Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Wednesday 4th February, 23:00 GMT

Santos vs São Paulo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Santos Home · 18th 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
São Paulo Away · 6th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Santos 53% Draw 26% São Paulo 20%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Santos vs São Paulo Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
53% Santos win 26% Draw 20% São Paulo win 45% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Under 3.5 Goals 68% Over 1.5 Goals

Santos sit 18th in the table, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 6th, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Santos have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; São Paulo have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); São Paulo in 40% away (4/10). Santos average 1.6 scored and 1 conceded at home, São Paulo 0.7 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Santos at 40% in home games (4/10), São Paulo at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Santos are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Santos (18th) and São Paulo (6th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 São Paulo A 18 7 4 7 23:20 +3 25
15 Santos H 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 18 12 5 1 30:13 +17 41
2 Flamengo 17 10 4 3 31:16 +15 34
3 Fluminense 18 9 4 5 28:23 +5 31
4 Athletico PR 18 9 3 6 24:18 +6 30
5 Bragantino 18 9 2 7 25:19 +6 29
6 Bahia 17 7 5 5 25:23 +2 26
7 Coritiba 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
8 São Paulo A 18 7 4 7 23:20 +3 25
9 Atlético Mineiro 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
10 Corinthians 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
11 Cruzeiro 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
12 Botafogo 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
13 Vitória 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
14 Internacional 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
15 Santos H 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
16 Grêmio 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
17 Vasco da Gama 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
18 Remo 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
19 Mirassol 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
20 Chapecoense 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9

Team Form

São Paulo have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Santos have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Santos have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Santos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Santos 1.6 scored · 1 conceded per home game São Paulo 0.7 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Santos 16 scored / 10 conceded at home · São Paulo 7 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Santos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Corners

Santos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Santos — last 10 home A São Paulo — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Santos and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Santos
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2025
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Santos
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Feb 2024
São Paulo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
12 Nov 2023
Santos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2023
São Paulo
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Feb 2023
São Paulo
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2022
Santos
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 May 2022
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Feb 2022
Santos
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Santos vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Santos 2.38 Model: 53%
Draw 3.1 Model: 26%
São Paulo 3.65 Model: 20%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.1 Model: 45%
No 1.84 Model: 55%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.52 Model: 68%
Value Over 2.5 2.58 Model: 42%
Over 3.5 5.3 Model: 20%
Under 1.5 2.88 Model: 32%
Under 2.5 1.62 Model: 58%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.47 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 3.45

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22 Model: 61%
Over 9.5 1.4 Model: 49%
Over 10.5 1.9 Model: 37%
Over 11.5 2.21 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Santos 3.03 Model: 40%
Draw 2.12 Model: 44%
São Paulo 4.1 Model: 16%

Double Chance

Value Santos or Draw 1.34 Model: 80%
Santos or São Paulo 1.39 Model: 74%
Draw or São Paulo 1.65 Model: 47%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 77%
Value Over 1.5 2.59 Model: 44%

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 54%
Over 1.5 3.5 Model: 19%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Santos vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Santos vs São Paulo?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Santos or São Paulo?

Santos have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over São Paulo on the road (10% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Santos and São Paulo?

Mixed — Santos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Santos and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Santos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Santos or São Paulo?

Santos have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Santos and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Santos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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