San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Monday 20th April, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

San Lorenzo (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Vélez Sarsfield on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Vélez Sarsfield tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while San Lorenzo are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (San Lorenzo 40% at home, Vélez Sarsfield 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

San Lorenzo usually generate 8+ corners at home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — San Lorenzo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season, with San Lorenzo (th) and Vélez Sarsfield (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente Rivadavia 13 9 2 2 23:13 +10 29
2 Estudiantes 13 7 3 3 16:7 +9 24
3 River Plate 12 7 2 3 17:9 +8 23
4 Argentinos Juniors 13 6 5 2 14:10 +4 23
5 Belgrano 13 6 4 3 13:12 +1 22
6 Vélez Sarsfield A 12 6 4 2 14:9 +5 22
7 Boca Juniors 13 5 6 2 15:8 +7 21
8 Rosario Central 12 6 3 3 14:10 +4 21
9 Barracas Central 13 5 4 4 13:12 +1 19
10 Defensa y Justicia 12 4 7 1 15:10 +5 19
11 Lanús 12 5 4 3 17:14 +3 19
12 Unión Santa Fe 13 5 4 4 19:14 +5 19
13 Racing Club 12 5 3 4 15:11 +4 18
14 Independiente 13 4 6 3 19:16 +3 18
15 Talleres Córdoba 12 5 3 4 12:11 +1 18
16 Tigre 12 4 5 3 16:12 +4 17
17 Huracán 12 4 5 3 12:9 +3 17
18 San Lorenzo H 12 4 5 3 12:12 0 17
19 Instituto 13 5 2 6 14:15 -1 17
20 Sarmiento 12 5 1 6 10:12 -2 16
21 Platense 12 3 6 3 6:7 -1 15
22 Gimnasia La Plata 12 4 2 6 13:18 -5 14
23 Banfield 12 4 1 7 14:16 -2 13
24 Central Cordoba SdE 12 3 3 6 6:15 -9 12
25 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 12 3 3 6 9:15 -6 12
26 Atlético Tucumán 12 2 3 7 13:18 -5 9
27 Newell's Old Boys 12 2 3 7 10:23 -13 9
28 Deportivo Riestra 13 0 7 6 3:10 -7 7
29 Aldosivi 13 0 6 7 3:14 -11 6
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 13 1 2 10 4:19 -15 5

Team Form

San Lorenzo have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Vélez Sarsfield have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

San Lorenzo have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

San Lorenzo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Vélez Sarsfield (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

San Lorenzo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Vélez Sarsfield in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

San Lorenzo regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

San Lorenzo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Vélez Sarsfield have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

San Lorenzo (Home Form) Vélez Sarsfield (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined

San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield?

Under 2.5 Goals — San Lorenzo have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, San Lorenzo or Vélez Sarsfield?

San Lorenzo have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Vélez Sarsfield on the road (40% wins) in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between San Lorenzo and Vélez Sarsfield?

Mixed — San Lorenzo have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Vélez Sarsfield in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between San Lorenzo and Vélez Sarsfield?

Unlikely — San Lorenzo (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Vélez Sarsfield (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: San Lorenzo or Vélez Sarsfield?

San Lorenzo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Vélez Sarsfield's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between San Lorenzo and Vélez Sarsfield?

Possibly — San Lorenzo regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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