Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga, Spain
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 17:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Celta de Vigo are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético Madrid consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Celta de Vigo are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Atlético Madrid and Celta de Vigo frequently see both teams scoring (90% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Atlético Madrid usually generate 8+ corners at home (60%), while Celta de Vigo are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Celta de Vigo in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlético Madrid (4th) and Celta de Vigo (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 34 29 1 4 89:31 +58 88
2 Real Madrid 33 23 5 5 68:31 +37 74
3 Villarreal 34 21 5 8 64:39 +25 68
4 Atlético Madrid H 34 19 6 9 58:37 +21 63
5 Real Betis 33 12 14 7 49:41 +8 50
6 Celta de Vigo A 34 12 11 11 48:44 +4 47
7 Athletic Club 34 13 5 16 40:50 -10 44
8 Getafe 33 13 5 15 28:34 -6 44
9 Real Sociedad 33 11 10 12 52:52 0 43
10 Osasuna 34 11 9 14 40:42 -2 42
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 9 12 12 33:41 -8 39
12 Valencia 34 10 9 15 37:50 -13 39
13 Espanyol 33 10 9 14 37:49 -12 39
14 Mallorca 34 10 8 16 42:51 -9 38
15 Elche 34 9 11 14 45:53 -8 38
16 Girona 34 9 11 14 36:51 -15 38
17 Deportivo Alavés 34 9 9 16 40:53 -13 36
18 Sevilla 33 9 7 17 40:55 -15 34
19 Levante 34 8 9 17 38:55 -17 33
20 Real Oviedo 33 6 10 17 26:51 -25 28

Team Form

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Celta de Vigo have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Madrid have seen both teams score in 90% of home games this season, Celta de Vigo in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Celta de Vigo are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Atlético Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Celta de Vigo in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Celta de Vigo in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Celta de Vigo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Celta de Vigo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Madrid 1.91
Draw 3.9
Celta de Vigo 4.2

Half Time Result

Atlético Madrid 2.37
Draw 2.3
Celta de Vigo 4.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.71
No 2.32

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 1.5 3.96
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.72

Celta de Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Finglas United vs UCD II 11:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Finglas United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Deutschlandsberger SC vs Voitsberg 15:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Deutschlandsberger SC have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Voitsberg have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    87% combined
  • Tampines Rovers vs Lion City Sailors FC 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Lion City Sailors FC have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    87% combined
  • Citizen AA vs Shatin 08:30 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Citizen AA have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Shatin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    87% combined

Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo?

Over 2.5 Goals — Atlético Madrid have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Celta de Vigo in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Madrid or Celta de Vigo?

Atlético Madrid hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in La Liga this season, while Celta de Vigo have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Madrid and Celta de Vigo?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Celta de Vigo are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Madrid and Celta de Vigo?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Celta de Vigo are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Madrid or Celta de Vigo?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Celta de Vigo's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Madrid and Celta de Vigo?

Atlético Madrid have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Celta de Vigo in 20% of away games in La Liga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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