Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ

📍 Premier League, Azerbaijan
🕒 Friday 22nd May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Sumqayıt average 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Qarabağ average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Sumqayıt have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Qarabağ have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Sumqayıt have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Qarabağ in 60% away (6/10). Sumqayıt average 1 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, Qarabağ 1.6 and 1.2 on the road.

Qarabağ regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Sumqayıt are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Sumqayıt regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Qarabağ are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Sumqayıt see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Qarabağ in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Sumqayıt (th) and Qarabağ (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Sabah 31 23 6 2 72:22 +50 75
2 Qarabağ A 31 19 6 6 64:24 +40 63
3 Turan 31 17 8 6 41:22 +19 59
4 Neftçi 31 14 11 6 54:31 +23 53
5 Zira 31 12 14 5 39:32 +7 50
6 Araz 31 11 7 13 39:56 -17 40
7 Sumqayıt H 31 11 5 15 38:44 -6 38
8 İmişli FK 31 8 12 11 23:36 -13 36
9 Şamaxı FK 31 8 11 12 27:35 -8 35
10 Kapaz 31 8 3 20 25:58 -33 27
11 Qabala 31 5 6 20 27:47 -20 21
12 Karvan 31 3 5 23 21:63 -42 14

Team Form

Sumqayıt have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Qarabağ have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Qarabağ regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Sumqayıt are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Sumqayıt have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Sumqayıt have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Qarabağ in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Sumqayıt (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Qarabağ (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Sumqayıt have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Qarabağ have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Sumqayıt (Home Form) Qarabağ (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Luzern vs Zürich 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Luzern have seen over 2.5 goals in 17/18 home matches this season · Zürich have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
  • Inchicore Athletic vs Killester Donnycarney 20:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Inchicore Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    82% combined
  • Grasshopper vs Winterthur 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Grasshopper have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Winterthur have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin 16:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 home matches this season · Carina Gubin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?

Over 8.5 Corners — Sumqayıt see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Qarabağ in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Sumqayıt or Qarabağ?

Qarabağ hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Sumqayıt at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sumqayıt and Qarabağ?

Possibly — Qarabağ regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Sumqayıt are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sumqayıt and Qarabağ?

Uncertain — Sumqayıt have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Qarabağ in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sumqayıt or Qarabağ?

Qarabağ have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Sumqayıt's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sumqayıt and Qarabağ?

Yes — both Sumqayıt (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Qarabağ (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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