Alianza Atlético vs UCV Moquegua — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Peru
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 20:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Alianza Atlético (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over UCV Moquegua on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Alianza Atlético 30% Over 2.5 at home, UCV Moquegua 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Alianza Atlético 30% at home, UCV Moquegua 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

UCV Moquegua regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Alianza Atlético have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, UCV Moquegua in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Alianza Atlético (15th) and UCV Moquegua (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 10 7 2 1 13:5 +8 23
2 Los Chankas 9 7 2 0 18:10 +8 23
3 Cienciano 9 6 1 2 22:12 +10 19
4 Universitario 9 5 3 1 12:7 +5 18
5 UTC Cajamarca 10 4 3 3 14:13 +1 15
6 Melgar 10 4 2 4 16:14 +2 14
7 Cusco FC 9 4 1 4 12:10 +2 13
8 UCV Moquegua A 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
9 ADC Juan Pablo II 10 4 1 5 15:24 -9 13
10 Comerciantes Unidos 9 3 3 3 13:13 0 12
11 Sporting Cristal 9 3 2 4 16:13 +3 11
12 Alianza Atlético H 9 2 5 2 9:8 +1 11
13 Deportivo Garcilaso 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
14 ADT 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
15 Sport Huancayo 10 2 3 5 11:15 -4 9
16 Sport Boys 10 2 2 6 9:15 -6 8
17 Atlético Grau 9 1 4 4 5:10 -5 7
18 FC Cajamarca 9 1 2 6 10:17 -7 5

Team Form

UCV Moquegua have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Alianza Atlético have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Atlético have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Alianza Atlético have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Alianza Atlético have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, UCV Moquegua in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Alianza Atlético have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Alianza Atlético have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

UCV Moquegua have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Alianza Atlético (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Alianza Atlético vs UCV Moquegua across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Alianza Atlético 1.53
Draw 3.85
UCV Moquegua 7.4

Half Time Result

Alianza Atlético 2.2
Draw 2.14
UCV Moquegua 7.5

Double Chance

Alianza Atlético or Draw 1.14
Alianza Atlético or UCV Moquegua 1.28
Draw or UCV Moquegua 2.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.48
No 1.64

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.49
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 5.1
Under 1.5 2.94
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.83
Over 9.5 2.5
Over 10.5 3.4
Over 11.5 2.82

Alianza Atlético Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 1.9

UCV Moquegua Goals

Over 0.5 1.83
Over 1.5 6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Roda JC U21 10:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    91% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Zabrze II 11:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Górnik Zabrze II have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Lausanne-Sport U19 vs Servette U19 13:00 BST | U19 Elite, Switzerland Lausanne-Sport U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Servette U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    86% combined
  • Mendrisio vs Widnau 15:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Widnau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Alianza Atlético vs UCV Moquegua Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético vs UCV Moquegua?

Under 3.5 Goals — Alianza Atlético have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, UCV Moquegua in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Alianza Atlético or UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Atlético have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over UCV Moquegua on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Alianza Atlético and UCV Moquegua?

Mixed — Alianza Atlético have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Alianza Atlético and UCV Moquegua?

Uncertain — Alianza Atlético have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Alianza Atlético or UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Atlético have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to UCV Moquegua's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Alianza Atlético and UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Atlético have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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