Ekstraklasa · Poland 🕒 Saturday 30th August, 19:15 BST

Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Górnik Zabrze Home · 2nd 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Motor Lublin Away · 16th 4W 1D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Górnik Zabrze 55% Draw 22% Motor Lublin 22%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Górnik Zabrze see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Motor Lublin in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
55% Górnik Zabrze win 22% Draw 22% Motor Lublin win 60% BTTS 61% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Górnik Zabrze sit 2nd in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Motor Lublin are 16th after 2 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Górnik Zabrze have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Motor Lublin side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Motor Lublin have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Motor Lublin regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Motor Lublin are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Górnik Zabrze (2nd) and Motor Lublin (16th) sit in the Ekstraklasa table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Górnik Zabrze H 34 16 8 10 50:38 +12 56
13 Motor Lublin A 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
View the full Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lech Poznań 34 16 12 6 62:45 +17 60
2 Jagiellonia Białystok 34 15 11 8 56:41 +15 56
3 Górnik Zabrze H 34 16 8 10 50:38 +12 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 51:40 +11 55
5 Katowice 34 14 8 12 51:45 +6 50
6 Legia Warszawa 34 12 13 9 42:37 +5 49
7 Zagłębie Lubin 34 13 9 12 45:38 +7 48
8 Wisła Płock 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
9 Pogoń Szczecin 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
11 Korona Kielce 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
12 Lechia Gdańsk 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 43
13 Motor Lublin A 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
14 Widzew Lodz 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
15 Cracovia Kraków 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
16 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34

Team Form

Górnik Zabrze hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Motor Lublin have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Motor Lublin regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 60% · BTTS No 40%

Match Goals

Motor Lublin regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Górnik Zabrze have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Motor Lublin in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Górnik Zabrze 1.8 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Motor Lublin 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Górnik Zabrze 18 scored / 9 conceded at home · Motor Lublin 14 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Górnik Zabrze (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Motor Lublin (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Górnik Zabrze have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Motor Lublin have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Górnik Zabrze: last 10 home A Motor Lublin: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Górnik Zabrze and Motor Lublin. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Mar, 2025
Górnik Zabrze
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Motor Lublin
Corners 3–11 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Sep, 2024
Motor Lublin
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Górnik Zabrze
Corners 6–1 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st May, 2010
Motor Lublin
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Górnik Zabrze
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Sep, 2009
Górnik Zabrze
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Motor Lublin
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Górnik Zabrze 1.57 Model: 55%
Draw 4.3 Model: 22%
Value Motor Lublin 5.05 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66 Model: 60%
No 2.23 Model: 40%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14 Model: 82%
Over 2.5 1.6 Model: 61%
Over 3.5 2.37 Model: 37%
Under 1.5 5 Model: 18%
Under 2.5 2.35 Model: 39%
Under 3.5 1.47 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17 Model: 68%
Over 9.5 1.28 Model: 57%
Over 10.5 1.65 Model: 46%
Over 11.5 1.78 Model: 36%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Górnik Zabrze 2.05 Model: 40%
Draw 2.62 Model: 39%
Value Motor Lublin 5.44 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Górnik Zabrze or Draw 1.15 Model: 78%
Górnik Zabrze or Motor Lublin 1.2 Model: 78%
Value Draw or Motor Lublin 2.46 Model: 45%

Górnik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 1.08 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 1.55 Model: 56%
Over 2.5 2.64

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 1.48 Model: 60%
Over 1.5 3.14 Model: 29%
Over 2.5 7.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin?

Over 8.5 Corners: Górnik Zabrze see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Motor Lublin in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Górnik Zabrze or Motor Lublin?

Górnik Zabrze hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Ekstraklasa this season, while Motor Lublin have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Górnik Zabrze and Motor Lublin?

Mixed. Górnik Zabrze have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Motor Lublin in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ekstraklasa fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Górnik Zabrze and Motor Lublin?

Possibly. Motor Lublin regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Górnik Zabrze are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Górnik Zabrze or Motor Lublin?

Górnik Zabrze have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Motor Lublin's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Górnik Zabrze and Motor Lublin?

Yes. Both Górnik Zabrze (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Motor Lublin (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Ekstraklasa. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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