Carabanchel vs Móstoles — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 10:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Carabanchel have won 30% of home games, Móstoles 30% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Carabanchel at 30% at home and Móstoles at 10% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Carabanchel at 40% at home and Móstoles at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Móstoles regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Carabanchel have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Móstoles in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 7 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Carabanchel (15th) and Móstoles (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 7 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Atletico Madrid III 29 15 9 5 67:39 +28 54
2 Las Rozas 30 15 8 7 49:32 +17 53
3 Leganés II 30 14 8 8 58:27 +31 50
4 Trival Valderas 30 15 5 10 42:33 +9 50
5 Torrejón 30 14 8 8 49:41 +8 50
6 Móstoles A 30 14 7 9 46:36 +10 49
7 SS Reyes II 29 10 12 7 37:27 +10 42
8 Unión Adarve 30 11 8 11 35:41 -6 41
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 30 10 11 9 32:28 +4 41
10 México 30 11 7 12 38:41 -3 40
11 Villaverde-Boetticher 30 9 13 8 28:32 -4 40
12 Galapagar 30 9 13 8 33:41 -8 40
13 Alcorcón II 30 9 10 11 29:31 -2 37
14 Tres Cantos 30 10 3 17 34:53 -19 33
15 Siello 30 9 5 16 28:41 -13 32
16 Carabanchel H 30 7 11 12 26:30 -4 32
17 Parla 30 7 5 18 27:54 -27 26
18 Racing Madrid City 30 5 7 18 30:61 -31 22

Team Form

Carabanchel (30% home wins) and Móstoles (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Carabanchel (40% BTTS at home) and Móstoles (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Carabanchel (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Móstoles (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Carabanchel have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Móstoles in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Carabanchel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Móstoles in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Carabanchel have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Móstoles have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Carabanchel (Home Form) Móstoles (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Carabanchel and Móstoles. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
Móstoles
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Carabanchel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Feb 2021
Carabanchel
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Móstoles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Nov 2020
Móstoles
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Carabanchel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Dec 2019
Móstoles
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Carabanchel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2019
Carabanchel
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Móstoles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Sep 2018
Móstoles
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Carabanchel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Feb 2012
Móstoles
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Carabanchel
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2011
Carabanchel
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Móstoles
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Carabanchel vs Móstoles across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Carabanchel 3.45
Draw 3.08
Móstoles 1.87

Half Time Result

Carabanchel 4.33
Draw 2.05
Móstoles 2.62

Double Chance

Carabanchel or Draw 1.7
Carabanchel or Móstoles 1.25
Draw or Móstoles 1.25

Total Goals

Over 2.5 2.04
Under 2.5 1.61

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Carabanchel vs Móstoles Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Carabanchel vs Móstoles?

Under 2.5 Goals — Carabanchel have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Móstoles in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Carabanchel or Móstoles?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Carabanchel have won 30% of home games, Móstoles 30% away in Tercera - Group 7. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Carabanchel and Móstoles?

Unlikely — Carabanchel (40% BTTS at home) and Móstoles (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Tercera - Group 7. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Carabanchel and Móstoles?

Unlikely — Carabanchel (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Móstoles (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Tercera - Group 7. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Carabanchel or Móstoles?

Carabanchel have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Móstoles's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Carabanchel and Móstoles?

Carabanchel have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, Móstoles in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 7. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

México vs Parla

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Unión Adarve vs Villaverde-Boetticher

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Las Rozas vs Atletico Madrid III

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Móstoles vs Leganés II

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Tres Cantos vs Torrejón

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Racing Madrid City vs Siello

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

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Galapagar vs Alcorcón II

📍 Tercera - Group 7, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

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