River Plate vs Atlético Progreso — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 14th September, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

River Plate (0% home wins) hold a slight edge over Atlético Progreso on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

River Plate frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Atlético Progreso are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while River Plate are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with River Plate (16th) and Atlético Progreso (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
2 Peñarol 41 25 8 8 70:38 +32 83
3 Liverpool 38 18 11 9 52:39 +13 65
4 Defensor Sporting 37 18 7 12 42:38 +4 61
5 Juventud 37 18 7 12 45:39 +6 61
6 Boston River 37 14 13 10 50:39 +11 55
7 Racing 37 14 11 12 39:38 +1 53
8 Montevideo City Torque 37 13 10 14 54:51 +3 49
9 Cerro Largo 37 12 13 12 41:41 0 49
10 Cerro 37 12 11 14 33:42 -9 47
11 Danubio 37 10 13 14 41:41 0 43
12 Atlético Progreso A 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
14 Wanderers 37 6 13 18 25:47 -22 31
15 River Plate H 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
16 Miramar Misiones 37 7 8 22 35:58 -23 29

Team Form

River Plate have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Atlético Progreso have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while River Plate are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

River Plate have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both River Plate (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

River Plate have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

River Plate (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between River Plate and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Mar, 2025
Atlético Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
River Plate
Corners 10–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2024
Atlético Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
River Plate
Corners 5–8 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jun, 2024
Atlético Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
River Plate
Corners 2–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Apr, 2024
River Plate
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Atlético Progreso
Corners 3–8 Cards 5–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Oct, 2021
Atlético Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
River Plate
Corners 5–3 Cards 1–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Jun, 2021
River Plate
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 1–6 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Mar, 2021
River Plate
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 5–7 Cards 5–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Oct, 2020
Atlético Progreso
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
River Plate
Corners 3–15 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Nov, 2019
River Plate
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 7–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Jul, 2019
River Plate
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
Corners 4–6 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for River Plate vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

River Plate 2.71
Draw 3.38
Atlético Progreso 2.55

Half Time Result

River Plate 3.47
Draw 2.05
Atlético Progreso 3.25

Double Chance

River Plate or Draw 1.47
River Plate or Atlético Progreso 1.32
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.44

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 3.5 3.98
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.19

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.44
Over 10.5 2.26
Over 11.5 2.31

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.79
Over 2.5 7

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.76
Over 2.5 6.55

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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River Plate vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for River Plate vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, River Plate or Atlético Progreso?

Atlético Progreso hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over River Plate at home (0% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between River Plate and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — River Plate have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between River Plate and Atlético Progreso?

Uncertain — River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: River Plate or Atlético Progreso?

Atlético Progreso have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to River Plate's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between River Plate and Atlético Progreso?

River Plate have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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