A. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Corinthians?

Grêmio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Corinthians's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Corinthians?

Possibly — Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Corinthians are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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