Tercera - Group 9 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 17:00 GMT

Marbellí vs El Palo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Marbellí Home · 7th 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
El Palo Away · 17th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Marbellí 63% Draw 23% El Palo 14%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Marbellí vs El Palo Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Marbellí have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, El Palo in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
63% Marbellí win 23% Draw 14% El Palo win 42% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
67% Over 1.5 Goals

Marbellí sit 7th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. El Palo are 17th after 16 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Marbellí have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a El Palo side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Marbellí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); El Palo in 50% away (5/10). Marbellí average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, El Palo 0.7 and 1.7 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Marbellí at 50% in home games (5/10), El Palo at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Marbellí see 9+ corners in 0% of home games, El Palo in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Marbellí (7th) and El Palo (17th) sit in the Tercera - Group 9 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Marbellí H 34 14 9 11 36:28 +8 51
18 El Palo A 33 6 8 19 27:52 -25 26
View the full Tercera - Group 9 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 +22 66
2 Motril 33 18 10 5 55:29 +26 64
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 14 6 37:25 +12 56
4 Arenas de Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 +9 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 33 14 10 9 32:38 -6 52
6 Marbellí H 34 14 9 11 36:28 +8 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 +1 50
8 Atlético Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 +2 46
9 UD San Pedro 33 12 10 11 37:37 0 46
10 Huétor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 +1 45
11 Granada II 34 10 14 10 49:47 +2 44
12 Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 0 43
13 UD Melilla II 33 9 11 13 30:32 -2 38
14 Huétor Tájar 34 9 10 15 40:44 -4 37
15 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 -16 37
16 Mancha Real 34 8 11 15 29:38 -9 35
17 Torreperogil 33 9 5 19 23:44 -21 32
18 El Palo A 33 6 8 19 27:52 -25 26

Team Form

Marbellí hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while El Palo have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Marbellí have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, El Palo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Marbellí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, El Palo in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Marbellí have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, El Palo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Marbellí 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game El Palo 0.7 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Marbellí 14 scored / 8 conceded at home · El Palo 7 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Marbellí have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 0% of home games, El Palo in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Marbellí have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

El Palo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Marbellí — last 10 home A El Palo — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Marbellí and El Palo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
El Palo
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Marbellí
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2025
Marbellí
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
El Palo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Oct 2024
El Palo
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Marbellí
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Marbellí vs El Palo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Marbellí 1.45 Model: 63%
Draw 3.83 Model: 23%
El Palo 7.27 Model: 14%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Marbellí vs El Palo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Marbellí vs El Palo?

Under 3.5 Goals — Marbellí have stayed under 4 goals in 100% of home matches, El Palo in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Marbellí or El Palo?

Marbellí hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 9 this season, while El Palo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Marbellí and El Palo?

Mixed — Marbellí have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, El Palo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 9 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Marbellí and El Palo?

Uncertain — Marbellí have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, El Palo in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 9. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Marbellí or El Palo?

Marbellí have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to El Palo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Marbellí and El Palo?

Marbellí have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 0% of home games, El Palo in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 9. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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