Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Friday 10th October, 23:00 BST

Plaza Colonia vs Atlético Progreso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Plaza Colonia Home · 14th 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
Atlético Progreso Away · 8th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Plaza Colonia 37% Draw 32% Atlético Progreso 31%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Plaza Colonia vs Atlético Progreso Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Plaza Colonia have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
37% Plaza Colonia win 32% Draw 31% Atlético Progreso win 43% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
83% Under 3.5 Goals

Plaza Colonia sit 14th in the table after 31 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 8th after 31 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Plaza Colonia have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Atlético Progreso have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Plaza Colonia have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Atlético Progreso in 40% away. Plaza Colonia average 1 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.9 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Plaza Colonia at 20% in home games (2/10), Atlético Progreso at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Plaza Colonia see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Plaza Colonia (14th) and Atlético Progreso (8th) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2025 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Atlético Progreso A 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia H 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
View the full Primera Division 2025 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
2 Peñarol 41 25 8 8 70:38 +32 83
3 Liverpool 38 18 11 9 52:39 +13 65
4 Juventud 37 18 7 12 45:39 +6 61
5 Defensor Sporting 37 18 7 12 42:38 +4 61
6 Boston River 37 14 13 10 50:39 +11 55
7 Racing 37 14 11 12 39:38 +1 53
8 Montevideo City Torque 37 13 10 14 54:51 +3 49
9 Cerro Largo 37 12 13 12 41:41 0 49
10 Cerro 37 12 11 14 33:42 -9 47
11 Danubio 37 10 13 14 41:41 0 43
12 Atlético Progreso A 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia H 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
14 Wanderers 37 6 13 18 25:47 -22 31
15 River Plate 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
16 Miramar Misiones 37 7 8 22 35:58 -23 29

Team Form

Atlético Progreso have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Plaza Colonia have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Plaza Colonia have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Plaza Colonia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Plaza Colonia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Plaza Colonia 1 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Atlético Progreso 0.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Plaza Colonia 10 scored / 7 conceded at home · Atlético Progreso 9 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Plaza Colonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Plaza Colonia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A Atlético Progreso: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Plaza Colonia and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

12th Apr, 2025
Atlético Progreso
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Plaza Colonia
Corners 9–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Oct, 2021
Plaza Colonia
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Progreso
Corners 4–10 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Jul, 2021
Atlético Progreso
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Plaza Colonia
Corners 12–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jan, 2021
Plaza Colonia
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlético Progreso
Corners 6–8 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
24th Oct, 2020
Atlético Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Plaza Colonia
Corners 7–4 Cards 4–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Feb, 2020
Atlético Progreso
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Plaza Colonia
Corners 5–5 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Oct, 2019
Plaza Colonia
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 4–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Apr, 2019
Atlético Progreso
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Plaza Colonia
Corners 4–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th May, 2015
Plaza Colonia
2 – 0 HT:
Atlético Progreso
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Dec, 2014
Atlético Progreso
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Plaza Colonia
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Plaza Colonia vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Plaza Colonia 2.45 Model: 37%
Draw 3.16 Model: 32%
Atlético Progreso 3.18 Model: 31%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.15 Model: 43%
No 1.73 Model: 57%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.5 Model: 61%
Over 2.5 2.5 Model: 35%
Over 3.5 5.05 Model: 17%
Under 1.5 2.66 Model: 39%
Under 2.5 1.5 Model: 65%
Under 3.5 1.14 Model: 83%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31 Model: 43%
Over 9.5 1.8 Model: 32%
Over 10.5 2.64 Model: 23%
Over 11.5 2.79 Model: 16%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Plaza Colonia 3.27 Model: 27%
Draw 2.02 Model: 49%
Atlético Progreso 4.09 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Plaza Colonia or Draw 1.38 Model: 69%
Plaza Colonia or Atlético Progreso 1.38 Model: 68%
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.58 Model: 63%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 66%
Over 1.5 2.92 Model: 30%

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.52 Model: 61%
Over 1.5 3.4 Model: 25%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Plaza Colonia vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals: Plaza Colonia have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Plaza Colonia or Atlético Progreso?

Plaza Colonia have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Atlético Progreso on the road (30% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Plaza Colonia and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed. Plaza Colonia have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Plaza Colonia and Atlético Progreso?

Uncertain. Plaza Colonia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Plaza Colonia or Atlético Progreso?

Plaza Colonia have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Plaza Colonia and Atlético Progreso?

Plaza Colonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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