Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau

📍 Primera Division, Peru
🕒 Thursday 2nd October, 02:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Alianza Lima to Win

Alianza Lima sit 6th in the table after 25 games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Grau are 9th after 25 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. The home record backs Alianza Lima strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Atlético Grau have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Alianza Lima have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Atlético Grau in 30% away (3/10). Alianza Lima average 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Atlético Grau 0.5 and 1.5 on the road.

Alianza Lima frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Atlético Grau are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Alianza Lima see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Alianza Lima to Win — Alianza Lima have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlético Grau have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Alianza Lima (6th) and Atlético Grau (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Universitario 24 17 5 2 40:15 +25 56
2 Cusco FC 26 16 6 4 45:22 +23 54
3 Alianza Lima H 26 14 8 4 44:24 +20 50
4 Sporting Cristal 28 14 7 7 45:29 +16 49
5 Cienciano 25 10 8 7 40:31 +9 38
6 Alianza Atlético 24 11 5 8 26:19 +7 38
7 Los Chankas 24 11 3 10 31:39 -8 36
8 Melgar 24 7 12 5 32:25 +7 33
9 Deportivo Garcilaso 23 8 8 7 28:27 +1 32
10 ADT 23 8 6 9 22:29 -7 30
11 Atlético Grau A 25 7 6 12 29:31 -2 27
12 Sport Huancayo 23 7 5 11 32:34 -2 26
13 Comerciantes Unidos 24 7 5 12 21:33 -12 26
14 ADC Juan Pablo II 25 6 7 12 22:35 -13 25
15 Ayacucho 22 7 2 13 21:31 -10 23
16 Alianza Universidad 24 6 4 14 29:44 -15 22
17 UTC Cajamarca 24 5 6 13 22:39 -17 21
18 Sport Boys 24 5 5 14 20:34 -14 20
19 Deportivo Binacional 7 1 3 3 6:14 -8 6
20 ADC Juan Pablo II 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1

Team Form

Alianza Lima have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Grau's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Lima frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Atlético Grau are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Alianza Lima have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Alianza Lima have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Atlético Grau in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 26 (2.6 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Alianza Lima have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Grau in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Alianza Lima have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Grau have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Alianza Lima (Home Form) Atlético Grau (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10th May, 2025
Atlético Grau
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Alianza Lima
18th Sep, 2024
Atlético Grau
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Alianza Lima
15th Apr, 2024
Alianza Lima
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Grau
24th Jun, 2023
Alianza Lima
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Atlético Grau
26th Mar, 2023
Atlético Grau
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Alianza Lima
10th Jul, 2022
Atlético Grau
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Alianza Lima
5th Feb, 2022
Alianza Lima
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Grau
16th Feb, 2020
Alianza Lima
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Grau

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Alianza Lima 1.5
Draw 4.07
Atlético Grau 6.58

Half Time Result

Alianza Lima 1.98
Draw 2.19
Atlético Grau 6.51

Double Chance

Alianza Lima or Draw 1.13
Alianza Lima or Atlético Grau 1.23
Draw or Atlético Grau 2.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.23
No 1.66

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 3.5 3.28
Under 1.5 3.16
Under 2.5 1.8
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.83
Over 9.5 2.5
Over 10.5 3.4
Over 11.5 3.6

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.71
Over 2.5 2.65

Atlético Grau Goals

Over 0.5 1.88
Over 1.5 4.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • North Pine vs AC Carina 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · AC Carina have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • Inglewood United Res. vs Quinns Res. 06:00 BST | Western Australia State League 1 Reserves, Australia Inglewood United Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Quinns Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Cooma Tigers vs Canberra Olympic 09:00 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Cooma Tigers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Canberra Olympic have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Cooma Tigers U23 vs Canberra Olympic U23 06:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Cooma Tigers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Canberra Olympic U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined

Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau?

Alianza Lima to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Grau have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Alianza Lima or Atlético Grau?

Alianza Lima hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Atlético Grau have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau?

Mixed — Alianza Lima have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau?

Uncertain — Alianza Lima have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Atlético Grau in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Alianza Lima or Atlético Grau?

Alianza Lima have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Atlético Grau's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Alianza Lima and Atlético Grau?

Alianza Lima have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Grau in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Melgar vs Sport Huancayo

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 19:00 BST

ADC Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atlético

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 21:15 BST

Cienciano vs Alianza Lima

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 23:45 BST

Sport Boys vs Cusco FC

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 02:30 BST

ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 16:00 BST

Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 19:15 BST

Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 21:30 BST

Alianza Lima vs Los Chankas

📍 Primera Division, Peru

🕒 Saturday 23rd May, 01:00 BST

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