Tercera - Group 4 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 15:30 GMT

Aretxabaleta vs Añorga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aretxabaleta Home · 11th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Añorga Away · 16th 2W 0D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aretxabaleta 61% Draw 23% Añorga 16%
⭐ Our Prediction Aretxabaleta to Win See why ↓

Aretxabaleta vs Añorga Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Aretxabaleta to Win

High confidence

Aretxabaleta have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Añorga have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
61% Aretxabaleta win 23% Draw 16% Añorga win 45% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

Aretxabaleta sit 11th in the table after 17 games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match this season. Añorga are 16th after 17 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. Aretxabaleta have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Añorga side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Aretxabaleta have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 100% of their home fixtures (10/10). Añorga are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home.

Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%, 10/10). Añorga are lower on the road (20%, 2/10) — they've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Aretxabaleta see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Añorga in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Aretxabaleta (11th) and Añorga (16th) sit in the Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Aretxabaleta H 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
13 Añorga A 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
View the full Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 +41 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 +16 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 +20 57
5 Touring 34 16 9 9 47:35 +12 57
6 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 +10 55
7 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 16 7 11 42:40 +2 55
8 Real Sociedad III 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
9 Deportivo Alavés III 34 14 9 11 56:40 +16 51
10 Aretxabaleta H 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
11 Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 -13 39
13 Añorga A 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
14 Eibar III 34 9 9 16 44:53 -9 36
15 Pasaia KE 34 8 10 16 23:46 -23 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 8 6 20 30:60 -30 30
18 Deusto 33 6 7 20 24:46 -22 25

Team Form

Aretxabaleta hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Añorga have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%), while Añorga are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Aretxabaleta frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 100%), while Añorga are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Aretxabaleta have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Añorga in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aretxabaleta 2.6 scored · 2 conceded per home game Añorga 0.7 scored · 2.2 conceded per away game
H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Aretxabaleta 26 scored / 20 conceded at home · Añorga 7 scored / 22 conceded away

Match Corners

Aretxabaleta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Añorga in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Aretxabaleta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Añorga have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Aretxabaleta — last 10 home A Añorga — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Aretxabaleta and Añorga. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Añorga
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Aretxabaleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Feb 2023
Aretxabaleta
6 – 0 HT: 0-0
Añorga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Oct 2022
Añorga
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aretxabaleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aretxabaleta vs Añorga across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Aretxabaleta 1.72 Model: 61%
Draw 3.55 Model: 23%
Añorga 3.7 Model: 16%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 70%
Over 2.5 1.61 Model: 45%
Over 3.5 2.42 Model: 23%
Value Under 1.5 4.4 Model: 30%
Value Under 2.5 2.25 Model: 55%
Value Under 3.5 1.52 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.42
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Aretxabaleta 2.2 Model: 46%
Draw 2.4 Model: 42%
Añorga 4 Model: 13%

Double Chance

Aretxabaleta or Draw 1.18 Model: 84%
Aretxabaleta or Añorga 1.18 Model: 77%
Draw or Añorga 1.95 Model: 39%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Aretxabaleta vs Añorga Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Añorga?

Aretxabaleta to Win — Aretxabaleta have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Añorga have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Aretxabaleta or Añorga?

Aretxabaleta hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 4 this season, while Añorga have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aretxabaleta and Añorga?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently see both teams score at home (100%), while Añorga are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aretxabaleta and Añorga?

Possibly — Aretxabaleta frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 100%), while Añorga are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aretxabaleta or Añorga?

Aretxabaleta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Añorga's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aretxabaleta and Añorga?

Aretxabaleta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Añorga in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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