Santos vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 2nd October, 01:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Santos sit 16th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Grêmio are 10th after 21 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Santos have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Grêmio have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Santos have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Grêmio in 40% away. Santos average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Grêmio 0.9 and 0.8 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Santos at 50% in home games (5/10), Grêmio at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Santos regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Santos have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Grêmio in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Santos (16th) and Grêmio (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 18 7 4 61:23 +38 61
2 Mirassol 29 16 8 5 49:27 +22 56
3 Palmeiras 29 16 6 7 55:29 +26 54
4 Cruzeiro 29 14 11 4 42:24 +18 53
5 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
6 Fluminense 29 15 5 9 39:28 +11 50
7 Bahia 29 13 6 10 41:37 +4 45
8 Santos H 29 11 9 9 38:39 -1 42
9 Grêmio A 29 11 7 11 39:36 +3 40
10 São Paulo 29 12 3 14 35:40 -5 39
11 Vitória 29 9 9 11 25:39 -14 36
12 Vasco da Gama 29 10 5 14 45:49 -4 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 29 9 8 12 33:34 -1 35
14 Corinthians 29 8 10 11 30:33 -3 34
15 Internacional 29 9 7 13 33:44 -11 34
16 Fortaleza 29 9 6 14 33:50 -17 33
17 Bragantino 29 9 4 16 34:49 -15 31
18 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
19 Juventude 29 7 6 16 27:48 -21 27
20 Sport Recife 29 2 9 18 24:59 -35 15

Team Form

Grêmio have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Santos have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Santos have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Grêmio in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Grêmio in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Santos have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Grêmio in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Santos regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Santos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Grêmio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Santos (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Santos and Grêmio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th May, 2025
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
Corners 3–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Aug, 2023
Santos
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 9–4 Cards 6–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Apr, 2023
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Santos
Corners 4–11 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Oct, 2021
Santos
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 9–3 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Jun, 2021
Grêmio
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Santos
Corners 7–1 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2021
Grêmio
3 – 3 HT: 1-1
Santos
Corners 5–3 Cards 5–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Dec, 2020
Santos
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–10 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Dec, 2020
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Santos
Corners 9–1 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Oct, 2020
Santos
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 4–7 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Sep, 2019
Santos
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 9–2 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Santos vs Grêmio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Santos 1.87
Draw 3.6
Grêmio 4.58

Half Time Result

Santos 2.3
Draw 2.2
Grêmio 5.08

Double Chance

Santos or Draw 1.16
Santos or Grêmio 1.34
Draw or Grêmio 1.95

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.78

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.21
Over 3.5 4.06
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.31

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 2.21
Over 11.5 2.45

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 2.13
Over 2.5 5.1

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.62
Over 1.5 3.96
Over 2.5 9.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Vaprus II 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Vaprus II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • B68 vs HB 17:15 BST | Meistaradeildin, Faroe Islands B68 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · HB have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • South Melbourne vs Avondale Heights 10:30 BST | Npl Victoria, Australia South Melbourne have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Avondale Heights have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    75% combined
  • FA Šiauliai vs FK Riteriai 16:30 BST | A Lyga, Lithuania FA Šiauliai have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · FK Riteriai have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.66
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.59
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Santos vs Grêmio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Santos vs Grêmio?

Under 3.5 Goals — Santos have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Grêmio in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Santos or Grêmio?

Santos have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Grêmio on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Santos and Grêmio?

Mixed — Santos have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Grêmio in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Santos and Grêmio?

Uncertain — Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Grêmio in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Santos or Grêmio?

Grêmio have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Santos's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Santos and Grêmio?

Possibly — Santos regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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