Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Tuesday 5th May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Arsenal to Win

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlético Madrid have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético Madrid have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Arsenal are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Arsenal 20% at home, Atlético Madrid 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Atlético Madrid often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Arsenal to Win — Arsenal have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlético Madrid have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (1st) and Atlético Madrid (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 15 10 3 2 43:21 +22 33
2 Arsenal H 13 10 3 0 28:6 +22 33
3 FC Bayern München 13 11 0 2 42:19 +23 33
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 Atlético Madrid A 15 7 3 5 35:27 +8 24
7 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
8 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Madrid's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Arsenal are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Madrid in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Atlético Madrid (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Arsenal and Atlético Madrid. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Apr 2026
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Oct 2025
Arsenal
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jul 2018
Atlético Madrid
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2018
Atlético Madrid
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2018
Arsenal
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Madrid
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.74
Draw 4
Atlético Madrid 5.5

Half Time Result

Arsenal 2.21
Draw 2.37
Atlético Madrid 5.95

Double Chance

Arsenal or Draw 1.15
Arsenal or Atlético Madrid 1.25
Draw or Atlético Madrid 2.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.04
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 3.5 3.35
Under 1.5 3.8
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 3.5 1.37

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.79

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.7
Over 11.5 2.1

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.76

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.63
Over 1.5 4.32

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W 14:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Hamburger SV W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    82% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.9
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Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid?

Arsenal to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Madrid have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Atlético Madrid?

Arsenal hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Champions League this season, while Atlético Madrid have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Atlético Madrid?

Mixed — Arsenal have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Atlético Madrid in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Champions League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Arsenal are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Arsenal's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Atlético Madrid?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 1.5 Goals

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