Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Sudamericana, South America
🕒 Thursday 5th March, 22:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Nacional Asunción (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Deportivo Recoleta on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Deportivo Recoleta tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Nacional Asunción are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Nacional Asunción often see both teams score at home (60%), while Deportivo Recoleta are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Deportivo Recoleta regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional Asunción have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Copa Sudamericana table for the 2026 season, with Nacional Asunción (1st) and Deportivo Recoleta (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Sudamericana 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Cuenca 2 2 0 0 4:0 +4 6
2 Montevideo City Torque 2 2 0 0 2:0 +2 6
3 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 3:0 +3 6
4 Macará 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
5 América de Cali 2 1 1 0 3:2 +1 4
6 Alianza Atlético 2 1 1 0 3:1 +2 4
7 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
8 Palestino 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
9 Blooming 2 1 1 0 4:1 +3 4
10 Boston River 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
11 São Paulo 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
12 Millonarios 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
13 O'Higgins 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
14 Racing Club 1 1 0 0 3:1 +2 3
15 Carabobo 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
16 Deportivo Recoleta A 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
17 Cienciano 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
18 Caracas 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
19 San Lorenzo 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
20 Tigre 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
21 Nacional Asunción H 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
22 Melgar 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
23 Juventud 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
24 Deportivo Riestra 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
25 Vasco da Gama 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
26 Audax Italiano 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
27 Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
28 Botafogo 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
29 Independiente Petrolero 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
30 River Plate 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
31 Monagas 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
32 Metropolitanos 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
33 Cobresal 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
34 Guabirá 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
35 Santos 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
36 Libertad 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
37 Orense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
38 Atlético Mineiro 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
39 Racing 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
40 Defensor Sporting 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
41 Grêmio 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
42 Sportivo Trinidense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
43 Atlético Nacional 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
44 Atlético Bucaramanga 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
45 Bragantino 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
46 Universidad Chile 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
47 Deportivo Garcilaso 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
48 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0

Team Form

Deportivo Recoleta have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Nacional Asunción have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional Asunción frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Deportivo Recoleta are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Nacional Asunción have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional Asunción have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Deportivo Recoleta in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional Asunción have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional Asunción have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Deportivo Recoleta have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Nacional Asunción (Home Form) Deportivo Recoleta (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Feb 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Nacional Asunción
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional Asunción
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Sep 2025
Nacional Asunción
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Recoleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Apr 2025
Nacional Asunción
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Recoleta
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional Asunción
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Nacional Asunción 1.83
Draw 3.55
Deportivo Recoleta 5.8

Half Time Result

Nacional Asunción 2.61
Draw 2.18
Deportivo Recoleta 4.65

Double Chance

Nacional Asunción or Draw 1.18
Nacional Asunción or Deportivo Recoleta 1.26
Draw or Deportivo Recoleta 1.92

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.14
No 1.87

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.43
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 3.5 4.2
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.6
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.55
Over 9.5 1.92
Over 10.5 2.55
Over 11.5 3.5

Nacional Asunción Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.05

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 1.64
Over 1.5 3.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Under 2.5 Goals — Nacional Asunción have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional Asunción or Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asunción have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Deportivo Recoleta on the road (30% wins) in Copa Sudamericana. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta?

Mixed — Nacional Asunción have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Copa Sudamericana fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta?

Uncertain — Nacional Asunción have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 40% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional Asunción or Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asunción have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Deportivo Recoleta's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional Asunción and Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asunción have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Recoleta in 50% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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