Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 11th January, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos sit 7th in the table after 14 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Atlante are 9th after 14 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Tepatitlán de Morelos have the stronger home record this season (9/10, 90%) against a Atlante side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos in 90% of home games, Atlante in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Atlante regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 8+ in 80% of home games, Atlante in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (7th) and Atlante (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante A 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Atlante's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlante regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Tepatitlán de Morelos 90% at home, Atlante 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlante in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Atlante (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlante have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Jan 2026
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Nov 2025
Atlante
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Nov 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Aug 2025
Atlante
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2025
Atlante
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Mar 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Aug 2023
Atlante
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlante
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2022
Atlante
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.3
Draw 3.4
Atlante 2.36

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.71
Draw 2.2
Atlante 2.95

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.61
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Atlante 1.33
Draw or Atlante 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 3.33
Under 1.5 3.49
Under 2.5 1.9
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.91

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 2.04
Over 11.5 2.16

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.95

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.26

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Atlante have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Mixed — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atlante in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Uncertain — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Atlante in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Atlante?

Atlante have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlante in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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