Juventud vs Atlético Progreso

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 16th May, 19:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Juventud sit 7th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 6th after 15 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Juventud have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Atlético Progreso have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Juventud have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Atlético Progreso in 30% away (3/10). Juventud average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.8 and 1.3 on the road.

Juventud frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Atlético Progreso are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Juventud see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Juventud see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Juventud (7th) and Atlético Progreso (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 16 10 2 4 27:17 +10 32
3 Peñarol 16 9 3 4 25:17 +8 30
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 16 8 3 5 25:23 +2 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Defensor Sporting 16 5 6 5 14:13 +1 21
9 Wanderers 16 6 3 7 16:21 -5 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud H 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 16 2 4 10 9:28 -19 10
16 Atlético Progreso A 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Atlético Progreso have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Juventud have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Juventud frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Atlético Progreso are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Juventud have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Juventud have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Juventud have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Juventud have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Juventud (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Juventud and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12 Apr 2026
Juventud
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Progreso
19 Jan 2026
Juventud
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
09 Nov 2025
Juventud
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
29 Jun 2025
Juventud
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Progreso
18 May 2025
Atlético Progreso
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Juventud
18 Nov 2023
Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Juventud
07 Jul 2023
Juventud
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Progreso
29 Apr 2023
Juventud
1 – 5 HT: 1-3
Progreso
06 Aug 2022
Progreso
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Juventud
16 May 2022
Juventud
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Progreso

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Juventud vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Juventud 2.08
Draw 3.4
Atlético Progreso 4.1

Half Time Result

Juventud 2.72
Draw 2.1
Atlético Progreso 4.54

Double Chance

Juventud or Draw 1.24
Juventud or Atlético Progreso 1.29
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.67

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 1.93

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 4.2
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.28

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.55
Over 10.5 2.45
Over 11.5 2.58

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.3

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.64

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Vaprus II 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Vaprus II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • B68 vs HB 17:15 BST | Meistaradeildin, Faroe Islands B68 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · HB have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • South Melbourne vs Avondale Heights 10:30 BST | Npl Victoria, Australia South Melbourne have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Avondale Heights have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    75% combined
  • FA Šiauliai vs FK Riteriai 16:30 BST | A Lyga, Lithuania FA Šiauliai have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · FK Riteriai have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
    69% combined

Juventud vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Atlético Progreso?

Over 1.5 Goals — Juventud see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Juventud or Atlético Progreso?

Juventud have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Atlético Progreso on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Juventud and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Juventud have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Juventud and Atlético Progreso?

Uncertain — Juventud have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Juventud or Atlético Progreso?

Juventud have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Juventud and Atlético Progreso?

Juventud have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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