Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 26th October, 19:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Liverpool sit 4th in the table after 34 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 9th after 34 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Liverpool have won 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Atlético Progreso in 30% away (3/10). Liverpool average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.8 and 1.3 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Liverpool at 40% in home games (4/10), Atlético Progreso at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Liverpool see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Liverpool have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Progreso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Liverpool (4th) and Atlético Progreso (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool H 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso A 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Liverpool (20% home wins) and Atlético Progreso (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Liverpool have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Liverpool (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Liverpool and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Apr, 2025
Atlético Progreso
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
Corners 4–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Nov, 2024
Liverpool
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Progreso
Corners 7–1 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Apr, 2024
Atlético Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
Corners 7–7 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Oct, 2021
Liverpool
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
Corners 4–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jun, 2021
Atlético Progreso
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Liverpool
Corners 3–5 Cards 4–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jan, 2021
Atlético Progreso
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
Corners 10–3 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Dec, 2020
Atlético Progreso
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Liverpool
Corners 7–4 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Mar, 2020
Liverpool
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 6–5 Cards 5–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Sep, 2019
Atlético Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
Corners 2–1 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Mar, 2019
Liverpool
3 – 5 HT: 0-2
Atlético Progreso
Corners 5–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Liverpool 1.66
Draw 4.14
Atlético Progreso 5.03

Half Time Result

Liverpool 2.15
Draw 2.33
Atlético Progreso 5.59

Double Chance

Liverpool or Draw 1.15
Liverpool or Atlético Progreso 1.23
Draw or Atlético Progreso 2.02

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.85

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 3.5 3.38
Under 1.5 3.59
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.92

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.37
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.23
Over 11.5 2.4

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.82

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.78

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 3.5 Goals — Liverpool have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Progreso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Liverpool or Atlético Progreso?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Liverpool have won 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso 20% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Liverpool have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Progreso?

Uncertain — Liverpool have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Liverpool or Atlético Progreso?

Liverpool have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Liverpool and Atlético Progreso?

Liverpool have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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