Grêmio vs Santos

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 23rd May, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Grêmio average 1.3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Santos average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Grêmio have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Santos side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Grêmio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Santos in 40% away. Grêmio average 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Santos 1.1 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Santos regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Grêmio are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Grêmio see 8+ in 60% of home games, Santos in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Santos in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Grêmio (th) and Santos (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 26:13 +13 35
2 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 27:21 +6 30
3 Flamengo 14 9 3 2 27:12 +15 30
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 22:18 +4 24
5 Athletico PR 15 7 2 6 20:16 +4 23
6 Bahia 14 6 4 4 20:18 +2 22
7 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 21:22 -1 21
8 Internacional 16 5 6 5 20:17 +3 21
9 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 21:26 -5 20
10 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 22:25 -3 20
11 Bragantino 15 6 2 7 17:18 -1 20
12 Coritiba 15 5 5 5 18:19 -1 20
13 Vitória 14 5 4 5 18:20 -2 19
14 Botafogo 14 5 3 6 26:27 -1 18
15 Corinthians 15 4 6 5 13:15 -2 18
16 Santos A 15 4 6 5 21:22 -1 18
17 Grêmio H 15 4 5 6 15:17 -2 17
18 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 17:23 -6 13
19 Remo 15 2 6 7 16:25 -9 12
20 Chapecoense 14 1 6 7 14:27 -13 9

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Santos have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Santos regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Grêmio are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Santos in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Santos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Grêmio (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Santos (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Santos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Santos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Santos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.05
Draw 3.25
Santos 3.7

Half Time Result

Grêmio 2.8
Draw 2.1
Santos 4

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.3
Grêmio or Santos 1.33
Draw or Santos 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.16
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.44
Over 10.5 1.74
Over 11.5 2.17

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.28

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.05

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Hougang United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    80% combined
  • Bahia U20 vs Atletico-PR U20 19:00 BST | Brasileiro U20, Brazil Bahia U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Atletico-PR U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    73% combined
  • Farul Constanța vs Metaloglobus 18:30 BST | Superliga, Romania Farul Constanța have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/19 home matches this season · Metaloglobus have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    68% combined
  • Arsenal vs Burnley 20:00 BST | Premier League, England Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    66% combined

Grêmio vs Santos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Santos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Grêmio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Santos in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Santos?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Santos have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Santos?

Possibly — Santos regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Grêmio are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Santos?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Santos in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Santos?

Grêmio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Santos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Santos?

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Santos in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Serie A, Brazil

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Flamengo vs Palmeiras

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 24th May, 01:00 BST

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📍 Serie A, Brazil

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Remo vs Athletico PR

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 24th May, 20:00 BST

Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 24th May, 22:30 BST

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