Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Irapuato have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Tepatitlán de Morelos 30% Over 2.5 at home, Irapuato 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Irapuato regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Tepatitlán de Morelos usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Irapuato are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Irapuato have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) and Irapuato (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato A 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Irapuato's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Irapuato regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Irapuato in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Irapuato in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Irapuato in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Irapuato have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Irapuato (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Irapuato. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15 Sep 2025
Irapuato
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.2
Draw 3.3
Irapuato 3.3

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.89
Draw 2.19
Irapuato 3.6

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.26
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Irapuato 1.31
Draw or Irapuato 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.76
No 1.94

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.69
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 3.07

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 2.42
Over 11.5 2.56

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.34

Irapuato Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Irapuato?

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Irapuato have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Irapuato?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Irapuato have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Irapuato?

Mixed — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Irapuato in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Irapuato?

Uncertain — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Irapuato in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Irapuato?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Irapuato's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Irapuato?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Irapuato in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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