São Paulo vs Cruzeiro — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

São Paulo hold a clear edge at home this season (8/10, 80%), while Cruzeiro are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Cruzeiro have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while São Paulo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Cruzeiro regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while São Paulo are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Cruzeiro in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with São Paulo (3rd) and Cruzeiro (20th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 8 6 1 1 17:8 +9 19
2 Athletico PR 8 5 1 2 14:8 +6 16
3 Fluminense 8 5 1 2 13:9 +4 16
4 São Paulo H 8 5 1 2 10:5 +5 16
5 Bahia 7 4 2 1 9:7 +2 14
6 Flamengo 7 4 2 1 13:5 +8 14
7 Coritiba 8 4 1 3 9:8 +1 13
8 Vasco da Gama 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
9 Grêmio 8 3 2 3 13:12 +1 11
10 Vitória 7 3 1 3 8:10 -2 10
11 Corinthians 8 2 4 2 7:7 0 10
12 Atlético Mineiro 8 2 2 4 8:11 -3 8
13 Internacional 8 2 2 4 7:9 -2 8
14 Bragantino 8 2 2 4 6:10 -4 8
15 Chapecoense 7 1 4 2 9:11 -2 7
16 Santos 8 1 4 3 10:13 -3 7
17 Botafogo 7 2 0 5 11:16 -5 6
18 Remo 8 1 3 4 10:15 -5 6
19 Mirassol 7 1 3 3 8:10 -2 6
20 Cruzeiro A 8 0 4 4 8:16 -8 4

Team Form

São Paulo hold a clear edge in home form this season (80% wins), while Cruzeiro have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cruzeiro regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while São Paulo are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Cruzeiro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while São Paulo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cruzeiro in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Cruzeiro (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

São Paulo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Cruzeiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Cruzeiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Cruzeiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 2.19
Draw 3.34
Cruzeiro 3.5

Half Time Result

São Paulo 2.74
Draw 2.12
Cruzeiro 4.1

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.31
São Paulo or Cruzeiro 1.32
Draw or Cruzeiro 1.69

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.81
No 1.85

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 3.5 3.38
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.89

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.7
Over 11.5 2.12

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.23

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Wisla U19 vs Gornik Z. U19 11:00 BST Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Gornik Z. U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    85% combined
  • Sportivo Trinidense Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST Sportivo Trinidense Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    83% combined
  • Hearts W vs Celtic W 19:00 BST Hearts W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Celtic W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.9
    81% combined
  • Platense U20 vs Inter U20 18:00 BST Platense U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 17/19 home matches this season · Inter U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    76% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.53
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São Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Cruzeiro?

Under 3.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Cruzeiro in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Cruzeiro?

São Paulo have a slight form edge at home (80% wins) over Cruzeiro on the road (50% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Cruzeiro?

Possibly — Cruzeiro regularly see both teams score away (70%), while São Paulo are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Cruzeiro?

Possibly — Cruzeiro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while São Paulo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Cruzeiro?

São Paulo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Cruzeiro's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Cruzeiro?

Yes — both São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Cruzeiro (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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