How to Find Value Bets in Football Using Stats — A Data-Driven Guide
Most bettors focus on picking winners. The best bettors focus on finding value — bets where the odds offered are higher ...
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Home WinFree
Away Win Draw Both Teams to ScoreFree
Over 1.5 Goals Over 2.5 GoalsFree
Over 3.5 Goals BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 Goals Under 3.5 Goals Over 0.5 First Half Goals Over 1.5 First Half Goals Over 1.5 Home Team Goals Over 1.5 Away Team Goals Over 3.5 First Half Corners Over 8.5 Corners Goal After 70 Minutes Home Win HT Away Win HT Correct Scores 10 Teams to Win TodayFree
Value BetsFree+
Free
Both Teams to ScoreFree
Home Win Away Win Draw Over 1.5 Goals Under 2.5 Goals Under 3.5 Goals Over 0.5 First Half Goals Over 1.5 First Half Goals Over 1.5 Home Team Goals Over 1.5 Away Team Goals Over 3.5 First Half Corners Over 8.5 Corners Goal After 70 Minutes Home Win HT Away Win HTFind upcoming fixtures where the away team is most likely to win, backed by real away form data from the current season. Every fixture is ranked using the away team's win percentage on the road this season — giving you a data-driven view of which visiting sides are most consistent away from home. Updated every 2 hours across hundreds of leagues worldwide. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
Jesenice have lost 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — an extremely poor home record.
Triglav have won 9 of their last 12 away games (75%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71% of their games have featured an away win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Jesenice score 0.92 and concede 2.08 per home game. Triglav score 2.17 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.3.
Nottingham Forest have lost 3 of their last 7 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
Aston Villa have won 5 of their last 6 away games (83%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Nottingham Forest score 1.86 and concede 0.86 per home game. Aston Villa score 1.67 and concede 0.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.7.
Wisla U19 have lost 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — an extremely poor home record.
Legia Warszawa U19 have won 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Wisla U19 score 1.58 and concede 2.33 per home game. Legia Warszawa U19 score 2.36 and concede 1.36 per away game. That points to an expected 3.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Ilirija have lost 5 of their last 12 home games (42%) — a moderate home record.
Nafta have won 9 of their last 12 away games (75%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Ilirija score 1.33 and concede 1.83 per home game. Nafta score 2 and concede 0.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
Umm Salal U19 have lost 6 of their last 11 home games (55%) — a poor home record.
Al Sadd U19 have won 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 55% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Umm Salal U19 score 1.18 and concede 1.64 per home game. Al Sadd U19 score 1 and concede 1.27 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Godoy Cruz Res. have lost 2 of their last 5 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Talleres Córdoba Res. have won 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Godoy Cruz Res. score 1 and concede 1 per home game. Talleres Córdoba Res. score 1.2 and concede 0.6 per away game. That points to an expected 1.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.
Trofense have lost 8 of their last 14 home games (57%) — a poor home record.
Amarante have won 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53.5% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Trofense score 1 and concede 1.07 per home game. Amarante score 1.21 and concede 0.93 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.3.
Hume City have lost 2 of their last 5 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Heidelberg United have won 4 of their last 5 away games (80%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Hume City score 1.6 and concede 1.4 per home game. Heidelberg United score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.85.
Sutherland Sharks have lost 3 of their last 6 home games (50%) — a poor home record.
Marconi Stallions have won 6 of their last 9 away games (67%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sutherland Sharks score 1.67 and concede 1.17 per home game. Marconi Stallions score 1.44 and concede 0.78 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.95.
Gorica have lost 7 of their last 16 home games (44%) — a moderate home record.
Dinamo Zagreb have won 11 of their last 16 away games (69%) — an outstanding away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 56.5% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Gorica score 1.25 and concede 1.31 per home game. Dinamo Zagreb score 2.38 and concede 0.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Northampton Town have lost 12 of their last 22 home games (55%) — a poor home record.
Plymouth Argyle have won 11 of their last 22 away games (50%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 52.5% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Northampton Town score 0.95 and concede 1.27 per home game. Plymouth Argyle score 1.77 and concede 1.27 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.42.
Dandenong Thunder have lost 2 of their last 5 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Preston Lions have won 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Dandenong Thunder score 1 and concede 0.8 per home game. Preston Lions score 2.6 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.55.
Real Pilar have lost 3 of their last 6 home games (50%) — a poor home record.
Argentino Merlo have won 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured an away win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Real Pilar score 1.33 and concede 1.33 per home game. Argentino Merlo score 0.83 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 4.2.
Port Vale have lost 9 of their last 22 home games (41%) — a moderate home record.
Lincoln City have won 12 of their last 22 away games (55%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 48% of their games have featured an away win.
On average, Port Vale score 0.77 and concede 1.05 per home game. Lincoln City score 1.55 and concede 0.95 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.67.
Stirling Albion have lost 7 of their last 17 home games (41%) — a moderate home record.
Spartans have won 9 of their last 17 away games (53%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 47% of their games have featured an away win.
On average, Stirling Albion score 1 and concede 1.65 per home game. Spartans score 2.12 and concede 1.18 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
LDU Quito have lost 2 of their last 5 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Guayaquil City have won 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a strong away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 45% of their games have featured an away win.
On average, LDU Quito score 0.4 and concede 1 per home game. Guayaquil City score 1 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 1.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 8.
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a away win. The away win probability is calculated from the away team's recent wins combined with the home team's recent losses.
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| Match | Away Win | Away Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb (Croatia) |
11 / 16 | 77.11% | In 2 days | 1.4 |
| Home vs Away (Slovenia) |
9 / 12 | 72.8% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
2 / 4 | 67.75% | In 1 day | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Qatar) |
6 / 11 | 65.44% | Today | 1.8 |
| Home vs Away (Poland) |
6 / 11 | 65.33% | Today | 1.4 |
| Home vs Away (Mexico) |
13 / 20 | 65.2% | Today | 1.42 |
| Home vs Away (Slovenia) |
9 / 12 | 63.2% | Today | 1.48 |
| Home vs Away (Ecuador) |
2 / 4 | 62.36% | Today | 1.16 |
| Home vs Away (Qatar) |
6 / 11 | 62.33% | Today | 1.9 |
| Home vs Away (Philippines) |
7 / 8 | 58.25% | In 2 days | 1.65 |
| Home vs Away (Honduras) |
10 / 20 | 55.96% | In 1 day | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
4 / 5 | 55.86% | In 2 days | 1.85 |
| Home vs Away (Iraq) |
8 / 14 | 55.62% | In 1 day | 2.35 |
| Home vs Away (Scotland) |
9 / 17 | 55.27% | In 2 days | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Spain) |
11 / 16 | 55.25% | In 2 days | 1.75 |
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
Away wins are one of the most undervalued outcomes in football betting — bookmakers consistently underestimate strong travelling sides, which is where the value lies. Here's how to get the most from this page.
Each fixture shows the away team's win percentage on the road this season, their average goals scored and conceded away from home, and the current odds. Use the away win percentage as your starting point — the higher the figure, the more consistently that team has been winning away from home this season.
Every fixture on this page shows the away team's win percentage in their away games this season. This is calculated by looking at how many of their away fixtures this season the team has won, expressed as a percentage of their total away games played.
A figure of 70% means the away team has won seven out of every ten away games they've played this season. That's a meaningful statistical signal — and because it's based specifically on away performance rather than overall form, it's a much more reliable indicator for this market than general win percentages.
The best picks combine a high away win percentage with a meaningful sample size. A team showing 75% from 12 away games is a much stronger signal than 75% from just 4 games. We show the raw numbers alongside the percentage so always check how many away games have been played before committing.
Also look at the average goals scored and conceded on the road. A side averaging 2.0 goals per away game and conceding just 0.8 is naturally compelling — they're both productive and defensively solid when travelling, which is the profile of a consistent away winner.
Both work well depending on your betting style.
For singles, away wins often offer better odds than the equivalent home win — bookmakers tend to be more conservative about travelling sides, which creates value when the stats tell a different story.
For accumulators, combining three or four strong away sides at 65%+ from a solid sample size produces attractive odds while keeping each pick grounded in data. Away win accumulators tend to offer better returns than home win accumulators for equivalent statistical confidence, making this one of the most rewarding pages on the site to build from.
Yes — Away Win pairs well with a number of other markets. A fixture where the away team has a high win percentage but the combined Over 2.5 Goals percentage is also strong suggests an attacking away side likely to win comfortably. Similarly, pairing with BTTS works well for away sides that score consistently but concede occasionally on the road.
For the home equivalent of this page, visit our Home Win stats. And for a full view of all markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does Away Win mean in football betting?
An Away Win bet wins when the visiting team wins the match at full-time. It's one of the three core match result outcomes alongside Home Win and Draw, and typically offers the best odds of the three — bookmakers consistently undervalue strong travelling sides, which is where the value in this market is found.
What does the away win percentage mean on your stats page?
The away win percentage shows how often the away team in each fixture has won their away games this season. It's based specifically on away performance rather than overall form, making it a much more accurate indicator for this market. A team with a 70% away win rate has won seven out of every ten away games they've played this season.
What percentage should I look for when backing an Away Win?
Away wins are less frequent than home wins across football as a whole, so the thresholds are naturally lower. An away win percentage of 65% or above is a solid starting point — it means the team has been winning away from home in nearly two thirds of their away fixtures this season. For the strongest selections, look for 70%+ from a sample size of at least 10 away games.
Why do away wins offer better value than home wins?
Bookmakers systematically price home teams more favourably because home advantage is a well-documented factor in football. This means strong travelling sides are often underrated in the odds — particularly teams that win consistently on the road but aren't household names. Our away win percentage identifies exactly these situations.
Which leagues produce the most Away Win results?
Leagues with open, attacking football and less pronounced home advantage tend to produce higher away win rates — the Premier League, Bundesliga, and Dutch Eredivisie are consistently strong. Lower divisions with smaller, less intimidating atmospheres can also be productive. That said, team-by-team stats matter more than the league — a genuinely strong travelling side will win away regardless of the competition.
Can I use Away Win in an accumulator?
Yes — Away Win is one of the best markets for accumulators because the odds are naturally more generous than Home Win for equivalent statistical confidence. Combine three or four fixtures where the away team shows 65%+ from a solid sample size. You can also pair with our Home Win stats for a mixed accumulator across both markets.
What's the average Away Win rate in football?
Across major European leagues, away teams win roughly 25–35% of matches — compared to around 45–50% for home teams. That lower base rate is exactly why strong away sides at 65%+ are so statistically significant and why this market consistently offers value.
Is Away Win good for beginners?
Yes — the outcome is simple and the stats are easy to interpret. You're looking for away sides that consistently win on the road, backed by a clear percentage. Start with this page and explore more markets with a Pro subscription when you're ready.
How often are the Away Win stats updated?
All stats are updated every 2 hours, ensuring you always have the latest away form data for all upcoming fixtures.
Do you provide Away Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Away Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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