Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 20th November, 00:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Grêmio hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Vasco da Gama are less consistent on the road (1/10, 10%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Grêmio frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Vasco da Gama are more variable on the road (60%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Grêmio 50% at home, Vasco da Gama 40% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Grêmio (14th) and Vasco da Gama (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78:27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66:33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55:31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63:39 +24 67
5 Fluminense 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
6 Botafogo 38 17 12 9 58:38 +20 63
7 Bahia 38 17 9 12 50:46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43:47 -4 51
9 Grêmio H 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
10 Atlético Mineiro 38 12 12 14 43:44 -1 48
11 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45:57 -12 48
12 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42:47 -5 47
13 Santos 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
14 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35:52 -17 45
15 Vasco da Gama A 38 13 6 19 55:60 -5 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44:57 -13 44
17 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43:58 -15 43
18 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34:40 -6 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35:69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28:75 -47 17

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Vasco da Gama have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Grêmio have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Vasco da Gama in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Vasco da Gama have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Vasco da Gama (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th Jul, 2025
Vasco da Gama
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 12–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Jul, 2024
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 8–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Apr, 2024
Vasco da Gama
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–5 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Dec, 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2023
Vasco da Gama
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 5–7 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Sep, 2022
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Vasco da Gama
Corners 6–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Jun, 2022
Vasco da Gama
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 5–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Dec, 2020
Grêmio
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vasco da Gama
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Aug, 2020
Vasco da Gama
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 6–4 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2019
Vasco da Gama
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
Corners 10–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 1.83
Draw 3.9
Vasco da Gama 4

Half Time Result

Grêmio 2.37
Draw 2.36
Vasco da Gama 4.33

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.25
Grêmio or Vasco da Gama 1.25
Draw or Vasco da Gama 1.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.76

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 1.68
Over 11.5 2.08

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.8

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.95

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Wisla U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    85% combined
  • Sportivo Trinidense Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST Sportivo Trinidense Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    83% combined
  • Hearts W vs Celtic W 19:00 BST Hearts W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Celtic W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    81% combined
  • Puebla W vs Querétaro W 22:45 BST Puebla W have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Querétaro W have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    76% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.51
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Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Vasco da Gama?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Vasco da Gama have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama?

Mixed — Grêmio have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Vasco da Gama?

Grêmio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Vasco da Gama's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama?

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Vasco da Gama in 40% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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