Late Goal Predictions: Goal After 70 Minutes Stats

Late goals, anything after the 70th minute, follow one of the steadiest patterns in football. Tired defences, attacking substitutions and teams chasing results all make the final 20 minutes more predictable than they look, once you're working from real home and away data. The page ranks every fixture by how likely a late goal is, so the strongest picks sit at the top.

Each fixture shows the combined late goal percentage, the raw game numbers and the current odds. Use the combined percentage as your guide. The higher it is, the more often both teams have been in matches producing at least one goal after the 70th minute this season.

Goal After 70 Minutes, also called a late goal bet, is a market where you predict at least one goal will be scored after the 70th minute. It doesn't matter which team scores or what the result is, as long as a goal arrives from minute 70 onwards, the bet wins.

It's one of the more interesting markets in football, because late goals aren't random. Across major European leagues, roughly 30–40% of matches produce at least one goal after the 70th minute, driven by tired defences, attacking substitutions and teams chasing results. That pattern is what makes it a market you can actually analyse.

Every fixture on this page shows a combined late goal percentage. We take how often the home team has been in matches producing a goal after 70 minutes in their home games this season, and how often the away team has in their away games, then merge those two figures into one number.

A high combined figure points to two sides who both tend to feature in late-goal games rather than a one-off. It reads more reliably than either team's overall record, because it accounts for home and away context separately.

The best picks pair a high combined percentage with a meaningful sample size. A fixture showing 75% from 20 combined games is a stronger signal than 75% from 5 games. We show the raw numbers next to the percentage, so check the sample size before you back anything.

Context matters too. Teams in tight title races, fighting relegation, or playing big cup ties tend to produce more late goals, because the motivation to score holds up through the full 90. A match between two sides both chasing points is a strong late goal candidate.

Both work well, depending on your betting style.

For singles, late goal bets pay decent odds, usually between 1.50 and 2.00, and when the combined percentage is high the case is strong. A fixture at 75%+ from a solid sample size is a sound late goal selection.

For accumulators, late goals are one of the easiest markets to stack. Combining four or five fixtures at 70%+ builds long acca odds while keeping each pick grounded in data. Late goal accas are popular for weekend football, when there are plenty of fixtures to choose from.

Yes. Late goal bets pair well with a few other markets. Fixtures strong on late goals often do well on Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS too, since open, attacking games tend to produce goals throughout, not just early on.

For first-half markets, our Over 0.5 First Half Goals page works well alongside this one, some fixtures are high-scoring across both halves. For all our markets in one place, head to the All Stats page.