Cancún vs CA La Paz Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Cancún sit 5th in the table after 22 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. CA La Paz are 3rd after 19 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Cancún have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; CA La Paz have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); CA La Paz in 40% away (4/10). Cancún average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, CA La Paz 1.1 and 1.3 on the road.

Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). CA La Paz are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

CA La Paz are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 90% of away fixtures, 9/10). Cancún are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Cancún see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, CA La Paz in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Cancún (5th) and CA La Paz (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún H 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz A 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

CA La Paz have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Cancún have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while CA La Paz are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, CA La Paz in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Cancún have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, CA La Paz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

CA La Paz frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Cancún are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Cancún have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

CA La Paz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) CA La Paz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cancún and CA La Paz. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Oct 2025
CA La Paz
2 – 4 HT: 1-3
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2025
Cancún
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Nov 2024
CA La Paz
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2024
Cancún
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2023
CA La Paz
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2023
CA La Paz
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Aug 2022
Cancún
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cancún vs CA La Paz across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cancún 2.34
Draw 3.6
CA La Paz 2.9

Half Time Result

Cancún 2.89
Draw 2.37
CA La Paz 3.48

Double Chance

Cancún or Draw 1.4
Cancún or CA La Paz 1.29
Draw or CA La Paz 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.55
No 2.27

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 4.23
Under 2.5 2.16
Under 3.5 1.45

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.56

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08
Over 9.5 1.25
Over 10.5 1.78
Over 11.5 1.88

Cancún Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 2.09

CA La Paz Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.39

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Cancún vs CA La Paz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cancún vs CA La Paz?

Over 8.5 Corners — Cancún see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, CA La Paz in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Cancún or CA La Paz?

Cancún have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over CA La Paz on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Cancún and CA La Paz?

Possibly — Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while CA La Paz are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cancún and CA La Paz?

Uncertain — Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, CA La Paz in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cancún or CA La Paz?

Cancún have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to CA La Paz's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cancún and CA La Paz?

Possibly — CA La Paz frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Cancún are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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