Grêmio vs Fluminense Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 3rd December, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Grêmio sit 10th in the table after 33 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Fluminense are 6th after 33 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Grêmio have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Fluminense side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Grêmio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Fluminense in 20% away. Grêmio average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Fluminense 0.9 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Grêmio have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Fluminense in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Grêmio regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Fluminense are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Fluminense in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Grêmio (10th) and Fluminense (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense A 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio H 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Fluminense have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Fluminense (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Fluminense (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Fluminense in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Fluminense are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Fluminense have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Fluminense (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Fluminense. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

3rd Aug, 2025
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 6–4 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Fluminense
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
Corners 8–2 Cards 6–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Aug, 2024
Fluminense
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
Corners 7–2 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Aug, 2024
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 4–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jun, 2024
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 6–1 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Dec, 2023
Fluminense
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Grêmio
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Aug, 2023
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Fluminense
Corners 3–8 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Nov, 2021
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 6–0 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Jul, 2021
Fluminense
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–4 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Nov, 2020
Fluminense
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Grêmio
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Fluminense across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 3.1
Draw 3.2
Fluminense 2.76

Half Time Result

Grêmio 3.75
Draw 2.13
Fluminense 3.28

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.53
Grêmio or Fluminense 1.32
Draw or Fluminense 1.41

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.96

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.44
Over 3.5 4.84
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.35

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.75

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.05

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.43

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Grêmio vs Fluminense Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Fluminense in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Fluminense?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Fluminense have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Fluminense?

Unlikely — Grêmio (30% BTTS at home) and Fluminense (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Fluminense?

Unlikely — Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Fluminense (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie A. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Fluminense?

Fluminense have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Grêmio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Fluminense?

Possibly — Grêmio regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Fluminense are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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