São Paulo vs Palmeiras

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

São Paulo sit 8th in the table after 23 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Palmeiras are 2nd after 21 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — São Paulo have won 60% of home games, Palmeiras 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. São Paulo have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Palmeiras in 30% away. São Paulo average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Palmeiras 1.6 and 0.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — São Paulo at 40% in home games (4/10), Palmeiras at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season — São Paulo have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Palmeiras in 80% away (8/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with São Paulo (8th) and Palmeiras (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 18 7 4 61:23 +38 61
2 Palmeiras A 29 16 6 7 55:29 +26 54
3 Cruzeiro 29 14 11 4 42:24 +18 53
4 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
5 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 29 13 6 10 41:37 +4 45
8 Santos 29 11 9 9 38:39 -1 42
9 Grêmio 29 11 7 11 39:36 +3 40
10 São Paulo H 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
11 Vitória 29 9 9 11 25:39 -14 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Internacional 29 9 7 13 33:44 -11 34
15 Fortaleza 29 9 6 14 33:50 -17 33
16 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
17 Bragantino 29 9 4 16 34:49 -15 31
18 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
19 Juventude 29 7 6 16 27:48 -21 27
20 Sport Recife 29 2 9 18 24:59 -35 15

Team Form

São Paulo (60% home wins) and Palmeiras (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

São Paulo have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

São Paulo (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Palmeiras in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

São Paulo win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Palmeiras have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

São Paulo (Home Form) Palmeiras (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between São Paulo and Palmeiras. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11th May, 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 10–1 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Mar, 2025
Palmeiras
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–2 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Feb, 2025
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 7–2 Cards 0–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2024
Palmeiras
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 6–1 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Apr, 2024
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
Corners 6–4 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Mar, 2024
São Paulo
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Palmeiras
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Feb, 2024
Palmeiras
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Oct, 2023
Palmeiras
5 – 0 HT: 3-0
São Paulo
Corners 5–0 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jul, 2023
Palmeiras
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
Corners 12–2 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Jul, 2023
São Paulo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Palmeiras
Corners 8–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Palmeiras across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 3.57
Draw 2.88
Palmeiras 2.44

Half Time Result

São Paulo 4.35
Draw 1.81
Palmeiras 3.36

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.6
São Paulo or Palmeiras 1.4
Draw or Palmeiras 1.31

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2
No 1.6

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.61
Over 2.5 2.79
Over 3.5 6.01
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.42
Under 3.5 1.12

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.7

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 2.26
Over 11.5 2.52

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 3.8

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Super Nova II vs Valmiera 18:00 BST | First Liga, Latvia Super Nova II have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 home matches this season · Valmiera have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    80% combined
  • UE Inhumas U20 vs Aparecidense U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil UE Inhumas U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 home matches this season · Aparecidense U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    71% combined
  • San Martín San Juan Res. vs Colón Res. 19:00 BST | Reserve League, Argentina San Martín San Juan Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Colón Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.75
    71% combined
  • Bangor Celtic vs St Mochtas 19:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Bangor Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · St Mochtas have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    65% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.01
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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Palmeiras?

Under 2.5 Goals — São Paulo have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Palmeiras in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Palmeiras?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — São Paulo have won 60% of home games, Palmeiras 60% away in Serie A. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Mixed — São Paulo have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Palmeiras in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Unlikely — São Paulo (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Palmeiras (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie A. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Palmeiras?

Palmeiras have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to São Paulo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Palmeiras?

Yes — both São Paulo (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Palmeiras (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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