Best BTTS Tips This Week
Finding the best Both Teams to Score bets takes more than picking the obvious fixtures from the top leagues. Some of the...
Home Win Stats, Betting Tips & Football Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home alongside how often the away team loses on the road, combined into a single percentage that surfaces the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. We refresh it every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
-
Os vs Varegg 13:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 3, Norway Os have won in 6/6 home matches this season · Varegg have lost in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2590% combined
-
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Güemes 20:00 BST | Primera B Nacional, Argentina Gimnasia Jujuy have won in 8/10 home matches this season · Güemes have lost in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4874% combined
-
Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro 23:30 BST | Serie A, Brazil Palmeiras have won in 7/9 home matches this season · Atlético Mineiro have lost in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6774% combined
-
Los Angeles FC vs Sporting KC 03:30 BST | Major League Soccer, United States Los Angeles FC have won in 6/9 home matches this season · Sporting KC have lost in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2971% combined
-
Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca 01:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Deportivo Garcilaso have won in 6/9 home matches this season · FC Cajamarca have lost in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5367% combined
-
Breidablik vs ÍBV 19:00 BST | Besta deild, Iceland Breidablik have won in 5/7 home matches this season · ÍBV have lost in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6764% combined
-
Stabæk vs Hødd 18:00 BST | 1. Division, Norway Stabæk have won in 5/6 home matches this season · Hødd have lost in 3/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4263% combined
-
Melbourne Victory II vs North Sunshine Eagles 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Melbourne Victory II have won in 6/9 home matches this season · North Sunshine Eagles have lost in 6/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6764% combined
Filter by:
Sort by:
Sunday, 26 July
H Os: last 6 home
A Varegg: last 5 away
Home Win
H
6/6 (100%)
A
4/5 (80%)
Os have won 6 of their last 6 home games (100%), an outstanding home record.
Varegg have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 90% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Os score 4.83 and concede 1.33 per home game. Varegg score 1.4 and concede 2.6 per away game. Together they average around 5.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.25.
H Gimnasia Jujuy: last 10 home
A Güemes: last 9 away
Home Win
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/9 (67%)
Gimnasia Jujuy have won 8 of their last 10 home games (80%), an outstanding home record.
Güemes have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 73.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Gimnasia Jujuy score 2.2 and concede 0.6 per home game. Güemes score 0.89 and concede 2.11 per away game. Together they average around 2.9 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.48.
H Palmeiras: last 9 home
A Atlético Mineiro: last 10 away
Home Win
H
7/9 (78%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Palmeiras have won 7 of their last 9 home games (78%), an outstanding home record.
Atlético Mineiro have lost 7 of their last 10 away games (70%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 74% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Palmeiras score 1.78 and concede 0.67 per home game. Atlético Mineiro score 0.9 and concede 1.1 per away game. Together they average around 2.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.67.
H Brusque: last 7 home
A Ituano: last 7 away
Home Win
H
6/7 (86%)
A
4/7 (57%)
Brusque have won 6 of their last 7 home games (86%), an outstanding home record.
Ituano have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Brusque score 1.86 and concede 0.71 per home game. Ituano score 1 and concede 1.71 per away game. Together they average around 2.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.15.
H Bulls Academy W: last 10 home
A Gladesville Ravens W: last 10 away
Home Win
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Bulls Academy W have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%), a strong home record.
Gladesville Ravens W have lost 7 of their last 10 away games (70%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Bulls Academy W score 2.7 and concede 1.2 per home game. Gladesville Ravens W score 1.2 and concede 1.8 per away game. Together they average around 3.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.29.
H Astana: last 9 home
A Altay: last 8 away
Home Win
H
8/9 (89%)
A
4/8 (50%)
Astana have won 8 of their last 9 home games (89%), an outstanding home record.
Altay have lost 4 of their last 8 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Astana score 2.22 and concede 0.67 per home game. Altay score 0.75 and concede 1.25 per away game. Together they average around 2.4 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.38.
H Olimpia: last 10 home
A Libertad: last 11 away
Home Win
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/11 (64%)
Olimpia have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%), a strong home record.
Libertad have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Olimpia score 1.9 and concede 0.8 per home game. Libertad score 1.36 and concede 1.36 per away game. Together they average around 2.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.85.
H Jerv: last 5 home
A Lysekloster: last 6 away
Home Win
H
4/5 (80%)
A
3/6 (50%)
Jerv have won 4 of their last 5 home games (80%), an outstanding home record.
Lysekloster have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Jerv score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per home game. Lysekloster score 1.33 and concede 2.67 per away game. Together they average around 3.3 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.3.
H Fram: last 7 home
A FH: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/7 (71%)
A
4/7 (57%)
Fram have won 5 of their last 7 home games (71%), a strong home record.
FH have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Fram score 3.43 and concede 2.29 per home game. FH score 1.43 and concede 2.86 per away game. Together they average around 5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.48.
H Sirius: last 6 home
A IFK Göteborg: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/6 (83%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Sirius have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%), an outstanding home record.
IFK Göteborg have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sirius score 2.83 and concede 1.33 per home game. IFK Göteborg score 1.43 and concede 2.86 per away game. Together they average around 4.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.45.
H Flamengo: last 8 home
A São Paulo: last 10 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Flamengo have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
São Paulo have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Flamengo score 2 and concede 0.88 per home game. São Paulo score 0.9 and concede 1.4 per away game. Together they average around 2.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.48.
H Godoy Cruz: last 10 home
A Central Norte de Salta: last 11 away
Home Win
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/11 (64%)
Godoy Cruz have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%), a strong home record.
Central Norte de Salta have lost 7 of their last 11 away games (64%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Godoy Cruz score 1.6 and concede 0.6 per home game. Central Norte de Salta score 0.45 and concede 1.27 per away game. Together they average around 2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.75.
H Club Atletico Colón: last 10 home
A Chaco For Ever: last 10 away
Home Win
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Club Atletico Colón have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%), a strong home record.
Chaco For Ever have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Club Atletico Colón score 1.6 and concede 0.5 per home game. Chaco For Ever score 0.6 and concede 1.4 per away game. Together they average around 2.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.61.
H General Lamadrid: last 11 home
A Claypole: last 11 away
Home Win
H
7/11 (64%)
A
6/11 (55%)
General Lamadrid have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%), a strong home record.
Claypole have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, General Lamadrid score 1.18 and concede 0.45 per home game. Claypole score 0.55 and concede 1.18 per away game. Together they average around 1.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.1.
H Criciúma: last 9 home
A Náutico: last 10 away
Home Win
H
6/9 (67%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Criciúma have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Náutico have lost 5 of their last 10 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Criciúma score 1.33 and concede 0.44 per home game. Náutico score 1.6 and concede 1.7 per away game. Together they average around 2.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.75.
H Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: last 8 home
A Haimen Codion: last 8 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
4/8 (50%)
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
Haimen Codion have lost 4 of their last 8 away games (50%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 56.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai score 1.75 and concede 1.13 per home game. Haimen Codion score 0.5 and concede 0.88 per away game. Together they average around 2.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.2.
H Atlanta United II: last 8 home
A New York City II: last 9 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
4/9 (44%)
Atlanta United II have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
New York City II have lost 4 of their last 9 away games (44%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Atlanta United II score 2.63 and concede 1.5 per home game. New York City II score 1.56 and concede 1.33 per away game. Together they average around 3.5 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.5.
H Kvik Halden: last 6 home
A Træff: last 5 away
Home Win
H
4/6 (67%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Kvik Halden have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Træff have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Kvik Halden score 1.67 and concede 0.67 per home game. Træff score 1.4 and concede 2 per away game. Together they average around 2.9 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.95.
H Aucas: last 10 home
A Macará: last 10 away
Home Win
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Aucas have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%), a strong home record.
Macará have lost 4 of their last 10 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Aucas score 1.3 and concede 1 per home game. Macará score 0.9 and concede 1.2 per away game. Together they average around 2.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.
Monday, 27 July
H Deportivo Garcilaso: last 9 home
A FC Cajamarca: last 9 away
Home Win
H
6/9 (67%)
A
6/9 (67%)
Deportivo Garcilaso have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%), a strong home record.
FC Cajamarca have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.89 and concede 1 per home game. FC Cajamarca score 0.78 and concede 1.67 per away game. Together they average around 2.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.53.
H Breidablik: last 7 home
A ÍBV: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/7 (71%)
A
4/7 (57%)
Breidablik have won 5 of their last 7 home games (71%), a strong home record.
ÍBV have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Breidablik score 2.86 and concede 1.71 per home game. ÍBV score 1.57 and concede 2.57 per away game. Together they average around 4.4 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.67.
H Stabæk: last 6 home
A Hødd: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/6 (83%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Stabæk have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%), an outstanding home record.
Hødd have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Stabæk score 2.5 and concede 0.83 per home game. Hødd score 1.29 and concede 1.14 per away game. Together they average around 2.9 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.42.
H Melbourne Victory II: last 9 home
A North Sunshine Eagles: last 10 away
Home Win
H
6/9 (67%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Melbourne Victory II have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%), a strong home record.
North Sunshine Eagles have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Melbourne Victory II score 2.67 and concede 1.22 per home game. North Sunshine Eagles score 1.6 and concede 1.7 per away game. Together they average around 3.6 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.67.
H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home
A LDU Quito: last 11 away
Home Win
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/11 (45%)
Barcelona Guayaquil have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%), a strong home record.
LDU Quito have lost 5 of their last 11 away games (45%), a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Barcelona Guayaquil score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per home game. LDU Quito score 1.09 and concede 0.91 per away game. Together they average around 2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 2.15.
Tuesday, 28 July
H Juventude: last 10 home
A Avaí: last 9 away
Home Win
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/9 (67%)
Juventude have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%), a strong home record.
Avaí have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 68.5% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Juventude score 1.4 and concede 0.1 per home game. Avaí score 1 and concede 1.78 per away game. Together they average around 2.1 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.57.
H Atlanta: last 11 home
A Almagro: last 10 away
Home Win
H
7/11 (64%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Atlanta have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%), a strong home record.
Almagro have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%), a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured a home win, a strong case for this bet.
On average, Atlanta score 1.45 and concede 0.55 per home game. Almagro score 0.4 and concede 1.6 per away game. Together they average around 2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.66.
H Unión Española: last 8 home
A Recoleta: last 7 away
Home Win
H
5/8 (63%)
A
3/7 (43%)
Unión Española have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%), a strong home record.
Recoleta have lost 3 of their last 7 away games (43%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Unión Española score 1.75 and concede 0.88 per home game. Recoleta score 2 and concede 1.71 per away game. Together they average around 3.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Wednesday, 29 July
H Argentinos Juniors: last 12 home
A Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: last 8 away
Home Win
H
8/12 (67%)
A
7/8 (88%)
Argentinos Juniors have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%), a strong home record.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have lost 7 of their last 8 away games (88%), an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77.5% of their games have featured a home win, the strongest pick on today's card.
On average, Argentinos Juniors score 1.17 and concede 0.42 per home game. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score 0.13 and concede 1.75 per away game. Together they average around 1.7 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.36.
H Fortaleza: last 9 home
A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Home Win
H
7/9 (78%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Fortaleza have won 7 of their last 9 home games (78%), an outstanding home record.
Botafogo SP have lost 4 of their last 10 away games (40%), a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Fortaleza score 1.89 and concede 0.89 per home game. Botafogo SP score 0.7 and concede 0.9 per away game. Together they average around 2.2 total goals a match.
Current odds: 1.73.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
Upgrade to the Pro plan to view all stats.
| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Bolívar vs Real Potosí (Bolivia) |
3 / 5 | 83% | Today | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
6 / 6 | 80.59% | Today | 1.25 |
| Home vs Away (United States) |
6 / 9 | 72.67% | Today | 1.29 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
7 / 10 | 70.7% | Today | 1.29 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
4 / 6 | 69.84% | Today | 1.85 |
| Home vs Away (Kazakhstan) |
8 / 9 | 65.92% | Today | 1.38 |
| Home vs Away (Iceland) |
5 / 7 | 65.23% | Today | 1.48 |
| Home vs Away (United States) |
5 / 8 | 64.21% | Today | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
8 / 10 | 63.38% | Today | 1.48 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
8 / 12 | 63.3% | In 3 days | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Brazil) |
5 / 8 | 62.98% | Today | 1.48 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
5 / 6 | 62.89% | In 1 day | 1.42 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
4 / 5 | 62.66% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Brazil) |
7 / 9 | 62.64% | Today | 1.67 |
| Home vs Away (Peru) |
6 / 9 | 62.45% | In 1 day | 1.53 |
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the simplest football betting markets, and one of the more reliable once you know which sides to trust. The page ranks every fixture by how likely the home team is to win, so the strongest home picks of the day sit at the top.
How is the home win probability calculated?
We rank every fixture on this page using two figures: the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games. Put together, they give a sharper read on the likely outcome than a league table or overall form does.
Take a home team that's won 8 of their last 10 at home against an away side that's lost 7 of their last 10 on the road. That's a strong case for a home win, and it's exactly what this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks pair a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is a solid start, but if the away side has also lost 70% on the road, the case gets a lot stronger.
Sample size matters too. A home team that's won 8 from 10 is a more reliable signal than one that's won 4 from 5, even though both read 80%. We show the raw numbers next to the percentage, so you can check the sample before you back anything.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well, depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need: home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use them to build a clear picture of the fixture before you place a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Pick four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record, and the acca rests on solid form. Pair it with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes, and it's one of the most effective accumulator strategies. When a home team is likely to win and likely to feature in a high-scoring game, you've got two reads pointing the same way in one fixture.
Pair home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score well across markets. For all our markets in one place, head to the All Stats page.
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets: you're backing the home side to win, whatever the scoreline. Extra time and penalties don't count, the result has to come within regular time.
Why is the Home Win market so popular?
Home advantage plays a measurable role at every level of football. Teams tend to perform better in familiar surroundings, with crowd support, no travel and the comfort of their own ground. That edge shows up clearly in the numbers, which is what makes home win a market you can actually analyse rather than guess at.
How can Home Win stats help with betting predictions?
Home Win stats show how often teams win at home and how often their opponents lose on the road, using current-season form rather than historical averages. Put both figures together and you get a sharper read on the likely outcome than league position or form alone.
What factors influence Home Win results?
The strongest indicators are a high home win percentage for the home side and a high away loss percentage for the visiting team. Beyond the raw numbers, crowd intensity, travel distance for the away side, and tactical matchups also play a part. Teams that attack well and defend solidly at home tend to post the highest home win rates.
How do I find the best teams for Home Win bets?
Look for home teams with a high win percentage in their home games this season, paired with opponents who have a poor away record. The combined percentage on this page does that work for you. Anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a solid starting point.
Can Home Win stats be used for betting tips?
Yes. Home Win stats are one of the most reliable bases for picking tips on form rather than feel. Combine home win percentage, away loss percentage and sample size, and you can spot fixtures where the case for a home victory is strong rather than assumed.
Are Home Win bets suitable for accumulators?
Yes. Home Win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pick four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record, and the acca rests on solid form. Our 10 Teams to Win Today page gives you a daily curated selection built on the same approach.
How often are Home Win stats updated?
We update every stat on this page every two hours, so it reflects the latest results, team form and match data across 100+ leagues.
How can I combine Home Win bets with other markets?
Home Win works well alongside Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS in the same fixture. When a home team is likely to win and likely to feature in a high-scoring game, you've got two reads pointing the same way. Plenty of bettors also pair home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a daily accumulator.
What are the advantages of betting on home teams?
Home teams win more matches, score more goals, and defend better than they do on the road. The edge from home advantage holds steady enough across leagues and seasons to make it one of the most reliable starting points in football betting, especially when the opposition has a poor away record.
Do some leagues have stronger home win trends than others?
Yes. Leagues with passionate home crowds and long, difficult away travel tend to show higher home win rates. The Nigeria Premier Football League is the standout example, home sides win there at a rate you rarely see anywhere else in world football, driven by tough travel, hostile grounds and a big gap between home and away form. Team-by-team stats still matter more than league averages, though, so check the individual fixture data rather than backing a home team on a league trend alone.
Are Home Win predictions reliable?
When backed by a high combined percentage and a meaningful sample size, home win selections are among the more reliable in football betting. No prediction is guaranteed, but working from the data across a full season beats picking by reputation or recent form. Factor in sample size too: a team that's won 8 from 10 at home is a firmer signal than one that's won 2 from 3.
What is the average home win percentage in football?
Across most professional leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of matches. In leagues with intense home atmospheres, such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League, the rate can push above 50%. At team level the spread is wider still: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific percentages on this page tell you far more about which fixtures are likely to produce a home win.
How do betting stats improve Home Win predictions?
Track home win percentage, away loss percentage and sample size, and you've got a measurable edge over picking by reputation or league position. The combined figure on this page reads both sides of the fixture in context: not just how often the home team wins overall, but how often they win at home and how often that specific opponent loses on the road.
Are Home Win stats useful for in-play betting?
Yes, especially when a strong home side is level or behind early and the stats say they should be on top. A home team with a 75%+ home win rate that goes behind inside the first 20 minutes is a different in-play proposition from one with a modest record. Use the pre-match combined percentage as your read going in, then let the game adjust it as it develops.
Can I use Home Win stats for long-term betting strategies?
Yes. Track home performance across a full season and you'll see which sides keep delivering at home and which opponents keep struggling on the road. Applied with steady staking and discipline on sample size, a home win strategy built on the stats is one of the more structured ways to approach long-term football betting.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
Latest Blogs
View all posts →Best Teams to Win This Week
Each week our model scans hundreds of leagues to find the teams most likely to win their next match. The best picks ofte...
Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips This Week
The best over 2.5 goals bets aren't always in the biggest leagues. This week, some of the strongest value sits in the Sw...
Send us your feedback
We are always looking to improve our website and stats, and would value any feedback you may have that would help us imporve our service.