Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 27th April, 00:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Atlante have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Atlante tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Atlante regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (1st) and Atlante (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 34 18 10 6 46:32 +14 64
2 Cancún 30 16 8 6 51:28 +23 56
3 Atlante A 30 14 9 7 57:29 +28 51
4 Morelia 32 13 9 10 42:36 +6 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 30 11 11 8 48:47 +1 44
8 CA La Paz 28 9 12 7 47:42 +5 39
9 Tapatío 28 10 5 13 48:42 +6 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlante's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlante regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Atlante in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlante in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Atlante (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlante have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Atlante (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.94
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Over 1.5 Goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Atlante in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Atlante have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Possibly — Atlante regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Uncertain — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Atlante in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Atlante?

Atlante have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlante in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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🕒 Thursday 23rd April, 02:00 BST

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Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz

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Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos

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Tapatío vs Cancún

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🕒 Friday 24th April, 02:00 BST

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Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 02:00 BST

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CA La Paz vs Jaiba Brava

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 26th April, 04:00 BST

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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 27th April, 00:00 BST

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Cancún vs Tapatío

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🕒 Monday 27th April, 02:00 BST

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