Qarabağ vs Neftçi Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Azerbaijan
🕒 Friday 7th November, 13:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Qarabağ sit 2nd in the table after 8 games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Neftçi are 7th after 7 games, averaging 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Qarabağ have won 6/10 home games (60%) this season; Neftçi have won 8/10 on the road (80%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. Qarabağ have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Neftçi in 80% of away games (8/10). Qarabağ average 2.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home; Neftçi 2.4 and 0.8 on the road.

Neftçi regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Qarabağ are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Qarabağ see 8+ in 80% of home games, Neftçi in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Qarabağ have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Neftçi in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Qarabağ (2nd) and Neftçi (7th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Sabah 33 24 6 3 75:25 +50 78
2 Qarabağ H 33 21 6 6 71:27 +44 69
3 Neftçi A 33 16 11 6 57:32 +25 59
4 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 +17 59
5 Zira 33 13 14 6 43:36 +7 53
6 Araz 33 13 7 13 44:58 -14 46
7 Sumqayıt 33 11 5 17 42:50 -8 38
8 Şamaxı FK 33 9 11 13 31:40 -9 38
9 İmişli FK 33 8 13 12 24:40 -16 37
10 Qabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 -17 27
11 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 -36 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 -43 15

Team Form

Qarabağ have lost 20% of their home matches this season, while Neftçi have been more resilient on the road (0% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Neftçi regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Qarabağ are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Qarabağ's home games and 80% of Neftçi's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — Qarabağ have scored 1+ in 70% of home games, Neftçi in 80% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Goals Scored

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 28 (2.8 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Qarabağ regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Neftçi are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Qarabağ win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Neftçi have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Qarabağ (Home Form) Neftçi (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Qarabağ and Neftçi. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th Apr, 2025
Qarabağ
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Neftçi
16th Feb, 2025
Neftçi
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Qarabağ
1st Dec, 2024
Neftçi
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Qarabağ
20th Sep, 2024
Qarabağ
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Neftçi
4th May, 2024
Qarabağ
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Neftçi
24th Apr, 2024
Qarabağ
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
Neftçi
2nd Apr, 2024
Neftçi
0 – 4 HT: 0-3
Qarabağ
3rd Mar, 2024
Neftçi
1 – 4 HT: 0-0
Qarabağ
18th Dec, 2023
Qarabağ
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Neftçi
8th Oct, 2023
Neftçi
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Qarabağ

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Qarabağ vs Neftçi across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Qarabağ 1.57
Draw 3.8
Neftçi 4.1

Half Time Result

Qarabağ 2.14
Draw 2.43
Neftçi 5.46

Double Chance

Qarabağ or Draw 1.14
Qarabağ or Neftçi 1.24
Draw or Neftçi 2.29

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.71
No 2.03

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.5 2.8
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.31
Over 1.5 2.51

Total Corners

Over 9.5 1.9

Qarabağ Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.61

Neftçi Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.55

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Qarabağ vs Neftçi Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Qarabağ vs Neftçi?

Over 2.5 Goals — Qarabağ have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Neftçi in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Qarabağ or Neftçi?

Neftçi hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over Qarabağ at home (60% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Qarabağ and Neftçi?

Possibly — Neftçi regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Qarabağ are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Qarabağ and Neftçi?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Qarabağ's home games and 80% of Neftçi's away games in Premier League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Qarabağ or Neftçi?

Neftçi have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of away games compared to Qarabağ's 50% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Qarabağ and Neftçi?

Possibly — Qarabağ regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Neftçi are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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