Defensor Sporting vs Atlético Progreso — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Monday 27th April, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Defensor Sporting have won 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Defensor Sporting at 30% at home and Atlético Progreso at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Defensor Sporting are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Defensor Sporting have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Defensor Sporting (th) and Atlético Progreso (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 12 8 3 1 21:11 +10 27
2 Deportivo Maldonado 11 7 1 3 19:12 +7 22
3 Peñarol 11 7 1 3 17:10 +7 22
4 Albion 12 5 4 3 20:13 +7 19
5 Central Español 12 5 3 4 17:19 -2 18
6 Defensor Sporting H 12 4 5 3 10:8 +2 17
7 Nacional 11 5 1 5 16:15 +1 16
8 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 15:13 +2 16
9 Montevideo City Torque 11 4 3 4 14:12 +2 15
10 Danubio 11 3 5 3 14:15 -1 14
11 Wanderers 12 4 2 6 13:19 -6 14
12 Cerro Largo 11 4 2 5 13:14 -1 14
13 Boston River 11 3 2 6 9:13 -4 11
14 Atlético Progreso A 12 2 4 6 11:19 -8 10
15 Cerro 11 2 3 6 6:15 -9 9
16 Juventud 11 2 1 8 10:17 -7 7

Team Form

Defensor Sporting (40% home wins) and Atlético Progreso (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Defensor Sporting are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Defensor Sporting (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Defensor Sporting have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Defensor Sporting regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Progreso are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Defensor Sporting (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Defensor Sporting vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Defensor Sporting have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Defensor Sporting or Atlético Progreso?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Defensor Sporting have won 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso 40% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Defensor Sporting and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Defensor Sporting have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Defensor Sporting and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Defensor Sporting (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Defensor Sporting or Atlético Progreso?

Atlético Progreso have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Defensor Sporting's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Defensor Sporting and Atlético Progreso?

Possibly — Defensor Sporting regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Progreso are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Match Stats

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