Boston River vs Atlético Progreso

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Monday 1st September, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Boston River sit 8th in the table after 26 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 11th after 26 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Boston River have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Atlético Progreso have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Boston River have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Atlético Progreso in 30% away. Boston River average 1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.9 and 1.1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Boston River at 30% in home games (3/10), Atlético Progreso at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Boston River see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Boston River have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Boston River (8th) and Atlético Progreso (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 26 17 8 1 46:20 +26 59
2 Peñarol 27 18 5 4 51:22 +29 59
3 Defensor Sporting 23 11 4 8 26:28 -2 37
4 Liverpool 24 10 6 8 31:30 +1 36
5 Danubio 23 10 4 9 31:25 +6 34
6 Boston River H 23 8 10 5 34:22 +12 34
7 Juventud 23 10 4 9 24:25 -1 34
8 Cerro 23 9 6 8 20:22 -2 33
9 Montevideo City Torque 23 9 5 9 39:31 +8 32
10 Racing 23 8 7 8 26:29 -3 31
11 Cerro Largo 23 7 7 9 26:26 0 28
12 Atlético Progreso A 23 7 3 13 22:35 -13 24
13 Wanderers 23 5 7 11 14:30 -16 22
14 River Plate 23 4 7 12 18:29 -11 19
15 Miramar Misiones 23 4 6 13 20:35 -15 18
16 Plaza Colonia 23 3 7 13 16:35 -19 16

Team Form

Boston River have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Atlético Progreso have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Boston River have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Boston River (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Boston River have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Boston River have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Boston River have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Boston River (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Boston River and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th Jun, 2025
Atlético Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Boston River
9th Mar, 2025
Atlético Progreso
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Boston River
16th Oct, 2024
Boston River
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
13th Apr, 2024
Atlético Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Boston River
8th Nov, 2021
Boston River
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
16th Jul, 2021
Atlético Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Boston River
23rd Feb, 2021
Boston River
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
Atlético Progreso
30th Aug, 2020
Atlético Progreso
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Boston River
16th Oct, 2019
Boston River
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
24th Aug, 2019
Boston River
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Boston River vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Boston River 1.83
Draw 3.58
Atlético Progreso 4.65

Half Time Result

Boston River 2.45
Draw 2.24
Atlético Progreso 5.15

Double Chance

Boston River or Draw 1.19
Boston River or Atlético Progreso 1.3
Draw or Atlético Progreso 2.02

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.28
Under 1.5 3.22
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.08

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.46
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.36

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 1.9
Over 2.5 4

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.5
Over 2.5 13

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • North Pine vs AC Carina 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · AC Carina have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • St. George Saints U20 vs Sydney United U20 07:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia St. George Saints U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Sydney United U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Souths United vs SWQ Thunder 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 2, Australia Souths United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · SWQ Thunder have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Inglewood United Res. vs Quinns Res. 06:00 BST | Western Australia State League 1 Reserves, Australia Inglewood United Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Quinns Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined

Boston River vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Boston River have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Boston River or Atlético Progreso?

Boston River have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlético Progreso on the road (30% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Boston River and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Boston River have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Boston River and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Boston River (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Boston River or Atlético Progreso?

Boston River have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Boston River and Atlético Progreso?

Boston River have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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