Peñarol vs Cerro Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 21st March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Peñarol sit 2nd in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Cerro are 16th after 4 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.5 conceded on the road. Peñarol have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Cerro have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Cerro have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Peñarol are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Peñarol in 80% of home games (8/10), Cerro in 60% away (6/10). Peñarol have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Cerro in 60% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Peñarol see 8+ in 70% of home games, Cerro in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Peñarol see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Cerro in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Peñarol (2nd) and Cerro (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol H 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro A 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Cerro have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Peñarol have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peñarol have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Cerro in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Cerro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Peñarol have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cerro in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 25 (2.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Peñarol (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Cerro (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Peñarol have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Cerro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Cerro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Peñarol and Cerro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25 Oct 2025
Cerro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jun 2025
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2025
Peñarol
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Cerro
0 – 5 HT: 0-2
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2024
Peñarol
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Aug 2023
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Feb 2023
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jan 2021
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2020
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2019
Cerro
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Peñarol vs Cerro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Peñarol 1.3
Draw 5.5
Cerro 16.5

Half Time Result

Peñarol 1.9
Draw 2.28
Cerro 10

Double Chance

Peñarol or Draw 1.06
Peñarol or Cerro 1.18
Draw or Cerro 2.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 3
No 1.46

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 4.1
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.95

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.59
Over 10.5 2.52
Over 11.5 2.67

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.68

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 2.4
Over 1.5 9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
Explore all our tips & stats

Peñarol vs Cerro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peñarol vs Cerro?

Over 1.5 Goals — Peñarol see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Cerro in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Peñarol or Cerro?

Peñarol have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Cerro on the road (10% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Peñarol and Cerro?

Possibly — Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Cerro are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peñarol and Cerro?

Possibly — Cerro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Peñarol are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peñarol or Cerro?

Peñarol have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Cerro's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peñarol and Cerro?

Peñarol have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Cerro in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Peñarol vs Central Español

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Juventud vs Wanderers

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Albion vs Montevideo City Torque

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Danubio vs Atlético Progreso

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Racing vs Defensor Sporting

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Boston River vs Liverpool

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Cerro Largo vs Cerro

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →