Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Thursday 2nd October, 23:00 BST

Paysandu vs Cuiabá Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Paysandu Home · 20th 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
Cuiabá Away · 6th 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Paysandu 32% Draw 31% Cuiabá 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Paysandu vs Cuiabá Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Paysandu at 70% BTTS in home games and Cuiabá at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
32% Paysandu win 31% Draw 37% Cuiabá win 46% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals

Paysandu sit 20th in the table after 25 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Cuiabá are 6th after 25 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. Paysandu have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Cuiabá side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Paysandu have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Cuiabá in 20% away (2/10). Paysandu average 2 scored and 1 conceded at home, Cuiabá 0.5 and 0.9 on the road.

Paysandu frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Cuiabá are lower on the road (20%, 2/10). They've scored in 30% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Paysandu regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Cuiabá are lower on the road (20%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Paysandu (20th) and Cuiabá (6th) sit in the Serie B table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Cuiabá A 38 14 12 12 43:44 -1 54
20 Paysandu H 38 5 13 20 36:52 -16 28
View the full Serie B 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coritiba 38 19 11 8 39:23 +16 68
2 Athletico PR 38 19 8 11 53:43 +10 65
3 Chapecoense 38 18 8 12 52:35 +17 62
4 Remo 38 16 14 8 51:39 +12 62
5 Criciúma 38 17 10 11 47:33 +14 61
6 Goiás 38 17 10 11 42:37 +5 61
7 Novorizontino 38 15 15 8 43:32 +11 60
8 Avaí 38 14 14 10 50:40 +10 56
9 CRB 38 16 8 14 45:40 +5 56
10 Cuiabá A 38 14 12 12 43:44 -1 54
11 Atlético GO 38 13 13 12 39:38 +1 52
12 Operário PR 38 12 12 14 40:44 -4 48
13 Vila Nova 38 11 14 13 40:44 -4 47
14 América Mineiro 38 12 10 16 41:44 -3 46
15 Athletic Club 38 12 8 18 43:53 -10 44
16 Botafogo SP 38 10 12 16 32:52 -20 42
17 Ferroviária 38 8 16 14 43:52 -9 40
18 Amazonas 38 8 12 18 38:55 -17 36
19 Volta Redonda 38 8 12 18 26:43 -17 36
20 Paysandu H 38 5 13 20 36:52 -16 28

Team Form

Paysandu have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Cuiabá's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paysandu frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Cuiabá are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Paysandu have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Cuiabá in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Paysandu have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Cuiabá in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Paysandu 2 scored · 1 conceded per home game Cuiabá 0.5 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Paysandu 20 scored / 10 conceded at home · Cuiabá 5 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Paysandu regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Cuiabá are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Paysandu have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Cuiabá have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Paysandu: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Paysandu and Cuiabá. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

7th Jun, 2025
Cuiabá
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Paysandu
Corners 9–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Nov, 2019
Paysandu
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cuiabá
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Nov, 2019
Cuiabá
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Paysandu
Corners 5–2 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Sep, 2014
Paysandu
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Cuiabá
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 3 more meetings
20th Jul, 2014
Cuiabá
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
Paysandu
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Oct, 2012
Cuiabá
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Paysandu
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Aug, 2012
Paysandu
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Cuiabá
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Paysandu vs Cuiabá across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Paysandu 2.87 Model: 32%
Draw 3.1 Model: 31%
Cuiabá 2.6 Model: 37%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05 Model: 46%
No 1.74 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.5 Model: 64%
Over 2.5 2.45 Model: 38%
Over 3.5 5.08 Model: 18%
Under 1.5 2.49 Model: 36%
Under 2.5 1.52 Model: 62%
Under 3.5 1.12 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36 Model: 62%
Over 9.5 1.66 Model: 50%
Over 10.5 2 Model: 39%
Over 11.5 2.62 Model: 29%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Paysandu 3.82 Model: 24%
Draw 2.01 Model: 50%
Cuiabá 3.4 Model: 25%

Double Chance

Paysandu or Draw 1.5 Model: 63%
Paysandu or Cuiabá 1.39 Model: 69%
Draw or Cuiabá 1.42 Model: 68%

Paysandu Goals

Over 0.5 1.47 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 3.1 Model: 27%
Over 2.5 7.8

Cuiabá Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 67%
Over 1.5 2.8 Model: 31%
Over 2.5 8.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Paysandu vs Cuiabá Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Cuiabá?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Paysandu at 70% BTTS in home games and Cuiabá at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Paysandu or Cuiabá?

Paysandu hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Serie B this season, while Cuiabá have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Paysandu and Cuiabá?

Possibly. Paysandu frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Cuiabá are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Paysandu and Cuiabá?

Uncertain. Paysandu have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Cuiabá in 20% of away games in Serie B. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Paysandu or Cuiabá?

Paysandu have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Cuiabá's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Paysandu and Cuiabá?

Possibly. Paysandu regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Cuiabá are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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