Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 03:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos sit 1st in the table after 28 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Alebrijes are 11th after 23 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Tepatitlán de Morelos have the stronger home record this season (9/10, 90%) against a Alebrijes side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Alebrijes in 50% away (5/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos average 2.1 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Alebrijes 1.2 and 2.1 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Tepatitlán de Morelos at 40% in home games (4/10), Alebrijes at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 8+ in 80% of home games, Alebrijes in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Alebrijes in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (1st) and Alebrijes (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes A 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Alebrijes's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Alebrijes in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alebrijes in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Alebrijes in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Alebrijes frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Alebrijes have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Alebrijes (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Alebrijes. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25 Oct 2025
Alebrijes
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Alebrijes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2024
Alebrijes
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Mar 2024
Alebrijes
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Oct 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Alebrijes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2023
Alebrijes
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Alebrijes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Alebrijes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Aug 2021
Alebrijes
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2021
Alebrijes
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.42
Draw 5.3
Alebrijes 8.8

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.95
Draw 2.4
Alebrijes 5.8

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.14
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Alebrijes 1.22
Draw or Alebrijes 2.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.94
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 3.5 2.82
Under 1.5 5
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.52

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.45

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.33
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 2.06

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.64

Alebrijes Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.88

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Alebrijes?

Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Alebrijes in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Alebrijes?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Alebrijes have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Alebrijes?

Mixed — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Alebrijes in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Alebrijes?

Uncertain — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alebrijes in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Alebrijes?

Alebrijes have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Alebrijes?

Possibly — Alebrijes frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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