What is Over 2.5 Goals in Football Betting? Explained With Stats
Over 2.5 Goals is one of the most popular markets in football betting — and one of the most data-driven. Whether you're ...
Home Win Tips — Free Football Stats & Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home and how often the away team loses on the road — combined into a single percentage to highlight the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. Updated every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
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Al-Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Futuwa 14:00 BST | Premier League, Syria Al-Ittihad Aleppo have won in 6/7 home matches this season · Al Futuwa have lost in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.272% combined
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Plaza Amador II vs Alianza II 15:00 BST | Liga Prom, Panama Plaza Amador II have won in 6/7 home matches this season · Alianza II have lost in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.368% combined
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Al Fujairah vs Ittifaq 14:55 BST | Division 1, United Arab Emirates Al Fujairah have won in 7/11 home matches this season · Ittifaq have lost in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6669% combined
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Seekirchen vs Kufstein 18:30 BST | Regionalliga: West, Austria Seekirchen have won in 8/12 home matches this season · Kufstein have lost in 7/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2766% combined
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Borneo vs Semen Padang 13:00 BST | Liga 1, Indonesia Borneo have won in 12/14 home matches this season · Semen Padang have lost in 10/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3679% combined
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Venezia vs Empoli 16:15 BST | Serie B, Italy Venezia have won in 15/17 home matches this season · Empoli have lost in 11/17 away matches this season · Odds: 1.477% combined
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UCV Moquegua vs FC Cajamarca 19:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru UCV Moquegua have won in 3/5 home matches this season · FC Cajamarca have lost in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9572% combined
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Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Club 20:00 BST | La Liga, Spain Atlético Madrid have won in 13/16 home matches this season · Athletic Club have lost in 9/15 away matches this season · Odds: 2.1571% combined
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Friday, 24 April
Al-Ittihad Aleppo have won 6 of their last 7 home games (86%) — an outstanding home record.
Al Futuwa have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Al-Ittihad Aleppo score 3.14 and concede 1 per home game. Al Futuwa score 1.29 and concede 1.43 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Plaza Amador II have won 6 of their last 7 home games (86%) — an outstanding home record.
Alianza II have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Plaza Amador II score 5 and concede 1 per home game. Alianza II score 2.17 and concede 2.33 per away game. That points to an expected 5.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.3.
Al Fujairah have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Ittifaq have lost 8 of their last 11 away games (73%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Al Fujairah score 2.09 and concede 1.55 per home game. Ittifaq score 1.27 and concede 1.82 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Seekirchen have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Kufstein have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Seekirchen score 2.5 and concede 1.25 per home game. Kufstein score 1 and concede 1.91 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.27.
Kaiserslautern have won 10 of their last 15 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Eintracht Braunschweig have lost 9 of their last 14 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kaiserslautern score 2.2 and concede 1.13 per home game. Eintracht Braunschweig score 1 and concede 1.79 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
Napoli have won 11 of their last 16 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Cremonese have lost 10 of their last 17 away games (59%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Napoli score 1.63 and concede 0.94 per home game. Cremonese score 0.76 and concede 1.41 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
RB Leipzig have won 10 of their last 15 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
FC Union Berlin have lost 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, RB Leipzig score 2.33 and concede 1.2 per home game. FC Union Berlin score 0.93 and concede 1.87 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.42.
Al Wasl have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Dibba Al Fujairah have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Al Wasl score 1.27 and concede 0.45 per home game. Dibba Al Fujairah score 0.91 and concede 2.27 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Sochaux have won 8 of their last 13 home games (62%) — a strong home record.
Bourg-en-Bresse have lost 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sochaux score 1.77 and concede 0.54 per home game. Bourg-en-Bresse score 0.73 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
Oakleigh Cannons have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Bentleigh Greens have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Oakleigh Cannons score 2.2 and concede 2 per home game. Bentleigh Greens score 0.4 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Karlovac 1919 have won 9 of their last 14 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Dugopolje have lost 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Karlovac 1919 score 1.64 and concede 0.64 per home game. Dugopolje score 0.54 and concede 1.15 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.3.
Arenas de Getxo have won 10 of their last 16 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
Merida have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 56.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Arenas de Getxo score 1.69 and concede 1.38 per home game. Merida score 1 and concede 1.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.63.
Saturday, 25 April
Borneo have won 12 of their last 14 home games (86%) — an outstanding home record.
Semen Padang have lost 10 of their last 14 away games (71%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 78.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Borneo score 2.36 and concede 0.64 per home game. Semen Padang score 0.71 and concede 1.93 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
Venezia have won 15 of their last 17 home games (88%) — an outstanding home record.
Empoli have lost 11 of their last 17 away games (65%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 76.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Venezia score 2.35 and concede 0.71 per home game. Empoli score 1 and concede 1.71 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
UCV Moquegua have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
FC Cajamarca have lost 5 of their last 6 away games (83%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, UCV Moquegua score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per home game. FC Cajamarca score 0.5 and concede 1.83 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.95.
Atlético Madrid have won 13 of their last 16 home games (81%) — an outstanding home record.
Athletic Club have lost 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Atlético Madrid score 2.19 and concede 0.88 per home game. Athletic Club score 0.87 and concede 1.73 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.15.
Voitsberg have won 9 of their last 11 home games (82%) — an outstanding home record.
Weiz have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Voitsberg score 3.45 and concede 0.45 per home game. Weiz score 1.55 and concede 2.27 per away game. That points to an expected 3.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Shaftesbury Town have won 16 of their last 19 home games (84%) — an outstanding home record.
Exmouth have lost 10 of their last 20 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Shaftesbury Town score 2.58 and concede 1.11 per home game. Exmouth score 1.15 and concede 1.65 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 4.33.
Needham Market have won 14 of their last 20 home games (70%) — a strong home record.
Banbury United have lost 12 of their last 20 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Needham Market score 2 and concede 1.2 per home game. Banbury United score 1 and concede 1.75 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.42.
Písek have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Loko Vltavín have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Písek score 2 and concede 0.92 per home game. Loko Vltavín score 0.91 and concede 1.55 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.72.
Carlisle United have won 14 of their last 22 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Brackley Town have lost 14 of their last 22 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Carlisle United score 2.27 and concede 1.09 per home game. Brackley Town score 0.95 and concede 1.95 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
Slavia Praha have won 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Sigma Olomouc have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Slavia Praha score 2.36 and concede 0.64 per home game. Sigma Olomouc score 1.14 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
Arsenal have won 12 of their last 16 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Newcastle United have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Arsenal score 2.25 and concede 0.69 per home game. Newcastle United score 1 and concede 1.31 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.45.
Cambridge United have won 14 of their last 22 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Barrow have lost 13 of their last 22 away games (59%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Cambridge United score 1.82 and concede 0.68 per home game. Barrow score 1.23 and concede 1.86 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.29.
Olympique Lyonnais have won 10 of their last 14 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Auxerre have lost 8 of their last 15 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Olympique Lyonnais score 1.64 and concede 0.71 per home game. Auxerre score 0.8 and concede 1.6 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.67.
Linfield have won 13 of their last 18 home games (72%) — a strong home record.
Cliftonville have lost 9 of their last 18 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Linfield score 2.11 and concede 0.67 per home game. Cliftonville score 1.17 and concede 1.72 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.62.
Forest Green Rovers have won 14 of their last 22 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Morecambe have lost 12 of their last 22 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Forest Green Rovers score 2 and concede 1 per home game. Morecambe score 1.68 and concede 2.36 per away game. That points to an expected 3.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Sūduva have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Panevėžys have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sūduva score 2 and concede 0.4 per home game. Panevėžys score 1 and concede 2.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Macarthur Rams have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Dulwich Hill have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Macarthur Rams score 2.2 and concede 1 per home game. Dulwich Hill score 1 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Canberra United W have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Melbourne Victory W have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Canberra United W score 1.9 and concede 1.1 per home game. Melbourne Victory W score 1.7 and concede 1.8 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.95.
Donau Klagenfurt have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Klagenfurter AC 1909 have lost 5 of their last 9 away games (56%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Donau Klagenfurt score 1.7 and concede 0.6 per home game. Klagenfurter AC 1909 score 0.89 and concede 2.11 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Sunday, 26 April
Drochtersen / Assel have won 13 of their last 15 home games (87%) — an outstanding home record.
Altona 93 have lost 11 of their last 14 away games (79%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 83% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Drochtersen / Assel score 3 and concede 1.13 per home game. Altona 93 score 1.21 and concede 3.07 per away game. That points to an expected 4.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.25.
River Plate have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Aldosivi have lost 6 of their last 7 away games (86%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 76.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, River Plate score 1.83 and concede 1 per home game. Aldosivi score 0.29 and concede 1.57 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Burnley W have won 10 of their last 10 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Stoke City W have lost 5 of their last 10 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Burnley W score 3.2 and concede 0.2 per home game. Stoke City W score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 15.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers have won 6 of their last 6 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
St. George Saints have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, APIA Leichhardt Tigers score 3 and concede 1.17 per home game. St. George Saints score 0.83 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.28.
Athletico PR have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%) — an outstanding home record.
Vitória have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Athletico PR score 2 and concede 0.67 per home game. Vitória score 0.6 and concede 2.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.7.
São Paulo have won 4 of their last 5 home games (80%) — an outstanding home record.
Mirassol have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, São Paulo score 2 and concede 0.6 per home game. Mirassol score 1.2 and concede 1.6 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.91.
Olympique Marseille have won 10 of their last 15 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Nice have lost 10 of their last 15 away games (67%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Olympique Marseille score 2.47 and concede 1.2 per home game. Nice score 1.07 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
América have won 12 of their last 17 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Atlas have lost 10 of their last 16 away games (63%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, América score 1.76 and concede 0.94 per home game. Atlas score 0.88 and concede 1.94 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
Toluca have won 12 of their last 19 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
León have lost 11 of their last 16 away games (69%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Toluca score 2.32 and concede 1.05 per home game. León score 0.56 and concede 2.06 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
VfB Stuttgart have won 11 of their last 15 home games (73%) — a strong home record.
Werder Bremen have lost 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, VfB Stuttgart score 1.73 and concede 0.93 per home game. Werder Bremen score 1.13 and concede 1.8 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
Sydney United U20 have won 5 of their last 7 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Wollongong Wolves U20 have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sydney United U20 score 2.57 and concede 1 per home game. Wollongong Wolves U20 score 2 and concede 2.4 per away game. That points to an expected 4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Municipal have won 19 of their last 24 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Mixco have lost 11 of their last 22 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Municipal score 2 and concede 0.58 per home game. Mixco score 1.09 and concede 1.41 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.42.
Xelajú have won 14 of their last 21 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Cobán Imperial have lost 13 of their last 21 away games (62%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Xelajú score 2.1 and concede 0.67 per home game. Cobán Imperial score 0.62 and concede 1.43 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Celje have won 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Aluminij have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Celje score 2.5 and concede 0.5 per home game. Aluminij score 1.43 and concede 1.71 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.25.
Borussia Dortmund have won 11 of their last 15 home games (73%) — a strong home record.
SC Freiburg have lost 8 of their last 15 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede 0.93 per home game. SC Freiburg score 1.07 and concede 1.87 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.38.
Malacateco have won 13 of their last 22 home games (59%) — a moderate home record.
Comunicaciones have lost 13 of their last 21 away games (62%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Malacateco score 1.45 and concede 0.86 per home game. Comunicaciones score 0.67 and concede 1.48 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Cusco FC have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Sport Huancayo have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Cusco FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 per home game. Sport Huancayo score 1 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.7.
Guadalajara have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Tijuana have lost 9 of their last 17 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Guadalajara score 2.29 and concede 1 per home game. Tijuana score 1.24 and concede 1.94 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Rot-Weiss Essen have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Saarbrücken have lost 9 of their last 17 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Rot-Weiss Essen score 2.18 and concede 1.18 per home game. Saarbrücken score 0.94 and concede 1.82 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.7.
Monday, 27 April
Universitario have won 6 of their last 6 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Alianza Atlético have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 80% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Universitario score 2 and concede 0.33 per home game. Alianza Atlético score 0.6 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.27.
Cruz Azul have won 12 of their last 18 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Necaxa have lost 10 of their last 16 away games (63%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Cruz Azul score 1.94 and concede 1.06 per home game. Necaxa score 1.31 and concede 2.25 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.38.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
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| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador II vs Alianza II (Panama) |
6 / 7 | 85.92% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
10 / 10 | 82.37% | In 2 days | 15 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
14 / 22 | 79.24% | In 1 day | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
14 / 22 | 77.73% | In 1 day | 1.33 |
| Home vs Away (Estonia) |
3 / 5 | 77.32% | In 2 days | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Türkiye) |
12 / 18 | 76.3% | In 2 days | 1.7 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
6 / 6 | 74.82% | In 2 days | 1.28 |
| Home vs Away (Austria) |
9 / 11 | 74.25% | In 1 day | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Northern Ireland) |
8 / 12 | 73.11% | In 1 day | 1.4 |
| Home vs Away (Guatemala) |
19 / 24 | 72.65% | In 2 days | 1.42 |
| Home vs Away (Guatemala) |
14 / 21 | 72.27% | In 2 days | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
14 / 20 | 71.83% | In 1 day | 1.42 |
| Home vs Away (United States) |
6 / 7 | 71.75% | In 2 days | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Indonesia) |
12 / 14 | 71.49% | In 1 day | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (England) |
14 / 20 | 71.41% | In 1 day | 1.3 |
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the most straightforward football betting markets — and one of the most statistically reliable when you're backing the right sides. Here's how to get the most out of our stats page.
How is the home win probability calculated?
Every fixture on this page is ranked using two key figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these two figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than simply looking at a league table or overall form.
For example, a home team that has won 8 of their last 10 home games paired with an away side that has lost 7 of their last 10 away games represents a very strong statistical case for a home win. That's the kind of data-driven edge this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks combine a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is compelling — but if the away side has also lost 70% of their away games, the statistical case becomes significantly stronger.
Also pay attention to the sample size. A home team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 4 from 5, even though both show 80%. We display the raw numbers alongside the percentage so you can always check the sample before committing.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need — home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use these to build a clear picture of the individual fixture before placing a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Picking four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives your accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Pair with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections across all leagues.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes — combining home win with other markets is one of the most effective accumulator strategies. A home team that is statistically likely to win AND likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence in the same fixture.
Try pairing home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score strongly across multiple markets. For a full view of all our markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts that the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets — you're backing the home side to win, regardless of the scoreline. It doesn't include extra time or penalties, so the result must be confirmed within regular time.
How is the home win probability calculated on your stats page?
Our home win probability is calculated using two figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these gives a more accurate indicator of the likely outcome than simply checking a team's overall form or league position. A strong home win record combined with a poor away record for the opposition is one of the clearest statistical signals in football betting.
What percentage should I look for when backing a home win?
As a general guide, a home win percentage of 65% or above combined with an away loss percentage of 50% or above represents a statistically solid case. For the highest-confidence selections, look for home teams winning 75%+ of their home games against sides losing 60%+ of their away games. Always check the sample size alongside the percentage — a team with 8 wins from 10 home games is more meaningful than 4 from 5.
What is home advantage and why does it matter?
Home advantage is the statistical tendency for teams to perform better at their own ground than away from home. It's driven by a combination of factors — familiar surroundings, supportive crowd, no travel fatigue, and psychological comfort. Across all levels of football, home teams win more often than away teams on average. Our stats quantify this advantage specifically for each team in the current season, rather than relying on a general assumption.
Which teams are most likely to win at home?
The strongest home win candidates are teams with a high home win percentage in the current season, combined with opponents who have a poor away record. League position alone doesn't tell the full story — some mid-table sides have exceptional home records while some higher-ranked teams are surprisingly vulnerable at their own ground. Our stats surface these patterns clearly so you can spot the opportunities that the league table hides.
Which leagues have the strongest home win trends?
Leagues with passionate home crowds, compact fixture schedules, and less travel for away sides tend to produce stronger home win rates. The English Championship, Turkish Süper Lig, Scottish Premiership and many Eastern European leagues consistently show high home win percentages. That said, team-by-team stats matter far more than league averages — always check the individual fixture data rather than backing home teams in a league because of a general trend.
Can I combine home win with other markets in an accumulator?
Yes — home win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pairing a strong home win selection with Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS in the same fixture gives you multiple statistical angles of confidence. Many users also combine home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a data-driven daily accumulator.
Is home win a good market for beginners?
Yes — it's one of the most intuitive markets in football betting. You're simply backing the home team to win, which is easy to understand and easy to research using our stats. The home win percentage and away loss percentage shown for each fixture give you a clear, at-a-glance picture of the statistical case without needing any prior knowledge of how to read betting data. If you're just getting started, our blog has guides to help you use football stats effectively.
Which teams must win today based on the stats?
The strongest home win candidates are fixtures where the home team wins 65%+ of their home games and the away team loses 50%+ on the road. The wider the gap between those two numbers, the stronger the statistical case. Check the combined percentage on this page — anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a solid signal. League context matters too: some competitions have much stronger home advantage than others. The fixtures at the top of our rankings combine all of these factors, making them the statistically strongest home win picks for the next few days.
How often does the home team win in football?
Across most professional football leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of the time. In some leagues with intense home atmospheres — such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League — the home win rate can push above 50%. In others, particularly in Scandinavia, the gap between home and away results is smaller. The rate also varies by team: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League-wide averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific home win percentages on this page are far more useful for identifying which fixtures are genuinely likely to see a home victory.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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