Ekstraklasa · Poland 🕒 Saturday 13th September, 13:45 BST

Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Korona Kielce Home · 5th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Pogoń Szczecin Away · 7th 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Korona Kielce 37% Draw 26% Pogoń Szczecin 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Korona Kielce have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
37% Korona Kielce win 26% Draw 37% Pogoń Szczecin win 57% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Korona Kielce sit 5th in the table after 6 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Pogoń Szczecin are 7th after 6 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Korona Kielce have won 30% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Korona Kielce in 80% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Pogoń Szczecin are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Korona Kielce see 8+ in 80% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Korona Kielce (5th) and Pogoń Szczecin (7th) sit in the Ekstraklasa table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Pogoń Szczecin A 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
11 Korona Kielce H 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
View the full Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lech Poznań 34 16 12 6 62:45 +17 60
2 Jagiellonia Białystok 34 15 11 8 56:41 +15 56
3 Górnik Zabrze 34 16 8 10 50:38 +12 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 51:40 +11 55
5 Katowice 34 14 8 12 51:45 +6 50
6 Legia Warszawa 34 12 13 9 42:37 +5 49
7 Zagłębie Lubin 34 13 9 12 45:38 +7 48
8 Wisła Płock 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
9 Pogoń Szczecin A 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
11 Korona Kielce H 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
12 Lechia Gdańsk 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 43
13 Motor Lublin 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
14 Widzew Lodz 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
15 Cracovia Kraków 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
16 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34

Team Form

Korona Kielce (30% home wins) and Pogoń Szczecin (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Pogoń Szczecin are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Korona Kielce 80% at home, Pogoń Szczecin 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Korona Kielce have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Pogoń Szczecin in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Korona Kielce 1.2 scored · 1 conceded per home game Pogoń Szczecin 0.9 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Korona Kielce 12 scored / 10 conceded at home · Pogoń Szczecin 9 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Pogoń Szczecin frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Korona Kielce are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Korona Kielce have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Pogoń Szczecin have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Korona Kielce: last 10 home A Pogoń Szczecin: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Korona Kielce and Pogoń Szczecin. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Dec, 2024
Korona Kielce
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Pogoń Szczecin
Corners 5–2 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Jul, 2024
Pogoń Szczecin
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Mar, 2024
Korona Kielce
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Pogoń Szczecin
Corners 4–8 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2023
Pogoń Szczecin
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Korona Kielce
Corners 6–9 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
18th Mar, 2023
Pogoń Szczecin
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Korona Kielce
Corners 11–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Sep, 2022
Korona Kielce
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Pogoń Szczecin
Corners 8–6 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Dec, 2019
Pogoń Szczecin
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Korona Kielce
Corners 6–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Aug, 2019
Korona Kielce
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Pogoń Szczecin
Corners 5–0 Cards 3–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Feb, 2019
Korona Kielce
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Pogoń Szczecin
Corners 5–9 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2018
Pogoń Szczecin
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
Corners 1–10 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Korona Kielce 2.25 Model: 37%
Draw 3.69 Model: 26%
Value Pogoń Szczecin 3.07 Model: 37%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57 Model: 57%
No 2.45 Model: 43%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.72 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 29%
Value Under 1.5 4.49 Model: 24%
Value Under 2.5 2.2 Model: 49%
Value Under 3.5 1.47 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.52

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16 Model: 60%
Over 9.5 1.27 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 1.67 Model: 37%
Over 11.5 1.78 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Korona Kielce 2.81 Model: 29%
Draw 2.39 Model: 41%
Value Pogoń Szczecin 3.61 Model: 30%

Double Chance

Korona Kielce or Draw 1.38 Model: 63%
Korona Kielce or Pogoń Szczecin 1.28 Model: 74%
Value Draw or Pogoń Szczecin 1.68 Model: 63%

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2 Model: 38%
Over 2.5 4.2

Pogoń Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2.46 Model: 38%
Over 2.5 5.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin?

Under 2.5 Goals: Korona Kielce have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Korona Kielce or Pogoń Szczecin?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Korona Kielce have won 30% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin 30% away in Ekstraklasa. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Korona Kielce and Pogoń Szczecin?

Possibly. Korona Kielce frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Pogoń Szczecin are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Korona Kielce and Pogoń Szczecin?

Uncertain. Korona Kielce have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Pogoń Szczecin in 30% of away games in Ekstraklasa. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Korona Kielce or Pogoń Szczecin?

Korona Kielce have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Pogoń Szczecin's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Korona Kielce and Pogoń Szczecin?

Possibly. Pogoń Szczecin frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Korona Kielce are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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