Tercera - Group 9 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 16:30 GMT

Arenas de Armilla vs Atlético Porcuna Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Arenas de Armilla Home · 4th 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Atlético Porcuna Away · 12th 5W 0D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Arenas de Armilla 57% Draw 25% Atlético Porcuna 18%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Arenas de Armilla vs Atlético Porcuna Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Arenas de Armilla have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Porcuna in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
57% Arenas de Armilla win 25% Draw 18% Atlético Porcuna win 44% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
68% Over 1.5 Goals

Arenas de Armilla sit 4th in the table after 16 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Porcuna are 12th after 17 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Arenas de Armilla have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Atlético Porcuna side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Atlético Porcuna have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Arenas de Armilla are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Arenas de Armilla at 40% in home games (4/10), Atlético Porcuna at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Arenas de Armilla see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Porcuna in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Arenas de Armilla (4th) and Atlético Porcuna (12th) sit in the Tercera - Group 9 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Arenas de Armilla H 34 15 9 10 38:29 +9 54
8 Atlético Porcuna A 34 14 4 16 41:39 +2 46
View the full Tercera - Group 9 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 +22 66
2 Motril 33 18 10 5 55:29 +26 64
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 14 6 37:25 +12 56
4 Arenas de Armilla H 34 15 9 10 38:29 +9 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 33 14 10 9 32:38 -6 52
6 Marbellí 34 14 9 11 36:28 +8 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 +1 50
8 Atlético Porcuna A 34 14 4 16 41:39 +2 46
9 UD San Pedro 33 12 10 11 37:37 0 46
10 Huétor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 +1 45
11 Granada II 34 10 14 10 49:47 +2 44
12 Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 0 43
13 UD Melilla II 33 9 11 13 30:32 -2 38
14 Huétor Tájar 34 9 10 15 40:44 -4 37
15 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 -16 37
16 Mancha Real 34 8 11 15 29:38 -9 35
17 Torreperogil 33 9 5 19 23:44 -21 32
18 El Palo 33 6 8 19 27:52 -25 26

Team Form

Arenas de Armilla hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Atlético Porcuna have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arenas de Armilla have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Atlético Porcuna in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Atlético Porcuna regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arenas de Armilla are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Arenas de Armilla have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Atlético Porcuna in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Arenas de Armilla 1.7 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Atlético Porcuna 1.3 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Arenas de Armilla 17 scored / 11 conceded at home · Atlético Porcuna 13 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Arenas de Armilla have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Porcuna in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Arenas de Armilla have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlético Porcuna have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Arenas de Armilla — last 10 home A Atlético Porcuna — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arenas de Armilla and Atlético Porcuna. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Atlético Porcuna
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arenas de Armilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Atlético Porcuna
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Arenas de Armilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Nov 2024
Arenas de Armilla
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlético Porcuna
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2023
Atlético Porcuna
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Arenas de Armilla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 1 more meeting
17 Dec 2022
Arenas de Armilla
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Porcuna
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arenas de Armilla vs Atlético Porcuna across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Arenas de Armilla 1.6 Model: 57%
Draw 3.6 Model: 25%
Atlético Porcuna 4.32 Model: 18%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4 Model: 68%
Over 2.5 2.02 Model: 42%
Over 3.5 3.8 Model: 22%
Under 1.5 2.85 Model: 32%
Under 2.5 1.78 Model: 58%
Under 3.5 1.25 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Arenas de Armilla 2.62 Model: 39%
Draw 2.1 Model: 43%
Atlético Porcuna 4 Model: 18%

Double Chance

Arenas de Armilla or Draw 1.16 Model: 82%
Arenas de Armilla or Atlético Porcuna 1.25 Model: 75%
Draw or Atlético Porcuna 1.9 Model: 43%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
Explore all our tips & stats

Arenas de Armilla vs Atlético Porcuna Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arenas de Armilla vs Atlético Porcuna?

Under 3.5 Goals — Arenas de Armilla have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Porcuna in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Arenas de Armilla or Atlético Porcuna?

Arenas de Armilla have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over Atlético Porcuna on the road (50% wins) in Tercera - Group 9. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Arenas de Armilla and Atlético Porcuna?

Mixed — Arenas de Armilla have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atlético Porcuna in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 9 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arenas de Armilla and Atlético Porcuna?

Possibly — Atlético Porcuna regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Arenas de Armilla are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arenas de Armilla or Atlético Porcuna?

Arenas de Armilla have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Atlético Porcuna's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arenas de Armilla and Atlético Porcuna?

Arenas de Armilla have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Porcuna in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 9. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Colorado Rapids II vs Portland Timbers II

📍 MLS Next Pro, United States

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United

📍 USL Championship, United States

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Tulevik vs FCI Tallinn

📍 Esiliiga B, Estonia

🕒 Friday 19th June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre

📍 Primera B Nacional, Argentina

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 19:30 BST

Match Stats

Hassania Agadir vs RSB Berkane

📍 Botola Pro, Morocco

🕒 Sunday 14th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

New Zealand vs Belgium

📍 World Cup, World

🕒 Saturday 27th June, 04:00 BST

Match Stats

NSÍ vs B68

📍 Meistaradeildin, Faroe Islands

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 19:00 BST

Match Stats

Colombia vs Congo DR

📍 World Cup, World

🕒 Wednesday 24th June, 03:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →