How to Find Value Bets in Football Using Stats — A Data-Driven Guide
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Over 1.5 Home Team Goals — Stats & Predictions for Upcoming Matches
Find upcoming fixtures where the home team is most likely to score two or more goals, backed by real home form data from the current season. Every fixture is ranked using the home team's Over 1.5 Goals scoring percentage in their home games this season — a direct measure of how consistently they've been scoring two or more at home. Updated every 2 hours across hundreds of leagues worldwide.
⚽ Today's Over 1.5 Home Team Goals Acca
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Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães 20:15 BST | Liga Portugal, Portugal Sporting CP have scored over 1.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Vitória Guimarães have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.367% combined
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🔒 Upgrade to Pro Al Ettifaq vs Al Najma 19:00 BST | Pro League, Saudi Arabia Al Ettifaq have scored over 1.5 goals in 9/15 home matches this season · Al Najma have conceded over 1.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.567% combined
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🔒 Upgrade to Pro Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have scored over 1.5 goals in 14/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4464% combined
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Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Arsenal have scored over 1.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Atlético Madrid have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7277% combined
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🔒 Upgrade to Pro Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju 06:00 BST | K League 1, South Korea Jeonbuk Motors have scored over 1.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Gwangju have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5765% combined
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🔒 Upgrade to Pro Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce 17:00 BST | Niké Liga, Slovakia Žilina have scored over 1.5 goals in 8/14 home matches this season · Zemplín Michalovce have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4454% combined
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Monday, 4 May
Al Ettifaq have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 15 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Al Najma have conceded over 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 15 away games (73%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Al Ettifaq score 1.67 and concede 1.53 per home game. Al Najma score 0.73 and concede 2.53 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Sporting CP have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 15 home games (73%) — an outstanding home record.
Vitória Guimarães have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Sporting CP score 2.87 and concede 0.67 per home game. Vitória Guimarães score 0.8 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.3.
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Almería have scored over 1.5 goals in 14 of their last 18 home games (78%) — an outstanding home record.
Mirandés have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 18 away games (50%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Almería score 2.56 and concede 1.44 per home game. Mirandés score 1.17 and concede 1.72 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.44.
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Radomiak Radom have scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 15 home games (47%) — a moderate home record.
Lechia Gdańsk have conceded over 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 14 away games (79%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Radomiak Radom score 1.93 and concede 0.93 per home game. Lechia Gdańsk score 1.57 and concede 2.21 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
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Shamrock Rovers have scored over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 7 home games (57%) — a strong home record.
Drogheda United have conceded over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 away games (67%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Shamrock Rovers score 1.71 and concede 0.57 per home game. Drogheda United score 1.67 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.72.
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FC Midtjylland have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Viborg FF have conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 14 away games (43%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, FC Midtjylland score 2.71 and concede 1.29 per home game. Viborg FF score 1.29 and concede 1.29 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
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Vélez Sarsfield have scored over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
Newell's Old Boys have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 away games (71%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Vélez Sarsfield score 1.14 and concede 0.71 per home game. Newell's Old Boys score 1.14 and concede 2.29 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.83.
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Dugopolje have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 14 home games (57%) — a strong home record.
Cibalia have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 56% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Dugopolje score 1.79 and concede 0.93 per home game. Cibalia score 1.08 and concede 1.23 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 3.
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CR Belouizdad have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 12 home games (50%) — a strong home record.
USM Khenchela have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 52% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, CR Belouizdad score 1.83 and concede 0.92 per home game. USM Khenchela score 1.15 and concede 1.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
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Derry City have scored over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 7 home games (57%) — a strong home record.
Galway United have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 away games (43%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Derry City score 1.71 and concede 1.43 per home game. Galway United score 0.86 and concede 1.43 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.83.
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Sligo Rovers have scored over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
St Patrick's have conceded over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 7 away games (57%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sligo Rovers score 0.86 and concede 1.14 per home game. St Patrick's score 1.43 and concede 1.29 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 4.
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Maccabi Netanya have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 15 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Hapoel Jerusalem have conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 15 away games (40%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Maccabi Netanya score 1.87 and concede 1.73 per home game. Hapoel Jerusalem score 0.93 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
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Los Chankas have scored over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — an outstanding home record.
Deportivo Garcilaso have conceded over 1.5 goals in 2 of their last 6 away games (33%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Los Chankas score 2.17 and concede 0.83 per home game. Deportivo Garcilaso score 0.5 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.
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Roma have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 17 home games (53%) — a strong home record.
Fiorentina have conceded over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 17 away games (47%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Roma score 1.59 and concede 0.59 per home game. Fiorentina score 1.06 and concede 1.47 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.72.
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Al Ittihad have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 14 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
Al Kholood have conceded over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 15 away games (53%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 48% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Al Ittihad score 1.36 and concede 1.07 per home game. Al Kholood score 1.47 and concede 1.8 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.44.
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Chelsea have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 17 home games (47%) — a moderate home record.
Nottingham Forest have conceded over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 17 away games (47%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 47% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Chelsea score 1.35 and concede 1.24 per home game. Nottingham Forest score 1.35 and concede 1.41 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
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Treaty United have scored over 1.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Wexford Youths have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 45% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Treaty United score 0.8 and concede 1.2 per home game. Wexford Youths score 1.17 and concede 1.17 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.75.
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Rapid Bucuresti have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 18 home games (50%) — a strong home record.
CFR Cluj have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 18 away games (39%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 45% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Rapid Bucuresti score 1.67 and concede 1.11 per home game. CFR Cluj score 1.17 and concede 1.28 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.25.
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Polonia Bytom have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 15 home games (53%) — a strong home record.
Polonia Warszawa have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 15 away games (33%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 43% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Polonia Bytom score 1.8 and concede 0.93 per home game. Polonia Warszawa score 1.8 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
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Torreense have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 15 home games (40%) — a moderate home record.
Penafiel have conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 15 away games (40%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 40% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Torreense score 1.2 and concede 1.07 per home game. Penafiel score 1 and concede 1.27 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Tuesday, 5 May
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Arsenal have scored over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 home games (83%) — an outstanding home record.
Atlético Madrid have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 away games (71%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Arsenal score 2.33 and concede 0.5 per home game. Atlético Madrid score 1.86 and concede 2.29 per away game. That points to an expected 3.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.72.
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Jeonbuk Motors have scored over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 home games (80%) — an outstanding home record.
Gwangju have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Jeonbuk Motors score 2 and concede 1.6 per home game. Gwangju score 0.33 and concede 2.5 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.57.
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Žilina have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 14 home games (57%) — a strong home record.
Zemplín Michalovce have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 54% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Žilina score 1.93 and concede 1 per home game. Zemplín Michalovce score 1.07 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.44.
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Seoul have scored over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Anyang have conceded over 1.5 goals in 2 of their last 6 away games (33%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 47% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Seoul score 2.2 and concede 0.8 per home game. Anyang score 1.67 and concede 1.17 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
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Magesi have scored over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 12 home games (42%) — a moderate home record.
Orbit College have conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 13 away games (46%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 44% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Magesi score 1.42 and concede 1.5 per home game. Orbit College score 0.69 and concede 1.62 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.62.
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Oman Club have scored over 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 11 home games (45%) — a moderate home record.
Al-Smail have conceded over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 11 away games (36%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 41% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Oman Club score 1.18 and concede 1.09 per home game. Al-Smail score 1.36 and concede 1.36 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.2.
Wednesday, 6 May
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FC Bayern München have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 6 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Paris Saint Germain have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 away games (43%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 72% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, FC Bayern München score 3.33 and concede 1 per home game. Paris Saint Germain score 2.57 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.28.
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Kashima Antlers have scored over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
Mito Hollyhock have conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kashima Antlers score 1.43 and concede 0.29 per home game. Mito Hollyhock score 1.13 and concede 2.38 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.83.
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Kawasaki Frontale have scored over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 7 home games (57%) — a strong home record.
Tokyo Verdy have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kawasaki Frontale score 1.86 and concede 2.43 per home game. Tokyo Verdy score 1.4 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
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Slavia Sofia have scored over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 16 home games (50%) — a strong home record.
Septemvri Sofia have conceded over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 16 away games (56%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Slavia Sofia score 1.31 and concede 1.06 per home game. Septemvri Sofia score 0.75 and concede 2.13 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.37.
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AmaZulu have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 13 home games (46%) — a moderate home record.
Golden Arrows have conceded over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals — a strong case for this bet.
On average, AmaZulu score 1.46 and concede 0.85 per home game. Golden Arrows score 1.23 and concede 1.92 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.25.
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Nagoya Grampus have scored over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 home games (43%) — a moderate home record.
Gamba Osaka have conceded over 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 7 away games (43%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 43% of their games have featured over 1.5 home team goals.
On average, Nagoya Grampus score 1.43 and concede 1.43 per home game. Gamba Osaka score 1.14 and concede 1.29 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.25.
Top 30 Upcoming Matches For a Over 1.5 Home Team Goals
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a Over 1.5 Home Team Goals. Statistics are based on combined home and away form—for example, a combined Over 1.5 Home Team Goals record of 9/10 could represent 5 home games for the home team, and 4 away games for away team.
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| Match | Combined Over 1.5 Home Team Goals | Combined Over 1.5 Home Team Goals % | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid (Europe) |
10 / 13 | 77% | In 1 day | 1.72 |
| Home vs Away (Europe) |
9 / 13 | 69% | In 2 days | 1.28 |
| Home vs Away (Portugal) |
20 / 30 | 67% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Saudi Arabia) |
20 / 30 | 67% | Today | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (Spain) |
23 / 36 | 64% | Today | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (South Korea) |
7 / 11 | 64% | In 1 day | 1.57 |
| Home vs Away (Poland) |
18 / 29 | 62% | Today | 1.9 |
| Home vs Away (Republic of Ireland) |
8 / 13 | 62% | Today | 1.72 |
| Home vs Away (Denmark) |
17 / 28 | 61% | Today | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (Japan) |
9 / 15 | 60% | In 2 days | 1.83 |
| Home vs Away (Japan) |
7 / 12 | 58% | In 2 days | 2.1 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
8 / 14 | 57% | Today | 1.83 |
| Home vs Away (Croatia) |
15 / 27 | 56% | Today | 3 |
| Home vs Away (Slovakia) |
15 / 28 | 54% | In 1 day | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (Bulgaria) |
17 / 32 | 53% | In 2 days | 2.37 |
| Home vs Away (Algeria) |
13 / 25 | 52% | Today | 1.4 |
| Home vs Away (Peru) |
6 / 12 | 50% | Today | 2 |
| Home vs Away (Italy) |
17 / 34 | 50% | Today | 1.72 |
| Home vs Away (Israel) |
15 / 30 | 50% | Today | 1.8 |
| Home vs Away (Republic of Ireland) |
7 / 14 | 50% | Today | 1.83 |
| Home vs Away (South Africa) |
13 / 26 | 50% | In 2 days | 2.25 |
| Home vs Away (Republic of Ireland) |
7 / 14 | 50% | Today | 4 |
| Home vs Away (Saudi Arabia) |
14 / 29 | 48% | Today | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
16 / 34 | 47% | Today | 1.66 |
| Home vs Away (Republic of Ireland) |
5 / 11 | 45% | Today | 2.75 |
| Home vs Away (South Korea) |
5 / 11 | 45% | In 1 day | 1.9 |
| Home vs Away (Romania) |
16 / 36 | 45% | Today | 2.25 |
| Home vs Away (South Africa) |
11 / 25 | 44% | In 1 day | 2.62 |
| Home vs Away (South Africa) |
11 / 25 | 44% | In 2 days | 1.8 |
| Home vs Away (Egypt) |
10 / 23 | 43% | In 1 day | 4.5 |
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
How to Use Our Over 1.5 Home Team Goals Stats
Over 1.5 Home Team Goals is a focused market that isolates the home side's attacking output — you're not predicting the match result, just whether the home team will score twice or more. When backed by real home form data, it's one of the most statistically consistent markets on the site. Here's how to get the most from this page.
Each fixture shows the home team's Over 1.5 Goals scoring percentage in their home games this season, average goals scored at home, and the current odds. Use the home scoring percentage as your guide — the higher the figure, the more consistently that team has been scoring two or more goals at home this season.
What is the home scoring percentage and how is it calculated?
Every fixture on this page shows the home team's Over 1.5 Home Team Goals percentage. This is calculated by looking at how many of their home games this season the home team has scored two or more goals in, expressed as a percentage of total home games played.
A figure of 75% means the home team has scored two or more goals in three out of every four home games this season. Because it's based specifically on home performance rather than overall form, it's a much more accurate indicator for this market than general scoring averages.
What makes a strong Over 1.5 Home Team Goals selection?
The best picks combine a high home scoring percentage with a meaningful sample size. A team showing 80% from 15 home games is a much stronger signal than 80% from just 5 games. We show the raw numbers alongside the percentage so always check the sample size before committing.
Also look at the average goals scored at home. A side averaging 2.5 goals per home game is a naturally compelling candidate — and checking the away team's defensive record adds a further layer of confidence. A leaky away defence facing a prolific home side is the classic Over 1.5 Home Team Goals profile.
Should I use these picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your betting style.
For singles, Over 1.5 Home Team Goals often offers better odds than the equivalent Over 1.5 Goals market because it's a more specific outcome — and when the home team's scoring record is strong, the statistical case is very clear.
For accumulators, combining four or five fixtures at 70%+ from a solid sample size produces attractive odds while keeping each pick grounded in data. This is a naturally focused market for accumulators — you're picking attacking home sides rather than making complex match predictions.
Can I combine Over 1.5 Home Team Goals with other markets?
Yes — it pairs naturally with a number of other markets. A fixture where the home team has a high Over 1.5 scoring percentage and a strong Home Win percentage is doubly compelling — the home side is likely to both win and score heavily. Similarly, combining with Over 2.5 Goals works well for fixtures where the away side also concedes freely.
For the away team equivalent, our Over 1.5 Away Team Goals page uses the same approach for visiting sides. And for a full view of all markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
hat does Over 1.5 Home Team Goals mean in football betting?
Over 1.5 Home Team Goals is a market where you predict the home team will score two or more goals in the match. It doesn't matter what the final score is or whether the home team wins — as long as they score at least twice, the bet wins. It's a focused market that isolates the home side's attacking output rather than the overall match result.
What does the home scoring percentage mean on your stats page?
The home scoring percentage shows how often the home team in each fixture has scored two or more goals in their home games this season. It's based specifically on home performance rather than overall form, making it a much more accurate indicator for this market. A team at 75% has scored two or more in three out of every four home games this season.
What percentage should I look for when backing Over 1.5 Home Team Goals?
A home scoring percentage of 70% or above is a solid starting point — it means the team has been scoring two or more goals at home in seven out of ten home fixtures this season. For the strongest selections, look for 75%+ from a sample size of at least 10 home games.
How does Over 1.5 Home Team Goals differ from Over 2.5 Goals?
Over 1.5 Home Team Goals only counts goals scored by the home team — the away team's contribution is irrelevant. Over 2.5 Goals counts goals from both teams combined. A match ending 2-0 would win Over 1.5 Home Team Goals but lose Over 2.5 Goals. A match ending 2-1 would win both. Our Over 2.5 Goals page uses the same data-driven approach for the combined market.
Which leagues produce the most Over 1.5 Home Team Goals results?
Leagues with strong home advantage and attacking football tend to produce the most — the Premier League, Bundesliga, and Dutch Eredivisie are consistently strong. However, team-by-team stats matter more than the league — a prolific home side in any division can produce compelling Over 1.5 Home Team Goals candidates. Our stats cover 100+ leagues so you can find value wherever the numbers point.
Can I use Over 1.5 Home Team Goals in an accumulator?
Yes — it's one of the most popular team-specific markets for accumulators. The focused nature of the bet means you're building from attacking home stats rather than predicting full match outcomes. Aim for fixtures showing 70%+ from a solid sample size. Consider pairing with Home Win for fixtures that are compelling from both a result and scoring perspective.
Is Over 1.5 Home Team Goals good for beginners?
Yes — the outcome is simple and the stats are easy to read. You're looking for home sides that regularly score twice or more at home, backed by a clear percentage. Start with this page and explore more markets with a Pro subscription when you're ready.
What's a good home scoring percentage to look for?
As a general guide, 70% or above represents a statistically strong case — the team has been scoring two or more goals in the majority of their home games this season. For the highest-confidence selections, look for 75%+ from at least 10 home games. Below 60% is worth treating with caution regardless of the odds.
How often are the Over 1.5 Home Team Goals stats updated?
All stats are updated every 2 hours, ensuring you always have the latest home form data for all upcoming fixtures.
Do you provide Over 1.5 Home Team Goals football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Over 1.5 Home Team Goals stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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