Division 1 · Paraguay 🕒 Monday 2nd February, 23:15 GMT

Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Cerro Porteño Home · 4th 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Sportivo Luqueño Away · 7th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Cerro Porteño 50% Draw 27% Sportivo Luqueño 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Cerro Porteño have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
50% Cerro Porteño win 27% Draw 23% Sportivo Luqueño win 48% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

Cerro Porteño sit 4th in the table, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Sportivo Luqueño are 7th, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Cerro Porteño have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Sportivo Luqueño side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Cerro Porteño have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Sportivo Luqueño in 40% away. Cerro Porteño average 1.6 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Sportivo Luqueño 0.8 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Cerro Porteño at 30% in home games (3/10), Sportivo Luqueño at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Sportivo Luqueño are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Cerro Porteño are lower at home (30%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Cerro Porteño (4th) and Sportivo Luqueño (7th) sit in the Division 1 table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Cerro Porteño H 21 11 5 5 30:19 +11 38
11 Sportivo Luqueño A 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
View the full Division 1 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Olimpia 21 14 4 3 34:17 +17 46
2 Nacional Asunción 22 10 9 3 31:22 +9 39
3 Cerro Porteño H 21 11 5 5 30:19 +11 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 +6 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 +6 32
6 Libertad 22 9 4 9 34:26 +8 31
7 Guaraní 22 7 8 7 27:23 +4 29
8 Deportivo Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 +3 28
9 Rubio Ñú 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
11 Sportivo Luqueño A 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
12 Sportivo San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15

Team Form

Cerro Porteño have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Sportivo Luqueño's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro Porteño have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Cerro Porteño have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Cerro Porteño have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Sportivo Luqueño in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Cerro Porteño 1.6 scored · 0.3 conceded per home game Sportivo Luqueño 0.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Cerro Porteño 16 scored / 3 conceded at home · Sportivo Luqueño 8 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Sportivo Luqueño frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Cerro Porteño are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Cerro Porteño have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sportivo Luqueño have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Cerro Porteño — last 10 home A Sportivo Luqueño — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Sep 2025
Sportivo Luqueño
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Porteño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jul 2025
Cerro Porteño
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sportivo Luqueño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2025
Cerro Porteño
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sportivo Luqueño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2025
Sportivo Luqueño
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Porteño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
05 Oct 2024
Sportivo Luqueño
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro Porteño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Aug 2024
Cerro Porteño
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Sportivo Luqueño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jun 2024
Cerro Porteño
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Sportivo Luqueño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2024
Sportivo Luqueño
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Porteño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2023
Cerro Porteño
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sportivo Luqueño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Aug 2023
Sportivo Luqueño
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Cerro Porteño
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Cerro Porteño 1.57 Model: 50%
Value Draw 4 Model: 27%
Value Sportivo Luqueño 5.98 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.04 Model: 48%
No 1.86 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 43%
Over 3.5 3.95 Model: 23%
Under 1.5 3.25 Model: 31%
Value Under 2.5 1.86 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.26 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 3.06

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.52 Model: 44%
Over 10.5 1.84 Model: 33%
Over 11.5 2.5 Model: 23%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Cerro Porteño 2.22 Model: 38%
Draw 2.13 Model: 43%
Value Sportivo Luqueño 5.85 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Cerro Porteño or Draw 1.12 Model: 77%
Cerro Porteño or Sportivo Luqueño 1.25 Model: 73%
Value Draw or Sportivo Luqueño 2.44 Model: 50%

Cerro Porteño Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 1.77 Model: 43%

Sportivo Luqueño Goals

Over 0.5 1.79 Model: 57%
Over 1.5 4.4 Model: 23%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro Porteño have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro Porteño or Sportivo Luqueño?

Cerro Porteño hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Division 1 this season, while Sportivo Luqueño have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño?

Mixed — Cerro Porteño have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Division 1 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño?

Uncertain — Cerro Porteño have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Sportivo Luqueño in 40% of away games in Division 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro Porteño or Sportivo Luqueño?

Cerro Porteño have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Sportivo Luqueño's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro Porteño and Sportivo Luqueño?

Possibly — Sportivo Luqueño frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Cerro Porteño are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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