Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Monday 4th May, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Peñarol (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Peñarol frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Defensor Sporting are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Peñarol often see both teams score at home (70%), while Defensor Sporting are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Peñarol see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Peñarol (th) and Defensor Sporting (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 12 8 3 1 21:11 +10 27
2 Deportivo Maldonado 12 7 2 3 20:13 +7 23
3 Peñarol H 11 7 1 3 17:10 +7 22
4 Albion 12 5 4 3 20:13 +7 19
5 Nacional 12 6 1 5 19:16 +3 19
6 Central Español 12 5 3 4 17:19 -2 18
7 Defensor Sporting A 12 4 5 3 10:8 +2 17
8 Liverpool 12 4 4 4 16:16 0 16
9 Montevideo City Torque 12 4 4 4 15:13 +2 16
10 Danubio 12 3 6 3 15:16 -1 15
11 Wanderers 12 4 2 6 13:19 -6 14
12 Cerro Largo 12 4 2 6 13:15 -2 14
13 Boston River 12 4 2 6 10:13 -3 14
14 Cerro 12 2 4 6 7:16 -9 10
15 Atlético Progreso 12 2 4 6 11:19 -8 10
16 Juventud 11 2 1 8 10:17 -7 7

Team Form

Defensor Sporting have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Peñarol have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Defensor Sporting are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Peñarol have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Peñarol have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Defensor Sporting in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Peñarol (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Defensor Sporting (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Peñarol have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Peñarol (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.22
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Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting?

Over 8.5 Corners — Peñarol see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Peñarol or Defensor Sporting?

Peñarol have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Peñarol and Defensor Sporting?

Possibly — Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Defensor Sporting are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peñarol and Defensor Sporting?

Uncertain — Peñarol have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peñarol or Defensor Sporting?

Peñarol have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Defensor Sporting's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peñarol and Defensor Sporting?

Yes — both Peñarol (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Defensor Sporting (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Primera Division. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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