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Home Win Stats, Betting Tips & Football Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home and how often the away team loses on the road — combined into a single percentage to highlight the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. Updated every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
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Strømsgodset vs Raufoss 15:00 BST | 1. Division, Norway Strømsgodset have won in 5/5 home matches this season · Raufoss have lost in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2290% combined
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Sol de América vs Bartolomé Mitre 19:45 BST | Torneo Federal A, Argentina Sol de América have won in 5/5 home matches this season · Bartolomé Mitre have lost in 2/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.970% combined
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Astana vs Irtysh 15:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Astana have won in 5/6 home matches this season · Irtysh have lost in 3/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4567% combined
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Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have won in 7/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have lost in 2/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.964% combined
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Vaprus II vs FCI Tallinn 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Vaprus II have won in 4/5 home matches this season · FCI Tallinn have lost in 3/8 away matches this season · Odds: 2.159% combined
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Sacachispas vs Argentino Rosario 19:30 BST | Primera C, Argentina Sacachispas have won in 5/8 home matches this season · Argentino Rosario have lost in 2/5 away matches this season · Odds: 2.252% combined
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Sunday, 14 June
Strømsgodset have won 5 of their last 5 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Raufoss have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 90% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Strømsgodset score 2.8 and concede 1 per home game. Raufoss score 0.8 and concede 2.4 per away game. That points to an expected 3.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.22.
KIF Orebro W have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Häcken II W have lost 4 of their last 4 away games (100%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 87.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, KIF Orebro W score 2 and concede 1.75 per home game. Häcken II W score 0.75 and concede 2.75 per away game. That points to an expected 3.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.22.
Haugesund have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Ranheim have lost 3 of their last 4 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Haugesund score 2.5 and concede 1 per home game. Ranheim score 2 and concede 3.25 per away game. That points to an expected 4.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.83.
Stabæk have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Egersund have lost 3 of their last 4 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Stabæk score 2.5 and concede 1 per home game. Egersund score 1.75 and concede 2.25 per away game. That points to an expected 3.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.7.
Sol de América have won 5 of their last 5 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Bartolomé Mitre have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Sol de América score 2 and concede 0.2 per home game. Bartolomé Mitre score 1.2 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Brusque have won 4 of their last 4 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Santa Cruz have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Brusque score 2 and concede 0.5 per home game. Santa Cruz score 0.8 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
Metropolitano have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Guarani de Palhoça have lost 3 of their last 4 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Metropolitano score 1.6 and concede 0.6 per home game. Guarani de Palhoça score 0.75 and concede 2.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Shenzhen Juniors FC have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Guangxi Hengchen have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Shenzhen Juniors FC score 1 and concede 0.75 per home game. Guangxi Hengchen score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.2.
Astana have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%) — an outstanding home record.
Irtysh have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Astana score 2.33 and concede 0.67 per home game. Irtysh score 1.17 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.45.
Phoenix have won 7 of their last 8 home games (88%) — an outstanding home record.
Tammeka II have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Phoenix score 3.25 and concede 2.38 per home game. Tammeka II score 1.6 and concede 2.8 per away game. That points to an expected 5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Simba have won 9 of their last 12 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Pamba Jiji have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Simba score 2.08 and concede 0.42 per home game. Pamba Jiji score 0.5 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
FADEP have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Argentino Monte Maíz have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, FADEP score 2 and concede 1 per home game. Argentino Monte Maíz score 0.4 and concede 1.2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
Yaypan have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Olympic Mobiuz have lost 3 of their last 5 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Yaypan score 1.4 and concede 1 per home game. Olympic Mobiuz score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Enkoping have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Vasalund have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Enkoping score 1.5 and concede 2 per home game. Vasalund score 1.5 and concede 2.5 per away game. That points to an expected 3.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.63.
Toronto II have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Connecticut United have lost 4 of their last 8 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Toronto II score 1.83 and concede 1.33 per home game. Connecticut United score 1.75 and concede 1.88 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 3.3.
Jerv have won 3 of their last 4 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Sandviken have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Jerv score 1.75 and concede 0.75 per home game. Sandviken score 0.4 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.38.
Hubei Istar have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Shenzhen 2028 have lost 2 of their last 4 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 55% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Hubei Istar score 1.8 and concede 0.8 per home game. Shenzhen 2028 score 0.75 and concede 1.75 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.7.
Falkenberg have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Örebro have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 53.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Falkenberg score 1.33 and concede 1 per home game. Örebro score 0.8 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Boca Unidos have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
San Martín Formosa have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Boca Unidos score 2 and concede 1.6 per home game. San Martín Formosa score 1.4 and concede 1.4 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.75.
Monday, 15 June
Sacachispas have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
Argentino Rosario have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 51.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Sacachispas score 1.63 and concede 0.88 per home game. Argentino Rosario score 1.4 and concede 1.8 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.2.
Tuesday, 16 June
Criciúma have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Ceará have lost 2 of their last 5 away games (40%) — a solid away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 50% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Criciúma score 1.4 and concede 0.6 per home game. Ceará score 0.8 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 1.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.95.
Wednesday, 17 June
Fortaleza have won 4 of their last 5 home games (80%) — an outstanding home record.
América Mineiro have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (67%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 73.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Fortaleza score 2.4 and concede 0.8 per home game. América Mineiro score 0.5 and concede 2.17 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.57.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
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| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba vs Pamba Jiji (Tanzania) |
9 / 12 | 82.76% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Sweden) |
3 / 4 | 79.43% | Today | 1.22 |
| Home vs Away (Iceland) |
4 / 5 | 73.38% | In 2 days | 1.48 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
5 / 5 | 71.12% | Today | 1.22 |
| Home vs Away (Sweden) |
4 / 5 | 70.41% | Today | 1.22 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
3 / 4 | 68.43% | Today | 1.38 |
| Home vs Away (Estonia) |
7 / 8 | 64.17% | Today | 1.9 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
3 / 5 | 63.36% | Today | 2.1 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
3 / 4 | 60.41% | Today | 1.7 |
| Home vs Away (Australia) |
6 / 7 | 58.29% | In 2 days | 2.55 |
| Home vs Away (Norway) |
3 / 4 | 57.74% | Today | 1.83 |
| Home vs Away (Argentina) |
3 / 5 | 56.12% | Today | 1.8 |
| Home vs Away (China) |
5 / 5 | 55.98% | Today | 1.8 |
| Home vs Away (Georgia) |
5 / 7 | 55.43% | Today | 1.83 |
| Home vs Away (Kazakhstan) |
5 / 6 | 54.22% | Today | 1.45 |
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the most straightforward football betting markets — and one of the most statistically reliable when you're backing the right sides. Here's how to get the most out of our stats page.
How is the home win probability calculated?
Every fixture on this page is ranked using two key figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these two figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than simply looking at a league table or overall form.
For example, a home team that has won 8 of their last 10 home games paired with an away side that has lost 7 of their last 10 away games represents a very strong statistical case for a home win. That's the kind of data-driven edge this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks combine a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is compelling — but if the away side has also lost 70% of their away games, the statistical case becomes significantly stronger.
Also pay attention to the sample size. A home team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 4 from 5, even though both show 80%. We display the raw numbers alongside the percentage so you can always check the sample before committing.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need — home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use these to build a clear picture of the individual fixture before placing a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Picking four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives your accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Pair with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections across all leagues.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes — combining home win with other markets is one of the most effective accumulator strategies. A home team that is statistically likely to win AND likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence in the same fixture.
Try pairing home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score strongly across multiple markets. For a full view of all our markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts that the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets — you're backing the home side to win, regardless of the scoreline. Extra time and penalties don't count; the result must be confirmed within regular time.
Why is the Home Win market so popular?
Home advantage plays a measurable role in football at every level. Teams consistently perform better in familiar surroundings — with crowd support, no travel fatigue, and psychological comfort. This makes the Home Win market one of the most data-driven to analyse, because the underlying statistical edge is real and quantifiable rather than abstract.
How can Home Win stats help with betting predictions?
Home Win stats show how often teams win at home and how often their opponents lose on the road — broken down by the current season rather than historical averages. Combining both figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than league position or general form alone.
What factors influence Home Win results?
The strongest indicators are a high home win percentage for the home side and a high away loss percentage for the visiting team. Beyond the raw numbers, crowd intensity, travel distance for the away side, and tactical tendencies also play a role. Teams with attacking styles and solid defensive records at home tend to produce the highest home win rates consistently.
How do I find the best teams for Home Win bets?
Look for home teams with a high win percentage in their home games this season, paired with opponents who have a poor away record. The combined percentage on this page does that work automatically — anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a statistically solid starting point.
Can Home Win stats be used for betting tips?
Yes — Home Win stats are one of the most reliable bases for data-driven betting tips. By combining home win percentage, away loss percentage, and sample size, you can identify fixtures where the statistical case for a home victory is genuinely strong rather than assumed.
Are Home Win bets suitable for accumulators?
Yes — Home Win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Selecting four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives the accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Our 10 Teams to Win Today page provides a daily curated selection built on exactly this approach.
How often are Home Win stats updated?
All stats on this page are updated every two hours, reflecting the latest results, team form, and match data across 100+ leagues worldwide.
How can I combine Home Win bets with other markets?
Home Win works well alongside Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS in the same fixture — a home team that is statistically likely to win and likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence at once. Many bettors also pair home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a data-driven daily accumulator.
What are the advantages of betting on home teams?
Home teams win more matches, score more goals, and tend to perform better defensively than when they travel. The statistical edge from home advantage is consistent enough across leagues and seasons to make it one of the most reliable starting points in football betting — particularly when the opposition has a poor away record.
Do some leagues have stronger home win trends than others?
Yes. Leagues with passionate home crowds and significant travel demands for away sides tend to show higher home win rates. The English Championship, Turkish Süper Lig, Greek Super League, and many Eastern European leagues consistently sit above average. That said, team-by-team stats matter far more than league averages — always check the individual fixture data rather than backing home teams based on a general league trend.
Are Home Win predictions reliable?
When backed by a high combined percentage and a meaningful sample size, home win selections are among the more consistent in football betting. No prediction is guaranteed, but applying the data systematically over time produces better results than picking by reputation or recent form alone. Always factor in sample size — a team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 2 from 3.
What is the average home win percentage in football?
Across most professional leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of matches. In leagues with intense home atmospheres — such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League — the rate can push above 50%. At team level the variation is much wider: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League-wide averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific percentages on this page are far more useful for identifying which fixtures are genuinely likely to produce a home victory.
How do betting stats improve Home Win predictions?
Tracking home win percentage, away loss percentage, and sample size gives a measurable edge over picking by reputation or league position. The combined figure on this page accounts for both sides of the fixture in context — not just how often the home team wins overall, but how often they win at home and how often their specific opponent loses on the road.
Are Home Win stats useful for in-play betting?
Yes — particularly when a strong home side is level or behind early and the stats suggest they should be dominating. A home team with a 75%+ home win rate that goes behind in the first 20 minutes is a very different in-play proposition from a team with a modest record. The pre-match combined percentage gives useful context for assessing live odds as the game develops.
Can I use Home Win stats for long-term betting strategies?
Yes. Tracking home performance trends over a full season identifies which sides consistently deliver results at home and which opponents consistently struggle on the road. Applied systematically — with consistent staking and sample size discipline — a data-driven home win strategy is one of the more structured approaches to long-term football betting.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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