São Paulo vs Bahia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

São Paulo (90% home wins) hold a slight edge over Bahia on the road (60% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — São Paulo at 30% at home and Bahia at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (São Paulo 30% at home, Bahia 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

São Paulo regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Bahia are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Bahia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with São Paulo (4th) and Bahia (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 13 10 2 1 23:10 +13 32
2 Fluminense 13 8 2 3 23:16 +7 26
3 Flamengo 12 8 2 2 24:10 +14 26
4 São Paulo H 13 7 2 4 17:11 +6 23
5 Athletico PR 13 7 1 5 20:15 +5 22
6 Bahia A 12 6 3 3 17:14 +3 21
7 Coritiba 13 5 4 4 15:13 +2 19
8 Botafogo 12 5 2 5 24:24 0 17
9 Bragantino 13 5 2 6 15:15 0 17
10 Cruzeiro 13 4 4 5 17:21 -4 16
11 Vasco da Gama 13 4 4 5 18:19 -1 16
12 Grêmio 13 4 4 5 15:16 -1 16
13 Vitória 12 4 3 5 12:17 -5 15
14 Corinthians 13 3 6 4 9:11 -2 15
15 Atlético Mineiro 13 4 2 7 14:19 -5 14
16 Internacional 13 3 5 5 12:14 -2 14
17 Santos 13 3 5 5 18:21 -3 14
18 Mirassol 12 2 3 7 13:18 -5 9
19 Chapecoense 12 1 5 6 12:24 -12 8
20 Remo 13 1 5 7 13:23 -10 8

Team Form

Bahia have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while São Paulo have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

São Paulo have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Bahia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Bahia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bahia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Bahia are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

São Paulo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between São Paulo and Bahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Oct 2025
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 May 2025
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2024
Bahia
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jun 2024
São Paulo
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Nov 2023
Bahia
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jul 2023
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Nov 2021
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jul 2021
São Paulo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Nov 2020
Bahia
1 – 3 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Aug 2020
São Paulo
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Bahia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 2.05
Draw 3.25
Bahia 3.9

Half Time Result

São Paulo 2.66
Draw 2.18
Bahia 4.55

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.27
São Paulo or Bahia 1.3
Draw or Bahia 1.77

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 3.5 3.81
Under 1.5 3.19
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 3.17

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 1.8
Over 11.5 2.25

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.19

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.57

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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São Paulo vs Bahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Bahia?

Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Bahia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Bahia?

São Paulo have a slight form edge at home (90% wins) over Bahia on the road (60% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Bahia?

Mixed — São Paulo have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Bahia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Bahia?

Uncertain — São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Bahia in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Bahia?

Bahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to São Paulo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Bahia?

Possibly — São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Bahia are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Botafogo vs Remo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Palmeiras vs Santos

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

Vitória vs Coritiba

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

Athletico PR vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 00:30 BST

Match Stats

Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 20:00 BST

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São Paulo vs Bahia

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Chapecoense vs Bragantino

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 22:30 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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