São Paulo vs Palmeiras

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

São Paulo sit 8th in the table after 23 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Palmeiras are 2nd after 21 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. São Paulo have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Palmeiras side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. São Paulo have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Palmeiras in 30% away. São Paulo average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Palmeiras 1.4 and 0.7 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Palmeiras regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). São Paulo are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — São Paulo have seen 10+ corners in 80% of home fixtures (8/10), Palmeiras in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with São Paulo (8th) and Palmeiras (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 30 18 8 4 61:23 +38 62
2 Palmeiras A 30 17 6 7 57:30 +27 57
3 Mirassol 30 16 9 5 50:28 +22 57
4 Cruzeiro 30 14 12 4 42:24 +18 54
5 Botafogo 30 14 10 6 48:33 +15 52
6 Fluminense 30 15 6 9 40:29 +11 51
7 Bahia 30 14 6 10 43:38 +5 48
8 São Paulo H 30 13 3 14 37:41 -4 42
9 Santos 30 11 9 10 38:40 -2 42
10 Grêmio 30 11 7 12 40:38 +2 40
11 Vasco da Gama 30 11 5 14 48:49 -1 38
12 Corinthians 30 9 10 11 31:33 -2 37
13 Vitória 30 9 9 12 26:41 -15 36
14 Atlético Mineiro 30 9 9 12 33:34 -1 36
15 Internacional 30 9 8 13 34:45 -11 35
16 Fortaleza 30 9 6 15 33:53 -20 33
17 Ceará 30 8 7 15 25:33 -8 31
18 Bragantino 30 9 4 17 35:51 -16 31
19 Juventude 30 7 7 16 28:49 -21 28
20 Sport Recife 30 2 9 19 24:61 -37 15

Team Form

São Paulo hold a clear edge in home form this season (80% wins), while Palmeiras have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Palmeiras regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while São Paulo are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

São Paulo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both São Paulo (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

São Paulo win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between São Paulo and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11th May, 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 10–1 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Mar, 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–2 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Feb, 2025
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 7–2 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 6–1 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Apr, 2024
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
Corners 6–4 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Mar, 2024
São Paulo
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Feb, 2024
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Oct, 2023
Palmeiras
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
São Paulo
Corners 5–0 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jul, 2023
Palmeiras
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
Corners 12–2 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Jul, 2023
São Paulo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
Corners 8–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 3.57
Draw 2.88
Palmeiras 2.44

Half Time Result

São Paulo 4.35
Draw 1.81
Palmeiras 3.36

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.6
São Paulo or Palmeiras 1.4
Draw or Palmeiras 1.31

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.61
Over 2.5 2.79
Over 3.5 6.01
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 3.5 1.12

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.7

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 2.26
Over 11.5 2.52

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 3.8

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • North Pine vs AC Carina 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · AC Carina have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • Inglewood United Res. vs Quinns Res. 06:00 BST | Western Australia State League 1 Reserves, Australia Inglewood United Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Quinns Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Cooma Tigers vs Canberra Olympic 09:00 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Cooma Tigers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Canberra Olympic have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Cooma Tigers U23 vs Canberra Olympic U23 06:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Cooma Tigers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Canberra Olympic U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.44
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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Palmeiras?

São Paulo have a slight form edge at home (80% wins) over Palmeiras on the road (50% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Mixed — São Paulo have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Palmeiras in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Unlikely — São Paulo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie A. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to São Paulo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Yes — both São Paulo (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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