Football Value Bets: Free Tips & Stats for Today's Matches

Find today's best football value bets, fixtures where the bookmaker's odds are higher than the underlying stats suggest they should be. A value bet exists when the statistical probability of an outcome is greater than the implied probability from the odds. We identify value across eight markets: home wins, draws, away wins, BTTS, Over 2.5, Under 2.5, Over 3.5 and Under 3.5 Goals, using real home and away form data from the current season. We refresh it every 5 minutes across 100+ leagues.

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Updates every 5 minutes

Home Win Value Bets

54
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
Fri 14th, 20:15
Árborg vs IH Hafnarfjordur
Iceland 4. Deild 1.10 Kambi Group 1.06 3.77%
17:30
Harju JK Laagri II W vs Elva W
Estonia Meistriliiga Women 1.36 Bet365 1.1 23.64%
Thu 13th, 18:00
FC Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia Liga 3 1.18 1xBet 1.16 1.72%
Sat 15th, 01:00
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin
Ecuador Liga Pro 1.24 Kambi Group 1.18 5.08%
Fri 14th, 13:00
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Germany U19 Bundesliga 1.59 1xBet 1.22 30.33%
Fri 14th, 20:15
Elliði vs Hafnir
Iceland 4. Deild 1.52 Kambi Group 1.27 19.69%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Haukar vs Hvíti riddarinn
Iceland 2. Deild 1.32 Kambi Group 1.28 3.13%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Brunswick Juventus U23 vs Melbourne Srbija U23
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 Youth 2.35 Kambi Group 1.31 79.39%
Fri 14th, 18:00
1860 München II vs Hankofen-Hailing
Germany Oberliga: Bayern Süd 2.28 1xBet 1.34 70.15%
16:30
Tatabánya vs Bicskei
Hungary NB 3: Northwest 1.50 Bet365 1.36 10.29%
Fri 14th, 18:00
Hluboká nad Vltavou vs Petřín Plzeň
Czech Republic 4. Liga Division A 2.29 1xBet 1.39 64.75%
18:00
Hammarby U19 vs Västerås SK U19
Sweden U19 League 2.57 1xBet 1.39 84.89%
Thu 13th, 17:00
PPJ vs MYPA
Finland Kakkonen 1.41 Kambi Group 1.39 1.44%
Sat 15th, 08:30
Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United
Australia South Australia State League 1 1.50 Bet365 1.4 7.14%
18:00
IFK Luleå vs Boden
Sweden Division 2: Norrland 1.45 1xBet 1.42 2.11%
14:00
Brann U19 vs Vålerenga U19
Norway U19 Champions League 1.49 1xBet 1.42 4.93%
17:30
Harju JK Laagri II W vs Elva W
Estonia Meistriliiga Women 1.80 Bet365 1.42 26.76%
Fri 14th, 12:35
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
China Super League 1.45 Bet365 1.44 0.69%
Thu 13th, 20:15
HK vs Leiknir Reykjavík
Iceland Inkasso-Deildin 1.50 Bet365 1.45 3.45%
Fri 14th, 01:30
América vs Austin
North & Central America Leagues Cup 1.82 1xBet 1.45 25.52%
Thu 13th, 17:15
Abha vs Al Hazm
Saudi Arabia Pro League 2.72 Betano 1.46 86.3%
Fri 14th, 15:00
Navbakhor vs Bunyodkor
Uzbekistan Super league 1.50 Betano 1.48 1.35%
Thu 13th, 03:00
Mictlán vs Santa Rosa
Guatemala Primera Division 1.50 Betano 1.48 1.35%
19:30
Alvarado vs Huracán Las Heras
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.53 Bet365 1.49 2.68%
Sat 15th, 08:00
WS Wanderers U20 vs St. George Saints U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 1.95 1xBet 1.49 30.87%
Sat 15th, 08:15
Brunswick City vs North Geelong Warriors
Australia Victoria Premier League 2 2.06 Kambi Group 1.49 38.26%
Sat 15th, 03:30
Melbourne City FC U23 vs South Melbourne U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 4.36 1xBet 1.52 186.84%
19:45
Coventry United vs Grantham Town
England Non League Div One: Northern Midlands 1.65 Bet365 1.55 6.45%
Fri 14th, 09:15
Eltham Redbacks U23 vs Manningham United U23
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 Youth 4.10 Kambi Group 1.57 161.15%
Thu 13th, 01:15
San Martín Mendoza vs Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.67 WilliamHill 1.57 6.37%
13:00
KDV vs Sibir
Russia Russian Cup 2.56 1xBet 1.57 63.06%
14:30
East Bengal vs Al Arabi SC
Asia AFC Champions League Two 2.15 1xBet 1.58 36.08%
Thu 13th, 17:30
Rīgas FS vs Jablonec
Europe Europa Conference League 2.12 Betfair Exchange 1.58 34.18%
Fri 14th, 11:30
Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues
Australia Victoria Premier League 2 1.92 Kambi Group 1.58 21.52%
Fri 14th, 10:30
Peninsula Power vs Brisbane City
Australia Npl Queensland 1.67 Betano 1.59 5.03%
Thu 13th, 02:00
Chiquimulilla vs Sacachispas
Guatemala Primera Division 1.72 Betfair Exchange 1.6 7.5%
Thu 13th, 01:00
Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
United States USL League One 1.82 Betfair Exchange 1.6 13.75%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Dandenong City U23 vs Altona Magic U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 2.08 Kambi Group 1.61 29.19%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Almere City vs Jong PSV
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 1.72 Betfair Exchange 1.64 4.88%
Fri 14th, 15:00
Khan Tengri vs Arys
Kazakhstan First Division 2.11 1xBet 1.66 27.11%
Fri 14th, 18:00
Dassendorf vs Altona 93
Germany Oberliga: Hamburg 2.42 1xBet 1.66 45.78%
Sat 15th, 11:00
Torreense vs Penafiel
Portugal Liga Portugal 2 1.78 Betano 1.66 7.23%
19:30
Defensores Pto. Vilelas vs Tucumán Central
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.83 Bet365 1.66 10.24%
Sat 15th, 10:00
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League 1.78 Betano 1.67 6.59%
Thu 13th, 19:00
Quilmes Res. vs Platense Res.
Argentina Reserve League 1.98 Kambi Group 1.67 18.56%
Thu 13th, 18:00
Hammarby vs Raków Częstochowa
Europe Europa Conference League 1.82 Betfair Exchange 1.69 7.69%
Fri 14th, 08:30
Sydney U20 vs St. George City U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 2.20 FanDuel 1.69 30.18%
Thu 13th, 01:30
Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B 1.87 Betano 1.69 10.65%
Fri 14th, 18:00
Liptovský Mikuláš vs Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia 2. Liga 1.84 Kambi Group 1.7 8.24%
19:30
Cipolletti vs Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentina Torneo Federal A 2.15 WilliamHill 1.7 26.47%
20:00
Linfield U20 vs Ballymena United U20
Northern Ireland Premiership Development League 1.72 Bet365 1.7 1.18%
Thu 13th, 17:00
PPJ vs MYPA
Finland Kakkonen 1.78 1xBet 1.71 4.09%
Fri 14th, 17:00
Kladno vs Vlašim
Czech Republic Chance Národní Liga 2.63 Kambi Group 1.73 52.02%
19:00
Deportivo Rincón vs Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.75 WilliamHill 1.73 1.16%

Draw Value Bets

0

No draw value bets found right now — check back soon.

Away Win Value Bets

30
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
Sat 15th, 10:00
Sydney Olympic U20 vs Sydney United U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 1.17 Kambi Group 1.15 1.74%
15:00
Livyi Bereh U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19
Ukraine U19 League 1.39 1xBet 1.16 19.83%
16:30
BKV Előre vs Gyulai Termál
Hungary NB 3: Southeast 1.30 Bet365 1.22 6.56%
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BTTS Value Bets

32
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
Sat 15th, 08:45
Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC
Australia Capital Territory 1.50 Kambi Group 1.37 9.49%
Sat 15th, 03:30
Melbourne City FC U23 vs South Melbourne U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 1.48 1xBet 1.37 8.03%
Sat 15th, 05:00
St George Willawong U23 vs SC Wanderers U23
Australia Queensland PL Youth 1.53 Kambi Group 1.45 5.52%
Sat 15th, 08:30
Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets
Australia South Australia State League 1 1.47 1xBet 1.45 1.38%
Fri 14th, 08:30
Sydney U20 vs St. George City U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 1.64 FanDuel 1.45 13.1%
16:00
Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Králův Dvůr
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.78 FanDuel 1.49 19.46%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne
Australia Npl Victoria 1.61 Bet365 1.53 5.23%
16:00
FK Brandys nad Labem vs Varnsdorf
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.63 Betfair Exchange 1.53 6.54%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Heidelberg United vs Hume City
Australia Npl Victoria 1.62 Bet365 1.54 5.19%
Fri 14th, 10:45
Dandenong City vs Altona Magic
Australia Npl Victoria 1.62 Bet365 1.55 4.52%
20:00
Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa
Europe UEFA Super Cup 1.84 Betfair Exchange 1.55 18.71%
16:00
Trutnov vs Benatky nad Jizerou
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.72 Betfair Exchange 1.56 10.26%
Sat 15th, 08:00
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
Australia Western Australia State League 1 1.73 1xBet 1.56 10.9%
Thu 13th, 19:00
Al Shabab vs Al-Qadsiah
Saudi Arabia Pro League 1.66 Betfair Exchange 1.58 5.06%
Thu 13th, 17:00
Flora vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Europe Europa Conference League 1.87 Kambi Group 1.58 18.35%
Fri 14th, 16:00
Pohronie vs MFK Bytča
Slovakia 2. Liga 1.84 1xBet 1.59 15.72%
16:00
Doubravka vs Motorlet Praha
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.85 Betfair Exchange 1.59 16.35%
16:00
Brumov vs Karviná
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.83 FanDuel 1.6 14.38%
Sat 15th, 09:00
Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale Heights
Australia Npl Victoria 1.67 Bet365 1.62 3.09%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Llandudno vs Holywell
Wales Premier League 1.73 Bet365 1.62 6.79%
Sat 15th, 02:00
Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío
Mexico Liga de Expansión MX 1.73 WilliamHill 1.65 4.85%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Connah's Quay vs Trefelin
Wales Premier League 1.84 1xBet 1.68 9.52%
Thu 13th, 16:00
Urartu vs Syunik
Armenia Premier League 1.71 FanDuel 1.68 1.79%
Fri 14th, 20:00
Ruch Chorzów vs Lechia Gdańsk
Poland 1. Liga 1.73 Bet365 1.71 1.17%
Fri 14th, 16:00
VPS vs TPS
Finland Veikkausliiga 1.75 Bet365 1.71 2.34%
Thu 13th, 19:30
Rangers vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Europe Europa League 1.87 Betfair Exchange 1.71 9.36%
16:00
Nove Sady vs Vítkovice
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.74 FanDuel 1.73 0.58%
15:30
FCM Baia Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
Romania Romania Cup 1.77 FanDuel 1.73 2.31%
Fri 14th, 11:15
Oakleigh Cannons vs Green Gully
Australia Npl Victoria 2.00 Bet365 1.73 15.61%
Thu 13th, 20:00
Dinamo City vs Auda
Europe Europa Conference League 1.84 Betfair Exchange 1.73 6.36%
Thu 13th, 19:30
Gent vs IFK Göteborg
Europe Europa Conference League 1.95 Betfair Exchange 1.73 12.72%
20:00
Magallanes vs Cobreloa
Chile Primera B 1.83 Kambi Group 1.74 5.17%

Over 2.5 Value Bets

97
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
17:30
Harju JK Laagri II W vs Elva W
Estonia Meistriliiga Women 1.12 Bet365 1.09 2.75%
Fri 14th, 09:15
Eltham Redbacks U23 vs Manningham United U23
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 Youth 1.23 Kambi Group 1.12 9.82%
19:30
Strabane Athletic W vs Mid-Ulster W
Northern Ireland Championship Women 1.28 Bet365 1.16 10.34%
20:15
Fram W vs FH W
Iceland Premier League Women 1.20 Bet365 1.17 2.56%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Dandenong City U23 vs Altona Magic U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 1.24 Kambi Group 1.18 5.08%
Sat 15th, 03:30
Melbourne City FC U23 vs South Melbourne U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 1.44 1xBet 1.19 21.01%
Sat 15th, 05:00
St George Willawong U23 vs SC Wanderers U23
Australia Queensland PL Youth 1.22 Kambi Group 1.2 1.67%
Sat 15th, 08:15
Para Hills Knights Res. vs Adelaide Comets Res.
Australia South Australia Reserves Premier League 1.26 Kambi Group 1.21 4.13%
Fri 14th, 13:00
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
Germany U19 Bundesliga 1.28 1xBet 1.21 5.79%
Thu 13th, 17:00
LBK vs Virkiä
Finland Kolmonen - Western Group 1.25 Bet365 1.21 3.31%
18:00
Gilla vs EsPa
Finland Kolmonen - Southern Group 1.30 Bet365 1.21 7.44%
Sat 15th, 08:15
West Torrens Res. vs Adelaide United Res.
Australia South Australia Reserves Premier League 1.26 Kambi Group 1.22 3.28%
Sat 15th, 05:00
Capalaba U23 vs Robina City U23
Australia Queensland PL Youth 1.28 Kambi Group 1.22 4.92%
Sat 15th, 05:00
Redlands United U23 vs Logan Lightning U23
Australia Queensland PL Youth 1.23 Kambi Group 1.22 0.82%
Sat 15th, 08:15
Brunswick City vs North Geelong Warriors
Australia Victoria Premier League 2 1.26 Kambi Group 1.24 1.61%
17:00
JJK Jyväskylä II vs JPS
Finland Kolmonen - Eastern Group 1.25 Bet365 1.24 0.81%
Fri 14th, 11:30
Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues
Australia Victoria Premier League 2 1.40 Kambi Group 1.25 12%
Sat 15th, 08:00
WS Wanderers U20 vs St. George Saints U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 1.46 Kambi Group 1.25 16.8%
Sat 15th, 08:15
Sturt Lions Res. vs Campbelltown City Res.
Australia South Australia Reserves Premier League 1.36 Kambi Group 1.26 7.94%
Sat 15th, 08:15
Beograd Res. vs Adelaide City Res.
Australia South Australia Reserves Premier League 1.32 Kambi Group 1.26 4.76%
Sat 15th, 05:00
Holland Park U23 vs Brisbane Strikers U23
Australia Queensland PL Youth 1.28 Kambi Group 1.26 1.59%
Fri 14th, 10:30
Wynnum Wolves FC vs Magic United
Australia Npl Queensland 1.30 Bet365 1.27 2.36%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Western Knights vs Balcatta
Australia Npl Western Australia 1.38 Kambi Group 1.27 8.66%
Fri 14th, 09:15
St. Albans Saints U23 vs Bentleigh Greens U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 1.29 Kambi Group 1.27 1.57%
Fri 14th, 10:30
Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions
Australia Npl Queensland 1.38 Bet365 1.29 6.98%
Thu 13th, 18:00
FC Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia Liga 3 1.40 Bet365 1.29 8.53%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City
Australia Western Australia State League 1 1.36 Bet365 1.29 5.43%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Gladesville Ryde Magic vs Bankstown United
Australia New South Wales NPL 3 1.41 Kambi Group 1.3 8.46%
Sat 15th, 07:15
Capalaba vs Robina City
Australia Queensland Premier League 1.36 Bet365 1.3 4.62%
Thu 13th, 10:00
DAC U19 vs Podbrezová U19
Slovakia Youth League 1.50 Bet365 1.3 15.38%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Víkingur Reykjavík W vs Thor Akureyri W
Iceland Premier League Women 1.36 Bet365 1.31 3.82%
Sat 15th, 06:45
George Cross U23 vs Avondale U23
Australia Victoria NPL Youth League 1.38 Kambi Group 1.32 4.55%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Almere City vs Jong PSV
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 1.35 Betfair Exchange 1.32 2.27%
Sat 15th, 08:45
Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC
Australia Capital Territory 1.58 Kambi Group 1.33 18.8%
Sat 15th, 06:15
Cumberland United Res. vs Modbury Jets Res.
Australia South Australia State League 1 Reserves 1.36 Kambi Group 1.34 1.49%
Sat 15th, 08:00
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
Australia Western Australia State League 1 1.37 Kambi Group 1.35 1.48%
Fri 14th, 08:30
Sydney U20 vs St. George City U20
Australia New South Wales NPL Youth League 1.76 FanDuel 1.35 30.37%
Sat 15th, 08:30
Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United
Australia South Australia State League 1 1.50 Bet365 1.37 9.49%
16:00
Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Králův Dvůr
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.47 Bet365 1.37 7.3%
Thu 13th, 17:00
SJK-j vs VIFK
Finland Kolmonen - Western Group 1.40 Bet365 1.37 2.19%
19:45
Hamilton Academical vs Celtic II
Scotland Challenge Cup 1.49 Pinnacle 1.38 7.97%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Perth vs Perth RedStar
Australia Npl Western Australia 1.43 Kambi Group 1.38 3.62%
16:00
FK Brandys nad Labem vs Varnsdorf
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.42 Betfair Exchange 1.4 1.43%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Llandudno vs Holywell
Wales Premier League 1.53 Bet365 1.4 9.29%
Sat 15th, 10:30
Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City
Australia Npl South Australian 1.42 Kambi Group 1.41 0.71%
Sat 15th, 08:30
Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets
Australia South Australia State League 1 1.60 Bet365 1.41 13.48%
Sat 15th, 07:15
St George Willawong vs SC Wanderers
Australia Queensland Premier League 1.50 Bet365 1.43 4.9%
15:00
Livyi Bereh U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19
Ukraine U19 League 1.48 1xBet 1.43 3.5%
Thu 13th, 15:00
Dinamo Tbilisi II vs FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3 1.50 Bet365 1.43 4.9%
16:00
Doubravka vs Motorlet Praha
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.60 Betfair Exchange 1.43 11.89%
18:00
Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II
Germany Regionalliga: Nord 1.47 Pinnacle 1.44 2.08%
15:30
USV Iaşi vs Cetatea Suceava
Romania Romania Cup 1.48 Betfair Exchange 1.44 2.78%
Thu 13th, 20:15
Grótta vs Njardvík
Iceland Inkasso-Deildin 1.45 Bet365 1.44 0.69%
16:00
Eger vs Tiszafuredi VSE
Hungary NB 3: Northeast 1.61 Bet365 1.45 11.03%
Thu 13th, 18:30
Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun
Europe Europa League 1.53 Betfair Exchange 1.46 4.79%
Sat 15th, 08:00
Inter Lions vs Bankstown City Lions
Australia NSW League One 1.54 Kambi Group 1.49 3.36%
16:00
Trutnov vs Benatky nad Jizerou
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.59 Betfair Exchange 1.5 6%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne
Australia Npl Victoria 1.57 Bet365 1.5 4.67%
Sat 15th, 07:15
Broadbeach United vs Ipswich
Australia Queensland Premier League 1.53 Bet365 1.5 2%
Thu 13th, 19:00
Al Shabab vs Al-Qadsiah
Saudi Arabia Pro League 1.60 Betano 1.51 5.96%
Sat 15th, 08:30
Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United
Australia South Australia State League 1 1.53 Bet365 1.51 1.32%
Fri 14th, 10:30
Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
Australia Npl Queensland 1.56 Pinnacle 1.52 2.63%
20:15
Thróttur Reykjavík W vs Valur W
Iceland Premier League Women 1.66 Bet365 1.52 9.21%
19:45
Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa
England Non League Premier: Southern South 1.78 Kambi Group 1.54 15.58%
Thu 13th, 17:00
Flora vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Europe Europa Conference League 2.00 Betfair Exchange 1.54 29.87%
20:00
Paris Saint Germain vs Aston Villa
Europe UEFA Super Cup 1.86 1xBet 1.54 20.78%
16:30
Füzesabony vs Nyíregyháza II
Hungary NB 3: Northeast 1.60 Bet365 1.55 3.23%
Sat 15th, 06:00
Heidelberg United vs Hume City
Australia Npl Victoria 1.68 Bet365 1.55 8.39%
Sat 15th, 10:30
White City Woodville vs Adelaide City
Australia Npl South Australian 1.58 Kambi Group 1.55 1.94%
Thu 13th, 14:00
Norchi Dinamo vs Guria
Georgia Liga 3 1.75 Bet365 1.55 12.9%
Fri 14th, 10:45
Dandenong City vs Altona Magic
Australia Npl Victoria 1.75 Bet365 1.56 12.18%
Sat 15th, 09:00
Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale Heights
Australia Npl Victoria 1.58 Bet365 1.57 0.64%
16:00
Sokol Tasovice vs Uherský Brod
Czech Republic Czech Cup 1.58 Betfair Exchange 1.57 0.64%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Sporting Hasselt vs Dender
Belgium Challenger Pro League 1.62 Pinnacle 1.58 2.53%
Fri 14th, 16:00
Pohronie vs MFK Bytča
Slovakia 2. Liga 1.70 Bet365 1.59 6.92%
Fri 14th, 17:00
Ekranas vs Minija
Lithuania 1. Lyga 1.65 Kambi Group 1.61 2.48%
15:30
Băicoi vs Metalul Buzău
Romania Romania Cup 1.63 Betfair Exchange 1.61 1.24%
19:45
Corby Town vs Boston Town FC
England Non League Div One: Northern Midlands 1.72 Bet365 1.63 5.52%
Thu 13th, 17:30
Rīgas FS vs Jablonec
Europe Europa Conference League 2.16 Betfair Exchange 1.63 32.52%
Fri 14th, 17:00
Kladno vs Vlašim
Czech Republic Chance Národní Liga 1.79 1xBet 1.64 9.15%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Airbus UK vs Ammanford
Wales Premier League 1.72 Betano 1.64 4.88%
Fri 14th, 01:30
América vs Austin
North & Central America Leagues Cup 1.67 Betano 1.65 1.21%
Sat 15th, 01:00
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin
Ecuador Liga Pro 1.67 Kambi Group 1.65 1.21%
15:30
Tunari vs Stefanesti
Romania Romania Cup 1.80 Bet365 1.66 8.43%
Thu 13th, 17:15
Abha vs Al Hazm
Saudi Arabia Pro League 2.00 Betano 1.67 19.76%
Thu 13th, 19:30
Rangers vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Europe Europa League 1.79 1xBet 1.67 7.19%
Fri 14th, 16:00
VPS vs TPS
Finland Veikkausliiga 1.86 Betfair Exchange 1.67 11.38%
15:30
Flacăra Moreni vs Chindia Târgovişte
Romania Romania Cup 1.77 Betfair Exchange 1.68 5.36%
Thu 13th, 19:30
Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem
Europe Europa Conference League 1.75 Kambi Group 1.7 2.94%
Thu 13th, 00:00
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City
United States USL League One Cup 1.72 Betfair Exchange 1.7 1.18%
Thu 13th, 18:00
Hammarby vs Raków Częstochowa
Europe Europa Conference League 1.82 Betfair Exchange 1.7 7.06%
Fri 14th, 18:00
Liptovský Mikuláš vs Lokomotíva Zvolen
Slovakia 2. Liga 1.83 Kambi Group 1.71 7.02%
Sat 15th, 02:00
Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío
Mexico Liga de Expansión MX 1.75 Betano 1.72 1.74%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden
Belgium Pro League 1.75 Betfair Exchange 1.72 1.74%
Fri 14th, 19:45
Haverfordwest County vs Penybont
Wales Premier League 2.00 Bet365 1.72 16.28%
15:30
CIL Blaj vs Sănătatea Cluj
Romania Romania Cup 1.87 Betfair Exchange 1.74 7.47%
Fri 14th, 13:00
Ekibastuz vs Jaiyq
Kazakhstan First Division 1.78 1xBet 1.74 2.3%

Under 2.5 Value Bets

26
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
23:30
Olimpo vs Villa Mitre
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.36 Bet365 1.31 3.82%
Sat 15th, 00:30
Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Primera B Nacional 1.35 Kambi Group 1.32 2.27%
Fri 14th, 19:00
Acassuso vs Midland
Argentina Primera B Nacional 1.45 Kambi Group 1.38 5.07%
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Over 3.5 Value Bets

30
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
17:30
Harju JK Laagri II W vs Elva W
Estonia Meistriliiga Women 1.29 1xBet 1.19 8.4%
Sat 15th, 08:15
West Adelaide Res. vs Playford City Res.
Australia South Australia Reserves Premier League 1.42 Kambi Group 1.29 10.08%
Fri 14th, 09:15
Eltham Redbacks U23 vs Manningham United U23
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 Youth 1.61 Kambi Group 1.32 21.97%
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Under 3.5 Value Bets

109
KO Match Competition Best Odds Bookmaker Model Odds Value %
Fri 14th, 19:00
Acassuso vs Midland
Argentina Primera B Nacional 1.15 Kambi Group 1.14 0.88%
19:00
Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Santamarina
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.16 Bet365 1.15 0.87%
Thu 13th, 01:30
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sol de América
Argentina Torneo Federal A 1.16 Kambi Group 1.15 0.87%
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How We Identify Football Value Bets

We analyse every fixture on this page by comparing two things: the statistical probability of an outcome based on real home and away form data, and the implied probability from the bookmaker's odds. When the stats suggest a higher chance than the odds imply, that's a value bet. For example, if a home team's data suggests a 55% chance of winning but the odds imply only 45%, there's a 10% value gap. We run this across all eight markets: home wins, draws, away wins, BTTS, Over 2.5, Under 2.5, Over 3.5 and Under 3.5 Goals, so you can find value wherever the numbers point.

What makes a strong value bet?

The best value bets combine a meaningful value gap (10%+) with a solid sample size (15+ games for both teams). A small value gap on a large sample is more reliable than a huge gap on five games. The market matters too. Goals markets like Over 2.5 and BTTS tend to produce steadier value than result markets, because scoring and conceding patterns are more predictable than match outcomes.

How to use value bets in accumulators and bet builders

Value bets work well both as singles and in accumulators. For singles, focus on the highest value gaps with the strongest sample sizes. For accumulators, pick four or five value selections across different matches. Mixing markets, like a home win value bet with an Over 2.5 value bet on a different fixture, helps balance the risk. You can also use value bets in bet builders by combining selections from the same fixture: if a match shows value on both Home Win and Over 2.5, that's a strong bet builder candidate. For curated accumulator picks, check our 10 Teams to Win Today page.

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

Frequently Asked Questions

Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.

What is a value bet in football?

A value bet is a selection where the bookmaker's odds are higher than the actual statistical probability of the outcome. In other words, the bookmaker is offering a better price than the data suggests they should. For example, if a team has a 60% chance of winning based on their form data but the odds imply only 45%, there's a 15% value gap. Value betting is a long-term approach. Individual bets lose, but if your probability estimates are accurate, backing positive-value selections over time should leave you ahead of the bookmaker's margin.

How do you calculate value in football betting?

We calculate value by comparing two probabilities. First, the statistical probability based on real home and away form data from the current season. Second, the implied probability from the bookmaker's odds, worked out as 1 ÷ odds × 100. When the statistical probability is higher than the implied probability, the difference is the value percentage. A 10% gap means the stats rate the outcome 10 percentage points more likely than the odds imply, which is a meaningful edge worth considering.

Are value bets profitable long term?

Value betting is widely regarded as the most sustainable approach to football betting, but it comes with one big condition: it only works if your probability estimates are genuinely more accurate than the odds imply. When they are, the maths works in your favour across a large number of bets. Individual selections still lose, that's expected, and the edge comes from volume and discipline. Professional bettors and syndicates lean on value-based approaches because, done well, it's the approach most likely to show a positive return over time. Done with weak probabilities, it doesn't, so the quality of the underlying data is everything.

What is a good value percentage to look for?

A value gap of 10% or above is generally a strong signal. Gaps of 5–10% can still be worthwhile, but they need larger sample sizes to be confident the edge is real rather than noise. Anything above 15% is a strong signal, though at that level it's worth double-checking the odds haven't moved since the page last updated. The minimum value filter on this page defaults to 15%, and you can adjust it to find more or fewer selections

Can I use value bets in an accumulator?

Yes. Value bets work well in accumulators, because each leg carries positive expected value that compounds across the bet, assuming each probability is sound. The key is keeping every leg backed by strong data rather than padding the acca with weaker selections. Four or five value selections across different matches is a practical ceiling. Mixing markets across fixtures, like a home win value bet on one game and an Over 2.5 value bet on another, spreads your exposure.

What is the difference between a value bet and a tip?

A tip is a recommendation to bet on a specific outcome, based on data, intuition or anything in between. A value bet is specifically a selection where the statistical probability is higher than the odds imply. Every value bet could be called a tip, but not every tip is a value bet. The difference matters, because a tip might win without offering value, and repeating that over time won't be profitable. Value, when your probabilities are accurate, is what gives the approach an edge.

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