Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Sudamericana, South America
🕒 Wednesday 22nd October, 01:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Independiente del Valle (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Atlético Mineiro on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Independiente del Valle at 20% at home and Atlético Mineiro at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Independiente del Valle at 40% at home and Atlético Mineiro at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Independiente del Valle have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Copa Sudamericana table for the 2025 season, with Independiente del Valle (1st) and Atlético Mineiro (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Sudamericana 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Once Caldas 13 10 0 3 22:9 +13 30
2 Atlético Mineiro A 15 7 6 2 22:12 +10 27
3 Lanús 13 6 6 1 15:8 +7 24
4 Mushuc Runa 9 7 1 1 16:7 +9 22
5 Fluminense 10 6 2 2 16:5 +11 20
6 Universidad Católica 9 4 3 2 13:9 +4 15
7 Guaraní 9 4 2 3 13:18 -5 14
8 Huracán 8 4 2 2 12:6 +6 14
9 Grêmio 8 3 4 1 9:7 +2 13
10 Club Bolívar 6 4 1 1 12:3 +9 13
11 América de Cali 11 2 7 2 11:10 +1 13
12 Independiente 7 4 0 3 16:7 +9 12
13 Godoy Cruz 8 3 3 2 11:8 +3 12
14 Alianza Lima 6 3 2 1 8:4 +4 11
15 Universidad Chile 7 3 2 2 11:6 +5 11
16 Independiente del Valle H 8 3 2 3 11:9 +2 11
17 Cienciano 9 2 5 2 13:11 +2 11
18 Caracas 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
19 Nacional Potosí 7 3 1 3 9:13 -4 10
20 Palestino 9 3 1 5 10:16 -6 10
21 Vasco da Gama 8 2 3 3 9:13 -4 9
22 Cerro Largo 9 2 3 4 7:13 -6 9
23 Academia Puerto Cabello 7 2 2 3 11:8 +3 8
24 Corinthians 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
25 Boston River 6 2 1 3 12:14 -2 7
26 Melgar 6 2 1 3 5:10 -5 7
27 Central Cordoba SdE 4 2 1 1 4:1 +3 7
28 Gualberto Villarroel SJ 7 2 1 4 6:15 -9 7
29 Vitória 6 1 3 2 3:4 -1 6
30 Unión Española 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
31 Cruzeiro 6 1 2 3 5:7 -2 5
32 Atlético Grau 7 0 5 2 5:9 -4 5
33 Sportivo Luqueño 7 1 2 4 6:9 -3 5
34 Deportes Iquique 6 1 1 4 7:16 -9 4
35 Unión Santa Fe 6 1 1 4 2:8 -6 4
36 Defensa y Justicia 6 0 4 2 4:7 -3 4
37 Atlético Bucaramanga 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
38 Racing 7 0 2 5 3:14 -11 2
39 Aucas 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
40 Cusco FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
41 Danubio 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
42 Bahia 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
43 Universidad Católica 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
44 Everton 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
45 Junior FC 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
46 Wanderers 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 ADT 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
48 Orense 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
49 Sportivo Ameliano 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
50 2 de Mayo 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
51 Millonarios 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
52 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
53 Deportivo La Guaira 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
54 Metropolitanos 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
55 Aurora 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
56 Universitario de Vinto 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Independiente del Valle have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente del Valle (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Independiente del Valle have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Mineiro in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Independiente del Valle win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Independiente del Valle (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Independiente del Valle and Atlético Mineiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th May, 2022
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Independiente del Valle
Corners 4–6 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Apr, 2022
Independiente del Valle
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 9–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Apr, 2016
Independiente del Valle
3 – 2 HT: 3-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Feb, 2016
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Independiente del Valle
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Independiente del Valle 1.97
Draw 3.2
Atlético Mineiro 5.33

Half Time Result

Independiente del Valle 2.6
Draw 1.95
Atlético Mineiro 5.74

Double Chance

Independiente del Valle or Draw 1.18
Independiente del Valle or Atlético Mineiro 1.39
Draw or Atlético Mineiro 1.95

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.4
No 1.67

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.62
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 5.09
Under 1.5 2.52
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.43
Over 9.5 1.68
Over 10.5 2.31
Over 11.5 2.75

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.42

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.88
Over 1.5 4.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro?

Under 2.5 Goals — Independiente del Valle have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Independiente del Valle or Atlético Mineiro?

Independiente del Valle have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlético Mineiro on the road (20% wins) in Copa Sudamericana. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Independiente del Valle and Atlético Mineiro?

Unlikely — Independiente del Valle (40% BTTS at home) and Atlético Mineiro (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Copa Sudamericana. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Independiente del Valle and Atlético Mineiro?

Uncertain — Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Independiente del Valle or Atlético Mineiro?

Atlético Mineiro have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Independiente del Valle's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Independiente del Valle and Atlético Mineiro?

Possibly — Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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