Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Friday 24th April, 00:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Atlante (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Atlante frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Atlante often see both teams score at home (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Atlante have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlante (1st) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 34 18 10 6 46:32 +14 64
2 Cancún 30 16 8 6 51:28 +23 56
3 Atlante H 30 14 9 7 57:29 +28 51
4 Morelia 32 13 9 10 42:36 +6 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 30 11 11 8 48:47 +1 44
8 CA La Paz 28 9 12 7 47:42 +5 39
9 Tapatío 28 10 5 13 48:42 +6 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Atlante have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlante frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Atlante have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Atlante have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlante (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlante win 7+ corners in 70% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atlante (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlante 1.48
Draw 3.8
Tepatitlán de Morelos 6

Half Time Result

Atlante 2.05
Draw 2.36
Tepatitlán de Morelos 6

Double Chance

Atlante or Draw 1.09
Atlante or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.19
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.78
No 1.76

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 3.5 3.04
Under 1.5 3.54
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.78

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.68

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.71
Over 1.5 4.6

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.94
Explore all our tips & stats

Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Atlante have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Atlante or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Atlante have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlante and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mixed — Atlante have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlante and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Uncertain — Atlante have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlante or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Atlante have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlante and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Atlante (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

Match Stats

Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 04:00 BST

Match Stats

Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Friday 24th April, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Tapatío vs Cancún

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Friday 24th April, 02:00 BST

Match Stats

Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 02:00 BST

Match Stats

CA La Paz vs Jaiba Brava

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 04:00 BST

Match Stats

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 27th April, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Cancún vs Tapatío

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 27th April, 02:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →