Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Monday 15th September, 15:30 BST

FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

FC Daugavpils Home · 4th 4W 0D 6L last 10 home
VS
Grobiņa Away · 10th 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
FC Daugavpils 56% Draw 22% Grobiņa 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

FC Daugavpils have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Grobiņa in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
56% FC Daugavpils win 22% Draw 23% Grobiņa win 58% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals

FC Daugavpils sit 4th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Grobiņa are 10th after 27 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. FC Daugavpils have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Grobiņa have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. FC Daugavpils have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Grobiņa in 20% away. FC Daugavpils average 1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Grobiņa 0.7 and 1.8 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. FC Daugavpils have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Grobiņa in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Grobiņa are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). FC Daugavpils are lower at home (30%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where FC Daugavpils (4th) and Grobiņa (10th) sit in the Virsliga table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 FC Daugavpils H 36 13 9 14 52:62 -10 48
8 Grobiņa A 38 9 9 20 34:64 -30 36
View the full Virsliga 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Riga 36 27 7 2 85:26 +59 88
2 Rīgas FS 36 28 3 5 100:39 +61 87
3 Liepāja 36 18 7 11 59:55 +4 61
4 FC Daugavpils H 36 13 9 14 52:62 -10 48
5 Auda 36 13 6 17 44:49 -5 45
6 FS Jelgava 36 8 14 14 39:46 -7 38
7 Tukums 36 9 9 18 39:63 -24 36
8 Grobiņa A 38 9 9 20 34:64 -30 36
9 Super Nova 36 6 14 16 44:56 -12 32
10 Metta / LU 36 8 7 21 39:74 -35 31
11 JDFS Alberts 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1

Team Form

FC Daugavpils have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Grobiņa have been more resilient on the road (30% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

FC Daugavpils (40% BTTS at home) and Grobiņa (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

FC Daugavpils have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Grobiņa in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

FC Daugavpils have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Grobiņa in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

FC Daugavpils 1 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Grobiņa 0.7 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: FC Daugavpils 10 scored / 11 conceded at home · Grobiņa 7 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Grobiņa frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while FC Daugavpils are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

FC Daugavpils have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Grobiņa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H FC Daugavpils: last 10 home A Grobiņa: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FC Daugavpils and Grobiņa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26th Jun, 2025
FC Daugavpils
3 – 2 HT: 1-2
Grobiņa
Corners 5–4 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th May, 2025
Grobiņa
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
FC Daugavpils
Corners 5–2 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Mar, 2025
Grobiņa
3 – 2 HT: 0-1
FC Daugavpils
Corners 3–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Sep, 2024
FC Daugavpils
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Grobiņa
Corners 2–9 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 5 more meetings
27th Jun, 2024
Grobiņa
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
FC Daugavpils
Corners 0–6 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2024
Grobiņa
1 – 3 HT: 0-3
FC Daugavpils
Corners 6–5 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Mar, 2024
FC Daugavpils
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grobiņa
Corners 2–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Aug, 2018
FC Daugavpils
9 – 0 HT: 4-0
Grobiņa
Corners 11–6 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Apr, 2018
Grobiņa
2 – 4 HT: 0-1
FC Daugavpils
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

FC Daugavpils 1.82 Model: 56%
Draw 3.8 Model: 22%
Grobiņa 3.8 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59 Model: 58%
No 2.45 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.55 Model: 59%
Over 3.5 2.42 Model: 38%
Under 1.5 3.9 Model: 20%
Under 2.5 2.41 Model: 41%
Under 3.5 1.54 Model: 62%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.29

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22 Model: 54%
Over 9.5 1.46 Model: 43%
Over 10.5 2.02 Model: 32%
Over 11.5 2.25 Model: 24%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

FC Daugavpils 2.25 Model: 41%
Draw 2.52 Model: 37%
Grobiņa 4 Model: 22%

Double Chance

FC Daugavpils or Draw 1.25 Model: 77%
FC Daugavpils or Grobiņa 1.28 Model: 78%
Draw or Grobiņa 2.01 Model: 44%

FC Daugavpils Goals

Over 0.5 1.12 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 1.68 Model: 55%
Over 2.5 3.4

Grobiņa Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 60%
Over 1.5 2.73 Model: 28%
Over 2.5 6.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa?

Under 2.5 Goals: FC Daugavpils have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Grobiņa in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, FC Daugavpils or Grobiņa?

FC Daugavpils have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Grobiņa on the road (30% wins) in Virsliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between FC Daugavpils and Grobiņa?

Unlikely. FC Daugavpils (40% BTTS at home) and Grobiņa (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Virsliga. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FC Daugavpils and Grobiņa?

Uncertain. FC Daugavpils have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Grobiņa in 20% of away games in Virsliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FC Daugavpils or Grobiņa?

FC Daugavpils have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Grobiņa's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between FC Daugavpils and Grobiņa?

Possibly. Grobiņa frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while FC Daugavpils are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

FC Daugavpils vs Super Nova

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Grobiņa vs Liepāja

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Tuesday 16th June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Tukums vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 16:00 BST

Match Stats

Riga vs Rīgas FS

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Wednesday 17th June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

FC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Super Nova vs Auda

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

FS Jelgava vs Tukums

📍 Virsliga, Latvia

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

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