Bahia vs Grêmio Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Monday 20th October, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Bahia sit 6th in the table after 23 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Grêmio are 11th after 24 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Bahia have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Grêmio have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Bahia have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Bahia regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Bahia at 80% BTTS in home games and Grêmio at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Bahia (6th) and Grêmio (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia H 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio A 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Grêmio have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Bahia have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Grêmio are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Bahia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Grêmio in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Bahia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Bahia win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Grêmio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Bahia (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Bahia and Grêmio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th May, 2025
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
17th Aug, 2024
Grêmio
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Bahia
28th Apr, 2024
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
4th Nov, 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
12th Jul, 2023
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
5th Jul, 2023
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
1st Jul, 2023
Bahia
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
16th Oct, 2022
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
3rd Jul, 2022
Bahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
26th Nov, 2021
Bahia
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Grêmio

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Bahia vs Grêmio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Bahia 1.73
Draw 3.76
Grêmio 5.19

Half Time Result

Bahia 2.33
Draw 2.35
Grêmio 5.42

Double Chance

Bahia or Draw 1.19
Bahia or Grêmio 1.24
Draw or Grêmio 2.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.89

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.44
Under 1.5 3.68
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.6

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.2

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.85

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Grêmio?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Bahia at 80% BTTS at home and Grêmio at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Bahia or Grêmio?

Bahia have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Grêmio on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Possibly — Bahia frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Possibly — Bahia frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Bahia or Grêmio?

Grêmio have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Bahia's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Bahia and Grêmio?

Possibly — Bahia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

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🕒 Saturday 30th May, 20:00 BST

Grêmio vs Corinthians

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

Bahia vs Botafogo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 21:30 BST

Remo vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 23:30 BST

Santos vs Vitória

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Bragantino vs Internacional

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 15:00 BST

Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 20:00 BST

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