Grêmio vs Palmeiras Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 26th November, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Grêmio sit 12th in the table after 32 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Palmeiras are 2nd after 30 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Grêmio have won 60% of home games, Palmeiras 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Grêmio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Palmeiras in 30% away. Grêmio average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Palmeiras 1.6 and 0.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Grêmio at 30% in home games (3/10), Palmeiras at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — Grêmio have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Palmeiras in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Grêmio (12th) and Palmeiras (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras A 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio H 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Grêmio (60% home wins) and Palmeiras (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Grêmio (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Jul, 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 2–3 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2024
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 14–1 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jul, 2024
Grêmio
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
Corners 5–10 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Sep, 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
Corners 2–11 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th May, 2023
Palmeiras
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
Corners 7–4 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2021
Grêmio
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Palmeiras
Corners 4–2 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Jul, 2021
Palmeiras
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Mar, 2021
Palmeiras
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–4 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Mar, 2021
Grêmio
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Palmeiras
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Jan, 2021
Palmeiras
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–7 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.44
Draw 3.3
Palmeiras 3.45

Half Time Result

Grêmio 3.17
Draw 2.05
Palmeiras 3.79

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.36
Grêmio or Palmeiras 1.41
Draw or Palmeiras 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.3
Over 3.5 4.4
Under 1.5 3.3
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.22

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.37
Over 10.5 1.61
Over 11.5 1.96

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.57

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.85

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Palmeiras?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Grêmio have won 60% of home games, Palmeiras 60% away in Serie A. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Palmeiras?

Mixed — Grêmio have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Palmeiras?

Unlikely — Grêmio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie A. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Grêmio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Palmeiras?

Yes — both Grêmio (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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