Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 7th December, 19:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Atlético Mineiro sit 13th in the table after 34 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Vasco da Gama are 12th after 33 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. Atlético Mineiro have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Vasco da Gama side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Vasco da Gama in 50% away (5/10). Atlético Mineiro average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Vasco da Gama 1.3 and 1.6 on the road.

Vasco da Gama regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — Atlético Mineiro at 70% at home (7/10), Vasco da Gama at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Mineiro see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Atlético Mineiro (13th) and Vasco da Gama (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama A 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro H 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Vasco da Gama's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vasco da Gama regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Vasco da Gama in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Vasco da Gama have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and Vasco da Gama. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10th Aug, 2025
Vasco da Gama
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 6–10 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Dec, 2024
Vasco da Gama
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 3–6 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2024
Vasco da Gama
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Oct, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Vasco da Gama
Corners 5–2 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jul, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 6–1 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Aug, 2023
Vasco da Gama
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 3–7 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Apr, 2023
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Vasco da Gama
Corners 14–3 Cards 6–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Jan, 2021
Vasco da Gama
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 2–9 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Oct, 2020
Atlético Mineiro
4 – 1 HT: 4-1
Vasco da Gama
Corners 6–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Oct, 2019
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 5–7 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 1.56
Draw 4.2
Vasco da Gama 5.8

Half Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.05
Draw 2.24
Vasco da Gama 5.4

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.12
Atlético Mineiro or Vasco da Gama 1.2
Draw or Vasco da Gama 2.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 3.12
Under 1.5 4.5
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.45

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.55

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.8
Over 10.5 1.82
Over 11.5 2.28

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.65

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 4.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama?

Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Mineiro see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or Vasco da Gama?

Atlético Mineiro hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Serie A this season, while Vasco da Gama have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Vasco da Gama?

Possibly — Vasco da Gama regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Vasco da Gama?

Uncertain — Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or Vasco da Gama?

Vasco da Gama have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Vasco da Gama?

Yes — both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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